MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 02:30
Guilherme
(ast. Artur)
90'+7
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 31%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
0.94
Actual xG
0.46
3
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
2
22
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
11'
K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
D. Samassekou
/ A. Bouzat
34'
41'
A. Cubas
/
O. Larraz
45'+12
T. Johnson
49'
E. Ocampo
A. Resch
54'
62'
A. Cubas
64'
Y. Takaoka
67'
I. Boehmer
/
K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
67'
M. Gherasimencov
/
T. Johnson
77'
R. Veselinovic
/
E. Ocampo
77'
A. Jackson
/
T. Muller
M. Bogusz
/ O. Lingr
85'
85'
R. Elloumi
/
J. Badwal
J. McGlynn
/ H. Herrera
85'
⚽Guilherme
· ast. Artur
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
31.86%
Houston ←
27.11%
X
41.02%
Vancouver
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
31.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
0.94
-0.27
1.45
0.46
-0.99
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (0.94 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
11
L. Ennali
D
L. Ennali
D
34
A. Resch
D
A. Resch
D
3
Antônio Carlos
D
Antônio Carlos
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
6
Artur
1 👟
M
Artur
1 👟
M
20
Guilherme
1 ⚽
M
Guilherme
1 ⚽
M
18
D. Samassékou
34'
M
D. Samassékou
34'
M
8
J. McGlynn
85'
M
J. McGlynn
85'
M
19
M. Bogusz
85'
M
M. Bogusz
85'
M
10
E. Ponce
F
E. Ponce
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
60'
M
A. Bouzat
60'
M
24
A. Ibrahim
F
A. Ibrahim
F
26
B. Gillingham
G
B. Gillingham
G
14
D. Holmes
M
D. Holmes
M
28
Erik Sviatchenko
D
Erik Sviatchenko
D
21
F. Negri
D
F. Negri
D
16
H. Herrera
9'
M
H. Herrera
9'
M
17
N. Markanich
F
N. Markanich
F
9
O. Lingr
9'
M
O. Lingr
9'
M
1
Y. Takaoka
64'
G
Y. Takaoka
64'
G
28
T. Johnson
67'
D
T. Johnson
67'
D
2
M. Laborda
D
M. Laborda
D
33
T. Blackmon
D
T. Blackmon
D
18
É. Ocampo
77'
D
É. Ocampo
77'
D
8
O. Larraz
40'
M
O. Larraz
40'
M
16
S. Berhalter
M
S. Berhalter
M
17
Kenji Cabrera
67'
M
Kenji Cabrera
67'
M
13
T. Müller
77'
M
T. Müller
77'
M
59
J. Badwal
85'
M
J. Badwal
85'
M
24
B. White
F
B. White
F
Bench
20
A. Cubas
54'
M
A. Cubas
54'
M
22
A. Jackson
17'
M
A. Jackson
17'
M
14
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez
F
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez
F
7
C. Sabaly
F
C. Sabaly
F
32
I. Boehmer
27'
G
I. Boehmer
27'
G
97
Liam Mackenzie
M
Liam Mackenzie
M
29
M. Gherasimencov
27'
D
M. Gherasimencov
27'
D
4
Ranko Veselinović
17'
D
Ranko Veselinović
17'
D
19
R. Elloumi
9'
F
R. Elloumi
9'
F
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
M · Houston
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 48 pass
S. Berhalter
M · Vancouver
7.50
3 shots
· 71 pass
J. McGlynn
M · Houston
7.50
· 65 pass
Felipe Andrade
D · Houston
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
Antônio Carlos
D · Houston
7.30
· 61 pass
I. Boehmer
G · Vancouver
7.30
· 8 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| L. Ennali | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Resch | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 56 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Guilherme | M | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 48 | 38% | — | — | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McGlynn | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| O. Lingr | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Takaoka | G | 64 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | 1 |
| T. Johnson | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Laborda | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Blackmon | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| É. Ocampo | D | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Larraz | M | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Berhalter | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 71 | 64% | 4 | — | — |
| Kenji Cabrera | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Müller | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Badwal | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| B. White | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cubas | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Jackson | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| I. Boehmer | G | 27 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Gherasimencov | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Ranko Veselinović | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Elloumi | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.