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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 17, 2026 02:30
Houston Dynamo
#5 · 51 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Vancouver Whitecaps
#1 · 61 pts
Guilherme (ast. Artur) 90'+7
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 31%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps. In 1 previous meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
0.94
Actual xG
0.46
3
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
2
22
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
11'
K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
↕ D. Samassekou / A. Bouzat
34'
41'
A. Cubas / O. Larraz ↕
45'+12
T. Johnson
49'
E. Ocampo
A. Resch
54'
62'
A. Cubas
64'
Y. Takaoka
67'
I. Boehmer / K. G. Cabrera Nakamura ↕
67'
M. Gherasimencov / T. Johnson ↕
77'
R. Veselinovic / E. Ocampo ↕
77'
A. Jackson / T. Muller ↕
↕ M. Bogusz / O. Lingr
85'
85'
R. Elloumi / J. Badwal ↕
↕ J. McGlynn / H. Herrera
85'
⚽Guilherme · ast. Artur
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
31.86%
Houston ←
27.11%
X
41.02%
Vancouver
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo) 31.86% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Houston
1.21
0.94
-0.27
Vancouver
1.45
0.46
-0.99
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (0.94 vs 0.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 33 61
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 33 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 33 52
4 St. Louis City St. Louis City 33 51
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 33 51
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 33 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 33 44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 33 43
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 33 43
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 33 43
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 33 42
12 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 33 41
13 San Diego San Diego 33 38
14 Austin Austin 33 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 33 23
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-1-4-1
31 J. Bond J. Bond G 6.90
11 L. Ennali L. Ennali D 6.70
34 A. Resch A. Resch D 7.00
3 Antônio Carlos Antônio Carlos D 7.30
36 Felipe Andrade Felipe Andrade D 7.50
6 Artur Artur 1 👟 M 6.90
20 Guilherme Guilherme 1 ⚽ M 7.70
18 D. Samassékou D. Samassékou 34' M 6.60
8 J. McGlynn J. McGlynn 85' M 7.50
19 M. Bogusz M. Bogusz 85' M 6.90
10 E. Ponce E. Ponce F 7.20
Bench
30 A. Bouzat A. Bouzat 60' M 6.30
24 A. Ibrahim A. Ibrahim F
26 B. Gillingham B. Gillingham G
14 D. Holmes D. Holmes M
28 E. Sviatchenko E. Sviatchenko D
21 F. Negri F. Negri D
16 H. Herrera H. Herrera 9' M 6.30
17 N. Markanich N. Markanich F
9 O. Lingr O. Lingr 9' M 6.70
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
1 Y. Takaoka Y. Takaoka 64' G 5.90
28 T. Johnson T. Johnson 67' D 6.90
2 M. Laborda M. Laborda D 7.20
33 T. Blackmon T. Blackmon D 7.20
18 É. Ocampo É. Ocampo 77' D 6.70
8 O. Larraz O. Larraz 40' M 6.20
16 S. Berhalter S. Berhalter M 7.50
17 Kenji Cabrera Kenji Cabrera 67' M 6.30
13 T. Müller T. Müller 77' M 6.30
59 J. Badwal J. Badwal 85' M 6.60
24 B. White B. White F 6.50
Bench
20 A. Cubas A. Cubas 54' M 6.50
22 A. Jackson A. Jackson 17' M 6.50
14 Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez F
7 C. Sabaly C. Sabaly F
32 I. Boehmer I. Boehmer 27' G 7.30
97 Liam Mackenzie Liam Mackenzie M
29 M. Gherasimencov M. Gherasimencov 27' D 6.90
19 R. Elloumi R. Elloumi 9' F 6.30
4 R. Veselinović R. Veselinović 17' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
Guilherme
M · Houston
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 48 pass
S. Berhalter
S. Berhalter
M · Vancouver
7.50
3 shots · 71 pass
J. McGlynn
J. McGlynn
M · Houston
7.50
· 65 pass
Felipe Andrade
Felipe Andrade
D · Houston
7.50
1 shots · 28 pass
Antônio Carlos
Antônio Carlos
D · Houston
7.30
· 61 pass
I. Boehmer
I. Boehmer
G · Vancouver
7.30
· 8 pass
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bond G 94 6.90 — — — 35 33% — — —
L. Ennali D 94 6.70 — — — 30 29% 1 — —
A. Resch D 94 7.00 — — — 64 56% 1 1 —
Antônio Carlos D 94 7.30 — — — 61 57% 4 — —
Felipe Andrade D 94 7.50 — — 1 28 26% 4 — —
Artur M 94 6.90 — 1 1 56 55% 3 — —
Guilherme M 94 7.70 1 — 4 48 38% — — —
D. Samassékou M 34 6.60 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
J. McGlynn M 85 7.50 — — — 65 51% 5 — —
M. Bogusz M 85 6.90 — — 2 16 14% 2 — —
E. Ponce F 94 7.20 — — 1 18 17% — — —
A. Bouzat M 60 6.30 — — 1 26 22% 1 — —
H. Herrera M 9 6.30 — — — 15 15% — — —
O. Lingr M 9 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Takaoka G 64 5.90 — — — 12 12% — — 1
T. Johnson D 67 6.90 — — — 36 36% — 1 —
M. Laborda D 94 7.20 — — 1 50 45% 1 — —
T. Blackmon D 94 7.20 — — — 54 50% 1 — —
É. Ocampo D 77 6.70 — — 1 32 29% — 1 —
O. Larraz M 40 6.20 — — — 18 18% — — —
S. Berhalter M 94 7.50 — — 3 71 64% 4 — —
Kenji Cabrera M 67 6.30 — — — 32 26% — 1 —
T. Müller M 77 6.30 — — 1 24 20% 2 — —
J. Badwal M 85 6.60 — — — 33 28% 2 — —
B. White F 94 6.50 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
A. Cubas M 54 6.50 — — — 36 32% 4 1 —
A. Jackson M 17 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
I. Boehmer G 27 7.30 — — — 8 3% — — —
M. Gherasimencov D 27 6.90 — — — 5 5% 2 — —
R. Elloumi F 9 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
R. Veselinović D 17 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.