MLS
· Regular Season - 9
April 23, 2026 02:30
I. Aliyu
(ast. O. Lingr)
35'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 49% win probability (draw 25%, San Diego 25%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
1
0.85
Actual xG
1.34
1
Saves
1
29%
Possession
71%
1
Corners
3
18
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Felipe Andrade
14'
⚽I. Aliyu
· ast. O. Lingr
35'
38'
A. Godoy
D. Samassekou
/ Artur
66'
Guilherme
/ E. Ponce
66'
66'
M. Ingvartsen
/
A. Godoy
66'
A. Pellegrino
/
L. Morgan
M. Bogusz
/ L. Ennali
75'
A. Bouzat
/ H. Herrera
75'
77'
D. Vazquez
/
O. Soe
77'
I. Pilcher
/
A. Mighten
79'
A. Pellegrino
Felipe Andrade
/ E. Sviatchenko
90'+1
90'+1
A. Alvarado Jr
/
O. Verhoeven
F. Negri
90'+3
90'+7
I. Pilcher
O. Lingr
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
49.0%
Houston ←
25.5%
X
25.5%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
49.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.60
0.85
-1.75
1.16
1.34
+0.19
San Diego dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.85).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Jonathan Bond
G
Jonathan Bond
G
21
Franco Negri
D
Franco Negri
D
34
Agustin Resch
D
Agustin Resch
D
3
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
19
Mateusz Bogusz
75'
M
Mateusz Bogusz
75'
M
30
A. Bouzat
77'
M
A. Bouzat
77'
M
18
Diadié Samassékou
66'
M
Diadié Samassékou
66'
M
24
Ibrahim Aliyu
1 ⚽
M
Ibrahim Aliyu
1 ⚽
M
20
Guilherme
66'
F
Guilherme
66'
F
9
Ondrej Lingr
1 👟
F
Ondrej Lingr
1 👟
F
Bench
6
Artur
34'
M
Artur
34'
M
14
Duane Holmes
M
Duane Holmes
M
28
Erik Sviatchenko
9'
D
Erik Sviatchenko
9'
D
10
Ezequiel Ponce
34'
F
Ezequiel Ponce
34'
F
16
Héctor Herrera
23'
M
Héctor Herrera
23'
M
1
J. Maurer
G
11
Lawrence Ennali
25'
F
Lawrence Ennali
25'
F
17
Nick Markanich
F
Nick Markanich
F
13
Sam Vines
D
Sam Vines
D
18
G
26
M. Duah
D
M. Duah
D
17
O. Soe
77'
D
97
C. McVey
D
C. McVey
D
77
Alex Mighten
77'
M
Alex Mighten
77'
M
6
Jeppe Tverskov
M
Jeppe Tverskov
M
20
A. Godoy
66'
M
A. Godoy
66'
M
33
Oscar Verhoeven
M
Oscar Verhoeven
M
8
Onni Valakari
F
Onni Valakari
F
10
A. Dreyer
F
A. Dreyer
F
9
Lewis Morgan
66'
F
Lewis Morgan
66'
F
Bench
90
Amahl Pellegrino
13'
F
Amahl Pellegrino
13'
F
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
Bryan Zamblé
F
21
Bryce Duke
M
Bryce Duke
M
1
CJ Dos Santos
G
CJ Dos Santos
G
19
David Vazquez
23'
M
David Vazquez
23'
M
25
Ian Pilcher
23'
D
Ian Pilcher
23'
D
7
M. Ingvartsen
34'
F
M. Ingvartsen
34'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Duah
D · San
7.90
· 120 pass
A. Dreyer
F · San
7.30
1 shots
· 64 pass
Ibrahim Aliyu
M · Houston
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Mateusz Bogusz
M · Houston
7.30
2 shots
· 17 pass
Jonathan Bond
G · Houston
7.30
· 29 pass
Agustin Resch
D · Houston
7.30
· 37 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | G | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Negri | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| Agustin Resch | D | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | M | 100 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Lingr | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Artur | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Erik Sviatchenko | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Ponce | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Lawrence Ennali | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Duah | D | 100 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 120 | 113% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Soe | D | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 87 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 105 | 99% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Mighten | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Jeppe Tverskov | M | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 122 | 109% | — | — | — |
| A. Godoy | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 90 | 82% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Onni Valakari | F | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Morgan | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Amahl Pellegrino | F | 13 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | 1 |
| David Vazquez | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ian Pilcher | D | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs San Diego?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs San Diego?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an San Diego win.