MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 02:30

Houston Dynamo

#2 · 43 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Los Angeles Galaxy

#12 · 29 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Houston Dynamo

Guilherme 21' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 68% win probability (draw 19%, Los Angeles Galaxy 11%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Los Angeles Galaxy. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

0

1.24

Actual xG

0.74

61%

Possession

39%

4

Corners

3

Match Events

⚽Guilherme (pen.)

21'

H. Herrera

45'+1

46'

C. Garces / M. Yoshida ↕

54'

I. Parente / E. Wynder ↕

L. Ennali

56'

58'

C. Garces

65'

H. Lozano / R. Taylor ↕

↕ F. Negri / D. Holmes

65'

↕ D. McGuire / O. Lingr

65'

65'

T. Elgersma / K. Furuhashi ↕

↕ J. McGlynn / A. Bouzat

83'

↕ M. Bogusz / I. Aliyu

89'

↕ H. Herrera / D. Samassekou

89'

90'+4

H. Lozano

I. Aliyu

90'+9

I. Aliyu

90'+11

I. Aliyu

90'+11

90'

R. Ramos / L. Sanabria ↕

Pre-match prediction

68.99%

Houston ←

19.49%

X

11.52%

Los

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo) 68.99% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Houston

1.92

1.24

-0.68

Los

0.50

0.74

+0.24

Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.74). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	23	46
2	Houston Dynamo	24	43
3	Los Angeles FC	25	40
4	FC Dallas	24	40
5	San Jose Earthquakes	24	38
6	St. Louis City	24	38
7	Colorado Rapids	24	32
8	Portland Timbers	24	32
9	San Diego	24	30
10	Real Salt Lake	23	29
11	Minnesota United FC	24	29
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	25	29
13	Seattle Sounders	22	27
14	Austin	24	26
15	Sporting Kansas City	23	15