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MLS · Regular Season - 17 July 26, 2026 02:30
Houston Dynamo
#5 · 51 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Austin
#14 · 34 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Houston Dynamo
M. Bogusz (ast. E. Ponce) 12'
M. Bogusz (ast. Guilherme) 29'
Guilherme (ast. A. Bouzat) 32'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 61% win probability (draw 22%, Austin 15%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Austin.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
1.70
Actual xG
0.84
5
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
1
Corners
6
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Bogusz · ast. E. Ponce
12'
18'
I. Sanchez
⚽M. Bogusz · ast. Guilherme
29'
⚽Guilherme · ast. A. Bouzat
32'
Felipe Andrade
42'
60'
B. Sabovic / I. Sanchez ↕
60'
J. Rosales / P. Placheta ↕
62'
B. Sabovic
Lucas Halter
62'
↕ D. Samassekou / Artur
63'
↕ A. Bouzat / J. McGlynn
70'
↕ E. Ponce / D. McGuire
70'
70'
M. Djordjevic / O. Svatok ↕
71'
E. Torres / F. Torres ↕
82'
Z. Kolmanic / J. Gallagher ↕
↕ Guilherme / O. Lingr
84'
↕ Lucas Halter / E. Sviatchenko
85'
Pre-match prediction
61.26%
Houston ←
22.91%
X
15.83%
Austin
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo) 61.26% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Houston
1.76
1.70
-0.06
Austin
0.66
0.84
+0.18
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.84). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 33 61
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 33 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 33 52
4 St. Louis City St. Louis City 33 51
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 33 51
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 33 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 33 44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 33 43
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 33 43
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 33 43
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 33 42
12 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 33 41
13 San Diego San Diego 33 38
14 Austin Austin 33 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 33 23
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-4-3
31 J. Bond J. Bond G 8.20
5 Lucas Halter Lucas Halter 85' D 7.30
18 D. Samassékou D. Samassékou 63' D 6.60
34 A. Resch A. Resch D 7.20
11 L. Ennali L. Ennali M 6.90
30 A. Bouzat A. Bouzat 1 👟 70' M 7.30
16 H. Herrera H. Herrera M 7.20
36 Felipe Andrade Felipe Andrade M 6.90
20 Guilherme Guilherme 1 ⚽ 1 👟 84' F 8.60
10 E. Ponce E. Ponce 1 👟 70' F 6.90
19 M. Bogusz M. Bogusz 2 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
6 Artur Artur 33' M 6.30
26 B. Gillingham B. Gillingham G
14 D. Holmes D. Holmes M
23 D. McGuire D. McGuire 26' F 6.50
28 E. Sviatchenko E. Sviatchenko 11' D 6.60
21 F. Negri F. Negri D
8 J. McGlynn J. McGlynn 26' M 6.60
22 M. Arana M. Arana M
9 O. Lingr O. Lingr 12' M 6.60
Austin Austin 4-4-2
1 B. Stuver B. Stuver G 5.60
29 Guilherme Biro Guilherme Biro D 5.90
4 B. Hines-Ike B. Hines-Ike D 6.60
5 O. Svatok O. Svatok 70' D 6.30
17 J. Gallagher J. Gallagher 82' D 6.30
77 P. Płacheta P. Płacheta 60' M 7.00
6 Ilie Sánchez Ilie Sánchez 60' M 6.30
33 O. Wolff O. Wolff M 6.70
11 F. Torres F. Torres 71' M 6.70
9 B. Vázquez B. Vázquez F 6.30
10 M. Uzuni M. Uzuni F 6.90
Bench
14 B. Šabović B. Šabović 36' M 6.60
21 C. Ramirez C. Ramirez F
12 D. Las D. Las G
38 Ervin Torres Ervin Torres 25' M 6.90
7 J. Nelson J. Nelson F
30 J. Rosales J. Rosales 36' M 7.00
35 M. Đorđević M. Đorđević 26' D 6.60
20 N. Dubersarsky N. Dubersarsky M
23 Ž. Kolmanič Ž. Kolmanič 14' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
Guilherme
F · Houston
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 41 pass
M. Bogusz
M. Bogusz
F · Houston
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots · 14 pass
J. Bond
J. Bond
G · Houston
8.20
· 37 pass
Lucas Halter
Lucas Halter
D · Houston
7.30
· 60 pass
A. Bouzat
A. Bouzat
M · Houston
7.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
A. Resch
A. Resch
D · Houston
7.20
· 68 pass
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bond G 96 8.20 — — — 37 35% — — —
Lucas Halter D 85 7.30 — — — 60 55% 1 1 —
D. Samassékou D 63 6.60 — — — 25 22% 1 — —
A. Resch D 96 7.20 — — — 68 65% 2 — —
L. Ennali M 96 6.90 — — — 15 14% 2 — —
A. Bouzat M 70 7.30 — 1 — 29 23% 3 — —
H. Herrera M 96 7.20 — — — 66 62% — — —
Felipe Andrade M 96 6.90 — — — 25 22% 1 1 —
Guilherme F 84 8.60 1 1 3 41 37% — — —
E. Ponce F 70 6.90 — 1 2 13 10% — — —
M. Bogusz F 96 8.50 2 — 4 14 12% 1 — —
Artur M 33 6.30 — — — 20 16% — — —
D. McGuire F 26 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
E. Sviatchenko D 11 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
J. McGlynn M 26 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
O. Lingr M 12 6.60 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Austin Austin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Stuver G 96 5.60 — — — 22 11% — — —
Guilherme Biro D 96 5.90 — — 1 67 60% 2 — —
B. Hines-Ike D 96 6.60 — — — 74 71% 3 — —
O. Svatok D 70 6.30 — — — 50 49% — — —
J. Gallagher D 82 6.30 — — 1 26 25% 2 — —
P. Płacheta M 60 7.00 — — 2 36 30% 1 — —
Ilie Sánchez M 60 6.30 — — — 27 25% 1 1 —
O. Wolff M 96 6.70 — — — 48 45% 1 — —
F. Torres M 71 6.70 — — 1 30 27% — — —
B. Vázquez F 96 6.30 — — 5 11 10% — — —
M. Uzuni F 96 6.90 — — — 26 23% 4 — —
B. Šabović M 36 6.60 — — — 21 20% 1 1 —
Ervin Torres M 25 6.90 — — — 11 11% 1 — —
J. Rosales M 36 7.00 — — — 17 13% — — —
M. Đorđević D 26 6.60 — — — 14 13% — — —
Ž. Kolmanič D 14 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Austin?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Austin?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 22% to a draw, and 15% to an Austin win.