MLS
· Regular Season - 9
April 23, 2026 02:30
I. Aliyu
(ast. O. Lingr)
35'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 49% win probability (draw 25%, San Diego 25%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
1
0.85
Actual xG
1.34
1
Saves
1
29%
Possession
71%
1
Corners
3
18
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Felipe Andrade
14'
⚽I. Aliyu
· ast. O. Lingr
35'
38'
A. Godoy
D. Samassekou
/ Artur
66'
Guilherme
/ E. Ponce
66'
66'
M. Ingvartsen
/
A. Godoy
66'
A. Pellegrino
/
L. Morgan
M. Bogusz
/ L. Ennali
75'
A. Bouzat
/ H. Herrera
75'
77'
D. Vazquez
/
O. Soe
77'
I. Pilcher
/
A. Mighten
79'
A. Pellegrino
Felipe Andrade
/ E. Sviatchenko
90'+1
90'+1
A. Alvarado Jr
/
O. Verhoeven
F. Negri
90'+3
90'+7
I. Pilcher
O. Lingr
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
49.0%
Houston ←
25.5%
X
25.5%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
49.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.60
0.85
-1.75
1.16
1.34
+0.19
San Diego dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.85).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
21
F. Negri
D
F. Negri
D
34
A. Resch
D
A. Resch
D
3
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
19
M. Bogusz
75'
M
M. Bogusz
75'
M
30
A. Bouzat
77'
M
A. Bouzat
77'
M
18
D. Samassékou
66'
M
D. Samassékou
66'
M
24
A. Ibrahim
1 ⚽
M
A. Ibrahim
1 ⚽
M
20
Guilherme
66'
F
Guilherme
66'
F
9
O. Lingr
1 👟
F
O. Lingr
1 👟
F
Bench
6
Artur
34'
M
Artur
34'
M
14
D. Holmes
M
D. Holmes
M
10
E. Ponce
34'
F
E. Ponce
34'
F
28
E. Sviatchenko
9'
D
E. Sviatchenko
9'
D
16
H. Herrera
23'
M
H. Herrera
23'
M
1
J. Maurer
G
11
L. Ennali
25'
F
L. Ennali
25'
F
17
N. Markanich
F
N. Markanich
F
13
S. Vines
D
S. Vines
D
18
G
26
M. Duah
D
M. Duah
D
17
O. Søe
77'
D
O. Søe
77'
D
97
C. McVey
D
C. McVey
D
77
A. Mighten
77'
M
A. Mighten
77'
M
6
J. Tverskov
M
J. Tverskov
M
20
A. Godoy
66'
M
A. Godoy
66'
M
33
O. Verhoeven
M
O. Verhoeven
M
8
O. Valakari
F
O. Valakari
F
10
A. Dreyer
F
A. Dreyer
F
9
L. Morgan
66'
F
L. Morgan
66'
F
Bench
90
A. Pellegrino
13'
F
A. Pellegrino
13'
F
14
B. B. Zamble
F
B. B. Zamble
F
21
B. Duke
M
B. Duke
M
1
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
19
D. Vazquez
23'
M
D. Vazquez
23'
M
25
I. Pilcher
23'
D
I. Pilcher
23'
D
7
M. Ingvartsen
34'
F
M. Ingvartsen
34'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Duah
D · San
7.90
· 120 pass
A. Dreyer
F · San
7.30
1 shots
· 64 pass
A. Ibrahim
M · Houston
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
M. Bogusz
M · Houston
7.30
2 shots
· 17 pass
J. Bond
G · Houston
7.30
· 29 pass
A. Resch
D · Houston
7.30
· 37 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Negri | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Resch | D | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Bogusz | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ibrahim | M | 100 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Lingr | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Artur | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Sviatchenko | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Ennali | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Duah | D | 100 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 120 | 113% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Søe | D | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 87 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 105 | 99% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mighten | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 35% | — | — | — |
| J. Tverskov | M | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 122 | 109% | — | — | — |
| A. Godoy | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 90 | 82% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Verhoeven | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Valakari | F | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | — | — | — |
| L. Morgan | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Pellegrino | F | 13 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | 1 |
| D. Vazquez | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| I. Pilcher | D | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs San Diego?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs San Diego?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an San Diego win.