Championship
· Regular Season - 43
April 18, 2026 16:00
J. Gelhardt
24'
77'
T. Iwata
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hull City a 42% win probability (draw 31%, Birmingham 26%). The final result was Hull City 1–1 Birmingham. In 1 previous meetings, Hull City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Birmingham.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
5
0.95
Actual xG
0.45
4
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
6
24
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽J. Gelhardt
24'
P. McNair
29'
50'
E. Laird
/
B. Osayi-Samuel
55'
J. Stansfield
S. Ajayi
55'
63'
M. Ducksch
/
J. Stansfield
63'
D. Gray
/
I. Osman
J. Gelhardt
67'
L. Millar
/ L. Koumas
75'
J. Gelhardt
/ K. Dowell
75'
77'
T. Iwata⚽
M. Belloumi
/ Y. Hirakawa
83'
P. McNair
/ R. Giles
83'
K. Dowell
85'
86'
D. Gray
A. Hadziahmetovic
/ K. Joseph
87'
88'
P. Neumann
90'+5
Paik Seung-Ho
/
C. Vicente
90'+5
A. Cochrane
/
A. Priske
90'+9
M. Ducksch
Pre-match prediction
42.29%
Hull
31.37%
X ←
26.34%
Birmingham
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
0.95
-0.18
0.94
0.45
-0.49
Hull City dominated by xG (0.95 vs 0.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Ivor Pandur
G
Ivor Pandur
G
37
Paddy McNair
83'
D
Paddy McNair
83'
D
15
John Egan
D
John Egan
D
6
Semi Ajayi
D
Semi Ajayi
D
2
L. Coyle
D
L. Coyle
D
25
M. Crooks
M
M. Crooks
M
20
Amir Hadžiahmetović
87'
M
7
L. Millar
75'
M
L. Millar
75'
M
21
J. Gelhardt
1 ⚽
75'
M
J. Gelhardt
1 ⚽
75'
M
10
Mohamed Belloumi
83'
M
Mohamed Belloumi
83'
M
9
O. McBurnie
F
O. McBurnie
F
Bench
4
C. Hughes
D
C. Hughes
D
8
E. Matazo
M
26
Kieran Dowell
21'
M
Kieran Dowell
21'
M
22
Kyle Joseph
9'
F
Kyle Joseph
9'
F
36
Lewis Koumas
21'
F
Lewis Koumas
21'
F
3
R. Giles
13'
D
R. Giles
13'
D
25
G
31
D
4
C. Klarer
D
C. Klarer
D
5
P. Neumann
D
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
50'
D
24
T. Iwata
1 ⚽
M
14
J. E. Solis Romero
M
17
Ibrahim Osman
63'
M
Ibrahim Osman
63'
M
28
Jay Stansfield
63'
M
23
Carlos Vicente
M
Carlos Vicente
M
29
A. Priske
F
Bench
10
D. Gray
33'
F
2
E. Laird
46'
D
33
M. Ducksch
33'
F
16
P. Roberts
M
8
Seung Ho Paik
1'
M
Seung Ho Paik
1'
M
Best on the pitch
T. Iwata
M · Birmingham
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 51 pass
C. Klarer
D · Birmingham
7.90
· 44 pass
J. Gelhardt
M · Hull
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Mohamed Belloumi
M · Hull
7.50
3 shots
· 14 pass
Semi Ajayi
D · Hull
7.30
2 shots
· 19 pass
L. Coyle
D · Hull
7.30
· 24 pass
Hull City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivor Pandur | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Paddy McNair | D | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| John Egan | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Semi Ajayi | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Coyle | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Crooks | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Amir Hadžiahmetović | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Millar | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Gelhardt | M | 75 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Belloumi | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| O. McBurnie | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Kieran Dowell | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kyle Joseph | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Koumas | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Giles | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Birmingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 3 | — | — | |
| C. Klarer | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Neumann | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Iwata | M | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 51 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| J. E. Solis Romero | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Osman | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Jay Stansfield | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Vicente | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Priske | F | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Gray | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Laird | D | 46 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Ducksch | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Seung Ho Paik | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hull City vs Birmingham?
The final score was Hull City 1–1 Birmingham.
What did the model predict before Hull City vs Birmingham?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Hull City win, 31% to a draw, and 26% to an Birmingham win.