MLS
· Regular Season - 17
July 26, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Houston Dynamo
M. Bogusz
(ast. E. Ponce)
12'
M. Bogusz
(ast. Guilherme)
29'
Guilherme
(ast. A. Bouzat)
32'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 61% win probability (draw 22%, Austin 15%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Austin.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
1.70
Actual xG
0.84
5
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
1
Corners
6
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Bogusz
· ast. E. Ponce
12'
18'
I. Sanchez
⚽M. Bogusz
· ast. Guilherme
29'
⚽Guilherme
· ast. A. Bouzat
32'
Felipe Andrade
42'
60'
B. Sabovic
/
I. Sanchez
60'
J. Rosales
/
P. Placheta
62'
B. Sabovic
Lucas Halter
62'
D. Samassekou
/ Artur
63'
A. Bouzat
/ J. McGlynn
70'
E. Ponce
/ D. McGuire
70'
70'
M. Djordjevic
/
O. Svatok
71'
E. Torres
/
F. Torres
82'
Z. Kolmanic
/
J. Gallagher
Guilherme
/ O. Lingr
84'
Lucas Halter
/ E. Sviatchenko
85'
Pre-match prediction
61.26%
Houston ←
22.91%
X
15.83%
Austin
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
61.26%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
1.70
-0.06
0.66
0.84
+0.18
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.84).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
5
Lucas Halter
85'
D
Lucas Halter
85'
D
18
D. Samassékou
63'
D
D. Samassékou
63'
D
34
A. Resch
D
A. Resch
D
11
L. Ennali
M
L. Ennali
M
30
A. Bouzat
1 👟
70'
M
A. Bouzat
1 👟
70'
M
16
H. Herrera
M
H. Herrera
M
36
Felipe Andrade
M
Felipe Andrade
M
20
Guilherme
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
Guilherme
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
10
E. Ponce
1 👟
70'
F
E. Ponce
1 👟
70'
F
19
M. Bogusz
2 ⚽
F
M. Bogusz
2 ⚽
F
Bench
6
Artur
33'
M
Artur
33'
M
26
B. Gillingham
G
B. Gillingham
G
14
D. Holmes
M
D. Holmes
M
23
D. McGuire
26'
F
D. McGuire
26'
F
28
Erik Sviatchenko
11'
D
Erik Sviatchenko
11'
D
21
F. Negri
D
F. Negri
D
8
J. McGlynn
26'
M
J. McGlynn
26'
M
22
M. Arana
M
M. Arana
M
9
O. Lingr
12'
M
O. Lingr
12'
M
1
B. Stuver
G
B. Stuver
G
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
4
B. Hines-Ike
D
B. Hines-Ike
D
5
O. Svatok
70'
D
O. Svatok
70'
D
17
J. Gallagher
82'
D
J. Gallagher
82'
D
77
P. Płacheta
60'
M
P. Płacheta
60'
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
60'
M
Ilie Sánchez
60'
M
33
Owen Wolff
M
Owen Wolff
M
11
F. Torres
71'
M
F. Torres
71'
M
9
B. Vázquez
F
B. Vázquez
F
10
M. Uzuni
F
M. Uzuni
F
Bench
14
B. Šabović
36'
M
B. Šabović
36'
M
21
C. Ramirez
F
C. Ramirez
F
12
D. Las
G
D. Las
G
38
Ervin Torres
25'
M
Ervin Torres
25'
M
7
J. Nelson
F
J. Nelson
F
30
J. Rosales
36'
M
J. Rosales
36'
M
35
M. Đorđević
26'
D
M. Đorđević
26'
D
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
23
Ž. Kolmanič
14'
D
Ž. Kolmanič
14'
D
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
F · Houston
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 41 pass
M. Bogusz
F · Houston
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 14 pass
J. Bond
G · Houston
8.20
· 37 pass
Lucas Halter
D · Houston
7.30
· 60 pass
A. Bouzat
M · Houston
7.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
A. Resch
D · Houston
7.20
· 68 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Halter | D | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Samassékou | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Resch | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Ennali | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 62% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Guilherme | F | 84 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | F | 96 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. McGuire | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Erik Sviatchenko | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. McGlynn | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Lingr | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stuver | G | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Hines-Ike | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 74 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Svatok | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 49% | — | — | — |
| J. Gallagher | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Płacheta | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Owen Wolff | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| B. Vázquez | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 5 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Šabović | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rosales | M | 36 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Đorđević | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ž. Kolmanič | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Austin?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Austin?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 22% to a draw, and 15% to an Austin win.