MLS
· Regular Season - 22
August 30, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Houston Dynamo, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 62% win probability (draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 16%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for San Jose Earthquakes.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
0
Shots on target
4
0.72
Actual xG
1.20
4
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
7
Corners
4
8
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
58'
R. Roberts
F. Negri
/ I. Aliyu
61'
69'
M. Floriani
/
D. Romney
73'
P. Judd
/
P. Marie
73'
N. Fernandez
/
B. Leroux
H. Herrera
/ D. McGuire
75'
82'
J. Jasinski
/
J. Ricketts
Felipe Andrade
/ D. Holmes
83'
90'+1
Vitor Costa
/
E. Lowen
J. McGlynn
/ A. Bouzat
90'+1
90'+1
I. Harkes
/
N. Tsakiris
Pre-match prediction
62.36%
Houston
21.01%
X ←
16.64%
San
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.89
0.72
-1.17
0.79
1.20
+0.41
San Jose Earthquakes dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.72).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
21
F. Negri
61'
D
F. Negri
61'
D
34
A. Resch
D
A. Resch
D
3
Antônio Carlos
D
Antônio Carlos
D
36
Felipe Andrade
83'
D
Felipe Andrade
83'
D
16
H. Herrera
75'
M
H. Herrera
75'
M
6
Artur
M
Artur
M
20
Guilherme
M
Guilherme
M
8
J. McGlynn
89'
M
J. McGlynn
89'
M
11
L. Ennali
M
L. Ennali
M
19
M. Bogusz
F
M. Bogusz
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
9'
M
A. Bouzat
9'
M
24
A. Ibrahim
29'
F
A. Ibrahim
29'
F
26
B. Gillingham
G
B. Gillingham
G
14
D. Holmes
17'
M
D. Holmes
17'
M
23
D. McGuire
15'
F
D. McGuire
15'
F
18
D. Samassékou
M
D. Samassékou
M
28
E. Sviatchenko
D
E. Sviatchenko
D
17
N. Markanich
F
N. Markanich
F
13
S. Vines
D
S. Vines
D
1
A. Gunn
G
A. Gunn
G
18
R. Roberts
D
R. Roberts
D
4
D. Romney
69'
D
D. Romney
69'
D
5
D. Munie
D
D. Munie
D
2
J. Ricketts
82'
M
J. Ricketts
82'
M
34
Beau Leroux
73'
M
Beau Leroux
73'
M
14
R. Vieira
M
R. Vieira
M
3
P. Marie
73'
M
P. Marie
73'
M
23
E. Löwen
89'
F
E. Löwen
89'
F
10
N. Tsakiris
89'
F
N. Tsakiris
89'
F
7
O. Bouda
F
O. Bouda
F
Bench
31
Francesco Montali
G
Francesco Montali
G
6
I. Harkes
9'
M
I. Harkes
9'
M
17
Jack Jasinski
8'
D
Jack Jasinski
8'
D
16
J. Skahan
M
J. Skahan
M
9
L. Jovanović
F
L. Jovanović
F
25
M. Floriani
21'
D
M. Floriani
21'
D
20
N. Fernandez
17'
M
N. Fernandez
17'
M
19
P. Judd
17'
F
P. Judd
17'
F
87
Vítor Costa
9'
D
Vítor Costa
9'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Bond
G · Houston
8.70
· 28 pass
R. Vieira
M · San
7.70
· 64 pass
Antônio Carlos
D · Houston
7.70
1 shots
· 39 pass
D. Munie
D · San
7.50
· 64 pass
Beau Leroux
M · San
7.30
· 40 pass
Artur
M · Houston
7.20
· 46 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| F. Negri | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Resch | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| J. McGlynn | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | — | — | — |
| L. Ennali | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| A. Ibrahim | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Holmes | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| D. McGuire | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gunn | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| R. Roberts | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 53% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D. Romney | D | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | — | — | — |
| D. Munie | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 64 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ricketts | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| R. Vieira | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Marie | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Löwen | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| N. Tsakiris | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Bouda | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Harkes | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jack Jasinski | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Floriani | D | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| P. Judd | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Vítor Costa | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.