MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 02:30
83'
(ast. J. Morris)
P. Rothrock
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Houston Dynamo a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Seattle Sounders 31%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 0–1 Seattle Sounders.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
2
0.85
Actual xG
0.99
1
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
9
Corners
3
19
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Felipe Andrade
38'
F. Negri
/ A. Resch
46'
54'
P. Rothrock
61'
J. Morris
/
D. Musovski
61'
H. Dotson
/
P. Arriola
61'
A. Rusnak
/
J. Ferreira
72'
J. Ragen
D. Holmes
/ O. Lingr
75'
81'
P. Kingston
/
S. Brunell
83'
ast. J. Morris ·
P. Rothrock⚽
D. Samassekou
/ H. Herrera
88'
L. Ennali
/ I. Aliyu
88'
88'
A. Roldan
/
P. Rothrock
A. Resch
/ S. Vines
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.04%
Houston
31.0%
X
31.96%
Seattle ←
we assigned to the actual result (Seattle Sounders)
31.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
0.85
-0.78
1.16
0.99
-0.17
xG dominance was balanced (0.85 – 0.99).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
21
F. Negri
45'
D
F. Negri
45'
D
3
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
11
L. Ennali
88'
M
L. Ennali
88'
M
30
A. Bouzat
M
A. Bouzat
M
18
D. Samassékou
88'
M
D. Samassékou
88'
M
14
D. Holmes
75'
M
D. Holmes
75'
M
20
Guilherme
F
Guilherme
F
10
E. Ponce
F
E. Ponce
F
19
M. Bogusz
F
M. Bogusz
F
Bench
24
A. Ibrahim
9'
F
A. Ibrahim
9'
F
34
A. Resch
47'
D
A. Resch
47'
D
16
H. Herrera
9'
M
H. Herrera
9'
M
1
J. Maurer
G
9
O. Lingr
22'
M
O. Lingr
22'
M
13
S. Vines
5'
D
S. Vines
5'
D
26
G
5
D
25
J. Ragen
D
J. Ragen
D
35
D
85
K. Kossa-Rienzi
D
K. Kossa-Rienzi
D
7
C. Roldan
M
C. Roldan
M
37
S. Brunell
81'
M
S. Brunell
81'
M
14
P. Rothrock
1 ⚽
88'
M
P. Rothrock
1 ⚽
88'
M
9
Jesús Ferreira
61'
M
Jesús Ferreira
61'
M
17
P. Arriola
61'
M
P. Arriola
61'
M
19
D. Musovski
61'
F
D. Musovski
61'
F
Bench
16
A. Roldan
9'
D
A. Roldan
9'
D
11
A. Rusnák
36'
M
A. Rusnák
36'
M
31
H. Dotson
36'
M
H. Dotson
36'
M
13
J. Morris
1 👟
36'
F
J. Morris
1 👟
36'
F
95
O. De Rosario
F
O. De Rosario
F
45
P. Kingston
16'
M
P. Kingston
16'
M
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
F · Houston
8.70
2 shots
· 55 pass
J. Ragen
D · Seattle
7.50
· 94 pass
Jesús Ferreira
M · Seattle
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
C. Roldan
M · Seattle
7.30
· 78 pass
D · Seattle
7.30
· 84 pass
J. Bond
G · Houston
7.20
· 24 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. Negri | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Ennali | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Holmes | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 97 | 8.70 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ibrahim | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Resch | D | 47 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| O. Lingr | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Vines | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 84 | 81% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Ragen | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 94 | 91% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 59% | 2 | — | — | |
| K. Kossa-Rienzi | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Roldan | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 78 | 70% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Brunell | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Rothrock | M | 88 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| P. Arriola | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Musovski | F | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Roldan | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rusnák | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| H. Dotson | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Morris | F | 36 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Kingston | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 0–1 Seattle Sounders.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Seattle Sounders win.