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MLS · Regular Season - 30 October 18, 2026 02:30 Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas
Houston Dynamo
#5 · 48 pts
2 – 2
Final score
FC Dallas
#2 · 54 pts
Héctor Herrera (ast. Guilherme Augusto) 49'
Mateusz Bogusz 90'+4 (pen.)
12' (ast. Daniel Job) Christian Cappis
(pen.) 90'+11 Petar Musa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Dallas a 42% win probability (draw 21%, Houston Dynamo 36%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 2–2 FC Dallas. In 2 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Dallas.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
6
1.38
Actual xG
2.50
5
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
5
19
Tackles
19
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
12'
ast. Daniel Job · Christian Cappis⚽
Agustin Resch
27'
Franco Negri
28'
29'
(missed pen.) Petar Musa⚽
⚽Héctor Herrera · ast. Guilherme Augusto
49'
59'
Sebastien Ibeagha
Diadie Samassekou
60'
↕ Diadie Samassekou / Ibrahim Aliyu
61'
61'
Santiago Moreno / Daniel Job ↕
61'
Joaquín Valiente Cioli / Patrickson Delgado ↕
69'
↕ Lyle Foster / Duncan McGuire
72'
79'
Ran Binyamin / Herman Johansson ↕
↕ Lawrence Ennali / Duane Holmes
87'
↕ Guilherme Augusto / Nick Markanich
88'
89'
Samuel Sarver / Bernard Kamungo ↕
⚽Mateusz Bogusz (pen.)
90'+4
Mateusz Bogusz
90'+8
90'+11
(pen.) Petar Musa⚽
90'+12
Samuel Sarver
Lucas Halter
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.56%
Houston
21.14%
X ←
42.3%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Houston
1.72
1.38
-0.34
FC
1.98
2.50
+0.52
FC Dallas dominated by xG (2.50 vs 1.38). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 31 55
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 31 54
3 St. Louis City St. Louis City 31 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 31 48
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 31 48
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 32 47
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 31 43
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 31 42
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 32 41
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 31 39
11 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 31 37
12 San Diego San Diego 31 35
13 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 31 35
14 Austin Austin 31 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 31 22
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-3-3
31 J. Bond J. Bond G 7.74
21 F. Negri F. Negri D 6.16
34 A. Resch A. Resch D 6.39
5 Lucas Halter Lucas Halter D 6.13
11 L. Ennali L. Ennali 87' D 6.45
16 H. Herrera H. Herrera 1 ⚽ M 8.20
6 Artur Artur M 6.54
18 D. Samassékou D. Samassékou 61' M 6.20
20 Guilherme Guilherme 1 👟 88' F 7.15
9 L. Foster L. Foster 72' F 6.32
19 M. Bogusz M. Bogusz 1 ⚽ F 6.79
Bench
30 A. Bouzat A. Bouzat M 0.00
24 A. Ibrahim A. Ibrahim 29' F 6.88
3 Antônio Carlos Antônio Carlos D 0.00
26 B. Gillingham B. Gillingham G 0.00
14 D. Holmes D. Holmes 3' M 6.00
23 D. McGuire D. McGuire 18' F 6.71
22 M. Arana M. Arana M 0.00
4 M. Saracchi M. Saracchi D 0.00
17 N. Markanich N. Markanich 2' F 6.59
FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-4-2-1
42 Daniel Daniel G 6.10
32 N. Norris N. Norris D 6.36
25 S. Ibeagha S. Ibeagha D 6.06
18 S. Moore S. Moore D 6.73
77 B. Kamungo B. Kamungo 89' M 6.30
12 C. Cappis C. Cappis 1 ⚽ M 7.56
17 Ramiro Ramiro M 6.64
14 H. Johansson H. Johansson 79' M 6.21
7 D. Job D. Job 1 👟 61' M 7.47
8 P. Delgado P. Delgado 61' M 6.25
9 P. Musa P. Musa 1 ⚽ F 7.09
Bench
27 Caleb Swann Caleb Swann M 0.00
33 C. Holstad C. Holstad M 0.00
40 J. Sirois J. Sirois G 0.00
21 J. Valiente J. Valiente 29' M 5.98
5 L. Abubakar L. Abubakar D 0.00
3 O. Urhoghide O. Urhoghide D 0.00
6 R. Binyamin R. Binyamin 11' M 5.92
28 Samuel Sarver Samuel Sarver 13' F 6.50
10 S. Moreno S. Moreno 29' F 7.09
Best on the pitch
H. Herrera
H. Herrera
M · Houston
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 97 pass
J. Bond
J. Bond
G · Houston
7.74
· 23 pass
C. Cappis
C. Cappis
M · FC
7.56
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
D. Job
D. Job
M · FC
7.47
1 👟
1 shots · 23 pass
Guilherme
Guilherme
F · Houston
7.15
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
S. Moreno
S. Moreno
F · FC
7.09
3 shots · 16 pass
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bond G 90 7.74 — — 0 23 19% 0 — —
F. Negri D 90 6.16 — — 1 33 28% 0 1 —
A. Resch D 90 6.39 — — 0 48 41% 2 1 —
Lucas Halter D 90 6.13 — — 0 64 55% 1 1 —
L. Ennali D 87 6.45 — — 1 35 31% 3 — —
H. Herrera M 90 8.20 1 — 2 97 89% 2 — —
Artur M 90 6.54 — — 1 100 86% 3 — —
D. Samassékou M 61 6.20 — — 0 27 23% 1 1 —
Guilherme F 88 7.15 — 1 2 42 33% 0 — —
L. Foster F 72 6.32 — — 0 23 18% 1 — —
M. Bogusz F 90 6.79 1 — 4 26 26% 0 1 —
A. Ibrahim F 29 6.88 — — 0 5 4% 6 — —
D. Holmes M 3 6.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
D. McGuire F 18 6.71 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
N. Markanich F 2 6.59 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
FC Dallas FC Dallas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel G 90 6.10 — — 0 24 13% 0 — —
N. Norris D 90 6.36 — — 0 37 31% 1 — —
S. Ibeagha D 90 6.06 — — 0 28 22% 2 1 —
S. Moore D 90 6.73 — — 0 37 32% 1 — —
B. Kamungo M 89 6.30 — — 4 33 30% 1 — —
C. Cappis M 90 7.56 1 — 1 42 35% 4 — —
Ramiro M 90 6.64 — — 1 56 50% 5 — —
H. Johansson M 79 6.21 — — 1 28 21% 1 — —
D. Job M 61 7.47 — 1 1 23 20% 1 — —
P. Delgado M 61 6.25 — — 0 25 23% 0 — —
P. Musa F 90 7.09 1 — 3 28 15% 0 — —
J. Valiente M 29 5.98 — — 1 9 7% 2 — —
R. Binyamin M 11 5.92 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
Samuel Sarver F 13 6.50 — — 0 0 0% 0 — 1
S. Moreno F 29 7.09 — — 3 16 15% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 2–2 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 21% to a draw, and 42% to an FC Dallas win.