MLS
· Regular Season - 11
May 03, 2026 02:30
L. Ennali
72'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Colorado Rapids 24%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Colorado Rapids. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
2
5
Shots on target
1
0.27
Actual xG
0.41
1
Saves
4
40%
Possession
60%
6
Corners
4
21
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Felipe Andrade
31'
33'
N. Cobb
/
R. Holding
40'
P. Aaronson
/
J. Atencio
44'
H. Ojediran
47'
A. Manyoma
M. Bogusz
56'
58'
G. Minoungou
/
A. Manyoma
Artur
/ H. Herrera
63'
J. McGlynn
/ A. Bouzat
63'
L. Ennali
63'
66'
D. Yapi
⚽L. Ennali
72'
81'
J. Travis
/
D. Yapi
81'
K. Stewart-Baynes
/
D. Sealy
81'
M. Diop
/
M. Navarro
E. Ponce
/ O. Lingr
84'
Guilherme
/ I. Aliyu
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
45.49%
Houston ←
29.66%
X
24.85%
Colorado
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
45.49%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
0.27
-1.58
1.05
0.41
-0.64
xG dominance was balanced (0.27 – 0.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
11
L. Ennali
1 ⚽
D
L. Ennali
1 ⚽
D
34
A. Resch
D
A. Resch
D
3
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
18
D. Samassékou
M
D. Samassékou
M
6
Artur
63'
M
Artur
63'
M
8
J. McGlynn
63'
M
J. McGlynn
63'
M
20
Guilherme
F
Guilherme
F
10
E. Ponce
84'
F
E. Ponce
84'
F
19
M. Bogusz
F
M. Bogusz
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
30'
M
A. Bouzat
30'
M
24
A. Ibrahim
2'
F
A. Ibrahim
2'
F
14
D. Holmes
M
D. Holmes
M
21
F. Negri
D
F. Negri
D
16
H. Herrera
30'
M
H. Herrera
30'
M
17
N. Markanich
F
N. Markanich
F
9
O. Lingr
9'
M
O. Lingr
9'
M
1
Z. Steffen
G
29
M. Navarro
81'
D
M. Navarro
81'
D
22
Lucas Herrington
D
Lucas Herrington
D
6
R. Holding
33'
D
R. Holding
33'
D
33
K. Thompson
D
K. Thompson
D
12
J. Atencio
40'
M
J. Atencio
40'
M
8
H. Ojediran
M
H. Ojediran
M
11
A. Castillo Manyoma
60'
M
A. Castillo Manyoma
60'
M
9
Rafael Navarro
M
Rafael Navarro
M
7
D. Sealy
81'
M
D. Sealy
81'
M
77
D. Yapi
81'
F
D. Yapi
81'
F
Bench
93
G. Minoungou
33'
F
G. Minoungou
33'
F
99
J. Travis
12'
D
J. Travis
12'
D
2
K. Rosenberry
D
K. Rosenberry
D
24
N. Cobb
60'
D
N. Cobb
60'
D
41
N. Defreitas
G
N. Defreitas
G
10
P. Aaronson
53'
M
P. Aaronson
53'
M
4
R. Cannon
D
R. Cannon
D
Best on the pitch
Z. Steffen
G · Colorado
8.30
· 27 pass
L. Ennali
D · Houston
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
Lucas Herrington
D · Colorado
7.70
· 113 pass
R. Holding
D · Colorado
7.30
· 42 pass
Guilherme
F · Houston
7.20
· 31 pass
D · Houston
7.00
· 38 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Ennali | D | 93 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Resch | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 3 | — | — | |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| J. McGlynn | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ibrahim | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Lingr | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Steffen | G | 93 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 113 | 109% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Holding | D | 33 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Thompson | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| H. Ojediran | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Castillo Manyoma | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Navarro | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sealy | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D. Yapi | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Minoungou | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Travis | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Cobb | D | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 66% | — | — | — |
| P. Aaronson | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Colorado Rapids win.