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Huachipato - D. La Serena

Primera División November 01, 2026 16:00 Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero, Talcahuano
Huachipato
#11 · 32 pts
vs
D. La Serena
#9 · 33 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 16.5°C 💨 21 km/h · Talcahuano
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.44%
Win
Huachipato
25.59%
Draw
43.97%
Win
D. La Serena
1.01
Expected xG
1.42

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (13.14%)
1X2 Result ✓ 64.0% hit rate (25 picks)
1 30%
X 26%
2 44%
Double Chance
1X 56%
X2 70%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
✓ 83.8% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5 45%
✓ 69.2% hit rate (39 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives D. La Serena a 43% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Huachipato. Expected goals are 1.0 for Huachipato and 1.4 for D. La Serena (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.14% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Huachipato have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for D. La Serena.

Season Stats

Huachipato
4W 5D 6L
D. La Serena
5W 5D 5L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.7
1.9
Conceded
1.9
3.6
Shots OT
4.7
3.4
Corners
4.1
45%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
53%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
73%
27%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
65%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Huachipato
4W 2D 4L · at home
D. La Serena
2W 5D 3L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.6
2.0
Conceded
2.2
40%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
70%
90%
O 1.5
90%
80%
O 2.5
60%
70%
O 3.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Huachipato D. La Serena →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 12.5% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.9% 12.6% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Huachipato Huachipato
D A. Italiano 1–1
W O'Higgins 2–0
W Universidad de Concepcion 0–2
D Colo Colo 0–0
L Deportes Limache 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
D. La Serena D. La Serena
W Concepción 3–1
L Everton de Vina 3–2
L Universidad de Chile 0–3
W Nublense 2–1
W Union La Calera 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Huachipato Huachipato
Attack
28
Defence
50
Form
42
D. La Serena D. La Serena
Attack
46
Defence
58
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Huachipato
1
Draw
0
D. La Serena
26 Apr 2026 Primera División 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 26 58
2 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 25 48
3 U. Catolica U. Catolica 25 43
4 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 25 39
5 Palestino Palestino 25 38
6 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 25 37
7 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 25 35
8 Nublense Nublense 25 35
9 D. La Serena D. La Serena 25 33
10 Concepción Concepción 25 32
11 Huachipato Huachipato 24 32
12 A. Italiano A. Italiano 25 30
13 O'Higgins O'Higgins 25 28
14 Cobresal Cobresal 25 26
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 26 23
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 26 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
The model gives Huachipato a 30% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 43% for an D. La Serena win.
How many goals are expected in Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
Expected goals: Huachipato 1.0, D. La Serena 1.4 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.14%.