MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 02:30
L. Ennali
72'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Colorado Rapids 24%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Colorado Rapids. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
2
5
Shots on target
1
0.27
Actual xG
0.41
1
Saves
4
40%
Possession
60%
6
Corners
4
21
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Felipe Andrade
31'
33'
N. Cobb
/
R. Holding
40'
P. Aaronson
/
J. Atencio
44'
H. Ojediran
47'
A. Manyoma
M. Bogusz
56'
58'
G. Minoungou
/
A. Manyoma
Artur
/ H. Herrera
63'
J. McGlynn
/ A. Bouzat
63'
L. Ennali
63'
66'
D. Yapi
⚽L. Ennali
72'
81'
J. Travis
/
D. Yapi
81'
K. Stewart-Baynes
/
D. Sealy
81'
M. Diop
/
M. Navarro
E. Ponce
/ O. Lingr
84'
Guilherme
/ I. Aliyu
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
45.49%
Houston ←
29.66%
X
24.85%
Colorado
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
45.49%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
0.27
-1.58
1.05
0.41
-0.64
xG dominance was balanced (0.27 – 0.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Jonathan Bond
G
Jonathan Bond
G
11
Lawrence Ennali
1 ⚽
D
Lawrence Ennali
1 ⚽
D
34
Agustin Resch
D
Agustin Resch
D
3
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
18
Diadié Samassékou
M
Diadié Samassékou
M
6
Artur
63'
M
Artur
63'
M
8
Jack McGlynn
63'
M
Jack McGlynn
63'
M
20
Guilherme
F
Guilherme
F
10
Ezequiel Ponce
84'
F
Ezequiel Ponce
84'
F
19
Mateusz Bogusz
F
Mateusz Bogusz
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
30'
M
A. Bouzat
30'
M
14
Duane Holmes
M
Duane Holmes
M
21
Franco Negri
D
Franco Negri
D
16
Héctor Herrera
30'
M
Héctor Herrera
30'
M
24
Ibrahim Aliyu
2'
F
Ibrahim Aliyu
2'
F
17
Nick Markanich
F
Nick Markanich
F
9
Ondrej Lingr
9'
M
Ondrej Lingr
9'
M
1
Z. Steffen
G
29
M. Navarro
81'
D
M. Navarro
81'
D
22
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
6
R. Holding
33'
D
R. Holding
33'
D
33
Kosi Thompson
D
Kosi Thompson
D
12
J. Atencio
40'
M
J. Atencio
40'
M
8
H. Ojediran
M
H. Ojediran
M
11
Alexis Manyoma
60'
M
Alexis Manyoma
60'
M
9
Rafael Navarro
M
Rafael Navarro
M
7
D. Sealy
81'
M
D. Sealy
81'
M
77
Darren Yapi
81'
F
Darren Yapi
81'
F
Bench
93
Georgi Minoungou
33'
F
99
J. Travis
12'
D
J. Travis
12'
D
2
Keegan Rosenberry
D
Keegan Rosenberry
D
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
24
Noah Cobb
60'
D
Noah Cobb
60'
D
10
Paxten Aaronson
53'
M
Paxten Aaronson
53'
M
4
Reggie Cannon
D
Reggie Cannon
D
Best on the pitch
Z. Steffen
G · Colorado
8.30
· 27 pass
Lawrence Ennali
D · Houston
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
L. Herrington
D · Colorado
7.70
· 113 pass
R. Holding
D · Colorado
7.30
· 42 pass
Guilherme
F · Houston
7.20
· 31 pass
D · Houston
7.00
· 38 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Ennali | D | 93 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Agustin Resch | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 3 | — | — | |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Jack McGlynn | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| Ezequiel Ponce | F | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Lingr | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Steffen | G | 93 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Herrington | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 113 | 109% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Holding | D | 33 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| H. Ojediran | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexis Manyoma | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Navarro | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sealy | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Travis | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Colorado Rapids win.