MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 02:30
83'
(ast. J. Morris)
P. Rothrock
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Seattle Sounders 31%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 0–1 Seattle Sounders.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
2
0.85
Actual xG
0.99
1
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
9
Corners
3
19
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Felipe Andrade
38'
F. Negri
/ A. Resch
46'
54'
P. Rothrock
61'
J. Morris
/
D. Musovski
61'
H. Dotson
/
P. Arriola
61'
A. Rusnak
/
J. Ferreira
72'
J. Ragen
D. Holmes
/ O. Lingr
75'
81'
P. Kingston
/
S. Brunell
83'
ast. J. Morris ·
P. Rothrock⚽
D. Samassekou
/ H. Herrera
88'
L. Ennali
/ I. Aliyu
88'
88'
A. Roldan
/
P. Rothrock
A. Resch
/ S. Vines
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.04%
Houston
31.0%
X
31.96%
Seattle ←
we assigned to the actual result (Seattle Sounders)
31.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
0.85
-0.78
1.16
0.99
-0.17
xG dominance was balanced (0.85 – 0.99).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Jonathan Bond
G
Jonathan Bond
G
21
Franco Negri
45'
D
Franco Negri
45'
D
3
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
11
Lawrence Ennali
88'
M
Lawrence Ennali
88'
M
30
A. Bouzat
M
A. Bouzat
M
18
Diadié Samassékou
88'
M
Diadié Samassékou
88'
M
14
Duane Holmes
75'
M
Duane Holmes
75'
M
20
Guilherme
F
Guilherme
F
10
Ezequiel Ponce
F
Ezequiel Ponce
F
19
Mateusz Bogusz
F
Mateusz Bogusz
F
Bench
34
Agustin Resch
47'
D
Agustin Resch
47'
D
16
Héctor Herrera
9'
M
Héctor Herrera
9'
M
24
Ibrahim Aliyu
9'
F
Ibrahim Aliyu
9'
F
1
J. Maurer
G
9
Ondrej Lingr
22'
M
Ondrej Lingr
22'
M
13
Sam Vines
5'
D
Sam Vines
5'
D
26
G
5
D
25
J. Ragen
D
J. Ragen
D
35
D
85
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
D
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
D
7
C. Roldan
M
C. Roldan
M
37
Snyder Brunell
81'
M
Snyder Brunell
81'
M
14
Paul Rothrock
1 ⚽
88'
M
Paul Rothrock
1 ⚽
88'
M
9
Jesús Ferreira
61'
M
Jesús Ferreira
61'
M
17
Paul Arriola
61'
M
Paul Arriola
61'
M
19
Daniel Musovski
61'
F
Daniel Musovski
61'
F
Bench
11
Albert Rusnák
36'
M
Albert Rusnák
36'
M
16
Alex Roldán
9'
D
Alex Roldán
9'
D
31
Hassani Dotson
36'
M
Hassani Dotson
36'
M
13
Jordan Morris
1 👟
36'
F
Jordan Morris
1 👟
36'
F
95
Osaze De Rosario
F
Osaze De Rosario
F
45
Peter Kingston
16'
M
Peter Kingston
16'
M
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
F · Houston
8.70
2 shots
· 55 pass
J. Ragen
D · Seattle
7.50
· 94 pass
Jesús Ferreira
M · Seattle
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
C. Roldan
M · Seattle
7.30
· 78 pass
D · Seattle
7.30
· 84 pass
Jonathan Bond
G · Houston
7.20
· 24 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Franco Negri | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lawrence Ennali | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Duane Holmes | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 97 | 8.70 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Ezequiel Ponce | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Agustin Resch | D | 47 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Lingr | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Sam Vines | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 84 | 81% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Ragen | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 94 | 91% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 59% | 2 | — | — | |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Roldan | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 78 | 70% | 5 | — | — |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 88 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Paul Arriola | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Alex Roldán | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassani Dotson | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Morris | F | 36 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Peter Kingston | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 0–1 Seattle Sounders.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Seattle Sounders win.