MLS
· Regular Season - 26
September 20, 2026 02:30
Guilherme
38'
M. Bogusz
50'
(pen.)
73'
(ast. K. Denkey)
B. J. Ramirez Leon
(pen.)
90'+7
K. Denkey
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 47% win probability (draw 24%, FC Cincinnati 28%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 2–2 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Cincinnati.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
17
2
Shots on target
8
1.20
Actual xG
2.85
6
Saves
0
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
7
7
Tackles
15
Match Events
⚽Guilherme
38'
⚽M. Bogusz
(pen.)
50'
55'
B. J. Ramirez Leon
/
E. Echenique
55'
T. Barlow
/
O. Nwobodo
55'
T. Hadebe
/
N. Hagglund
A. Bouzat
/ D. Samassekou
68'
73'
ast. K. Denkey ·
B. J. Ramirez Leon⚽
L. Ennali
/ I. Aliyu
82'
H. Herrera
/ M. Arana
82'
85'
K. Smith
/
P. Bucha
88'
A. Jabbari
/
G. Valenzuela
Guilherme
/ D. McGuire
90'+5
90'+7
(pen.)
K. Denkey⚽
Pre-match prediction
47.05%
Houston
24.19%
X ←
28.76%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
1.20
-0.3
1.18
2.85
+1.67
FC Cincinnati dominated by xG (2.85 vs 1.20).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Jonathan Bond
G
Jonathan Bond
G
21
Franco Negri
D
Franco Negri
D
5
Lucas Halter
D
Lucas Halter
D
3
Antônio Carlos
D
Antônio Carlos
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
19
Mateusz Bogusz
1 ⚽
M
Mateusz Bogusz
1 ⚽
M
16
Héctor Herrera
81'
M
Héctor Herrera
81'
M
6
Artur
M
Artur
M
11
Lawrence Ennali
81'
M
Lawrence Ennali
81'
M
30
Agustín Bouzat
67'
F
Agustín Bouzat
67'
F
20
Guilherme
1 ⚽
89'
F
Guilherme
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
26
Blake Gillingham
G
Blake Gillingham
G
18
Diadié Samassékou
23'
M
Diadié Samassékou
23'
M
14
Duane Holmes
M
Duane Holmes
M
23
Duncan McGuire
1'
F
Duncan McGuire
1'
F
37
Gilberto Rivera
D
Gilberto Rivera
D
24
Ibrahim Aliyu
9'
F
Ibrahim Aliyu
9'
F
22
Matthew Arana
9'
M
Matthew Arana
9'
M
17
Nick Markanich
F
Nick Markanich
F
18
Roman Celentano
G
Roman Celentano
G
11
Samuel Gidi
D
Samuel Gidi
D
4
Nick Hagglund
54'
D
Nick Hagglund
54'
D
12
Miles Robinson
D
Miles Robinson
D
17
K. Mboma Dem
M
K. Mboma Dem
M
5
O. Nwobodo
54'
M
O. Nwobodo
54'
M
20
Pavel Bucha
84'
M
Pavel Bucha
84'
M
66
E. Echenique
54'
M
E. Echenique
54'
M
10
Evander
F
Evander
F
9
K. Denkey
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
K. Denkey
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
22
G. Valenzuela
87'
F
G. Valenzuela
87'
F
Bench
2
Alvas Powell
D
Alvas Powell
D
88
Andrei Chirila
D
Andrei Chirila
D
99
Ayoub Jabbari
12'
F
Ayoub Jabbari
12'
F
29
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
1 ⚽
36'
D
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
1 ⚽
36'
D
13
Evan Louro
G
Evan Louro
G
14
Kristian Fletcher
F
Kristian Fletcher
F
24
Kyle Smith
15'
D
Kyle Smith
15'
D
16
T. Barlow
36'
F
T. Barlow
36'
F
15
Teenage Hadebe
36'
D
Teenage Hadebe
36'
D
Best on the pitch
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
D · FC
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Guilherme
F · Houston
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 42 pass
Jonathan Bond
G · Houston
8.20
· 37 pass
Teenage Hadebe
D · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 36 pass
K. Mboma Dem
M · FC
7.30
1 shots
· 45 pass
Miles Robinson
D · FC
7.30
· 69 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Franco Negri | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Halter | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | M | 90 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Ennali | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Bouzat | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Duncan McGuire | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | F | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Arana | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Celentano | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Gidi | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| Nick Hagglund | D | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Miles Robinson | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mboma Dem | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Nwobodo | M | 54 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Pavel Bucha | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Echenique | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Evander | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Valenzuela | F | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoub Jabbari | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | D | 36 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Kyle Smith | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| T. Barlow | F | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Teenage Hadebe | D | 36 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 35% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 2–2 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an FC Cincinnati win.