MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 02:30

Houston Dynamo

#5 · 48 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Los Angeles Galaxy

#9 · 41 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Houston Dynamo

Guilherme 21' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 68% win probability (draw 19%, Los Angeles Galaxy 11%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Los Angeles Galaxy. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

0

1.24

Actual xG

0.74

61%

Possession

39%

4

Corners

3

Match Events

⚽Guilherme (pen.)

21'

H. Herrera

45'+1

46'

C. Garces / M. Yoshida ↕

54'

I. Parente / E. Wynder ↕

L. Ennali

56'

58'

C. Garces

65'

H. Lozano / R. Taylor ↕

↕ F. Negri / D. Holmes

65'

↕ D. McGuire / O. Lingr

65'

65'

T. Elgersma / K. Furuhashi ↕

↕ J. McGlynn / A. Bouzat

83'

↕ M. Bogusz / I. Aliyu

89'

↕ H. Herrera / D. Samassekou

89'

90'+4

H. Lozano

I. Aliyu

90'+9

I. Aliyu

90'+11

I. Aliyu

90'+11

90'

R. Ramos / L. Sanabria ↕

Pre-match prediction

68.99%

Houston ←

19.49%

X

11.52%

Los

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo) 68.99% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Houston

1.92

1.24

-0.68

Los

0.50

0.74

+0.24

Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.74). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	55
2	FC Dallas	31	54
3	St. Louis City	31	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	48
6	Los Angeles FC	32	47
7	Seattle Sounders	31	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	42
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	32	41
10	Real Salt Lake	31	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	37
12	San Diego	31	35
13	Minnesota United FC	31	35
14	Austin	31	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	22