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Hortaleza - Sevilla

Copa del Rey October 29, 2026 21:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.19%
Win
Hortaleza
30.42%
Draw
30.39%
Win
Sevilla
3.73
Expected xG
1.48

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.83%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hortaleza a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sevilla. Expected goals are 3.7 for Hortaleza and 1.5 for Sevilla (total 5.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.83% probability.

Season Stats

Hortaleza
1W 1D 0L
Sevilla
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
—
Shots OT
4.5
—
Corners
7.0
—
Poss.
57%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Copa del Rey. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Hortaleza
1W 0D 0L · at home
Sevilla
2W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
2.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
0%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
0%
BTTS
67%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hortaleza Sevilla →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 2.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.8% 5.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.7% 7.0% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.4% 6.5% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%

Recent form

D Güímar 3–3
W Güímar 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
L Alaves 1–0
W Extremadura 1924 1–2
W Toledo 1–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Hortaleza Hortaleza
Attack
51
Defence
61
Form
63
Sevilla Sevilla
Attack
39
Defence
54
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
The model gives Hortaleza a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Sevilla win.
How many goals are expected in Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
Expected goals: Hortaleza 3.7, Sevilla 1.5 (total 5.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.83%.