MLS
· Regular Season - 15
May 17, 2026 02:30
Guilherme
(ast. Artur)
90'+7
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 31%). The final result was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
0.94
Actual xG
0.46
3
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
2
22
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
11'
K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
D. Samassekou
/ A. Bouzat
34'
41'
A. Cubas
/
O. Larraz
45'+12
T. Johnson
49'
E. Ocampo
A. Resch
54'
62'
A. Cubas
64'
Y. Takaoka
67'
I. Boehmer
/
K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
67'
M. Gherasimencov
/
T. Johnson
77'
R. Veselinovic
/
E. Ocampo
77'
A. Jackson
/
T. Muller
M. Bogusz
/ O. Lingr
85'
85'
R. Elloumi
/
J. Badwal
J. McGlynn
/ H. Herrera
85'
⚽Guilherme
· ast. Artur
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
31.86%
Houston ←
27.11%
X
41.02%
Vancouver
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
31.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
0.94
-0.27
1.45
0.46
-0.99
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (0.94 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Jonathan Bond
G
Jonathan Bond
G
11
Lawrence Ennali
D
Lawrence Ennali
D
34
Agustin Resch
D
Agustin Resch
D
3
Antônio Carlos
D
Antônio Carlos
D
36
Felipe Andrade
D
Felipe Andrade
D
6
Artur
1 👟
M
Artur
1 👟
M
20
Guilherme
1 ⚽
M
Guilherme
1 ⚽
M
18
Diadié Samassékou
34'
M
Diadié Samassékou
34'
M
8
Jack McGlynn
85'
M
Jack McGlynn
85'
M
19
Mateusz Bogusz
85'
M
Mateusz Bogusz
85'
M
10
Ezequiel Ponce
F
Ezequiel Ponce
F
Bench
30
A. Bouzat
60'
M
A. Bouzat
60'
M
26
Blake Gillingham
G
Blake Gillingham
G
14
Duane Holmes
M
Duane Holmes
M
28
Erik Sviatchenko
D
Erik Sviatchenko
D
21
Franco Negri
D
Franco Negri
D
16
Héctor Herrera
9'
M
Héctor Herrera
9'
M
24
Ibrahim Aliyu
F
Ibrahim Aliyu
F
17
Nick Markanich
F
Nick Markanich
F
9
Ondrej Lingr
9'
M
Ondrej Lingr
9'
M
1
Y. Takaoka
64'
G
Y. Takaoka
64'
G
28
Tate Johnson
67'
D
Tate Johnson
67'
D
2
Mathías Laborda
D
Mathías Laborda
D
33
Tristan Blackmon
D
Tristan Blackmon
D
18
É. Ocampo
77'
D
É. Ocampo
77'
D
8
Oliver Larraz
40'
M
Oliver Larraz
40'
M
16
S. Berhalter
M
S. Berhalter
M
17
Kenji Cabrera
67'
M
Kenji Cabrera
67'
M
13
Thomas Müller
77'
M
Thomas Müller
77'
M
59
Jeevan Badwal
85'
M
Jeevan Badwal
85'
M
24
B. White
F
B. White
F
Bench
20
A. Cubas
54'
M
A. Cubas
54'
M
22
Aziel Jackson
17'
M
Aziel Jackson
17'
M
14
Bruno Quiñonez
F
Bruno Quiñonez
F
7
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
F
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
F
32
Isaac Boehmer
27'
G
Isaac Boehmer
27'
G
97
Liam MacKenzie
M
Liam MacKenzie
M
29
Mihail Gherasimencov
27'
D
4
Ranko Veselinović
17'
D
Ranko Veselinović
17'
D
19
R. Elloumi
9'
F
R. Elloumi
9'
F
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
M · Houston
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 48 pass
S. Berhalter
M · Vancouver
7.50
3 shots
· 71 pass
Jack McGlynn
M · Houston
7.50
· 65 pass
Felipe Andrade
D · Houston
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
Antônio Carlos
D · Houston
7.30
· 61 pass
Isaac Boehmer
G · Vancouver
7.30
· 8 pass
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Ennali | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustin Resch | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 56 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Guilherme | M | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 48 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack McGlynn | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Ezequiel Ponce | F | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Lingr | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Takaoka | G | 64 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | 1 |
| Tate Johnson | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Mathías Laborda | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Tristan Blackmon | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| É. Ocampo | D | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Oliver Larraz | M | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Berhalter | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 71 | 64% | 4 | — | — |
| Kenji Cabrera | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Thomas Müller | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeevan Badwal | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| B. White | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cubas | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Aziel Jackson | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Isaac Boehmer | G | 27 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mihail Gherasimencov | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Ranko Veselinović | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Elloumi | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The final score was Houston Dynamo 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps.
What did the model predict before Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Houston Dynamo win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.