Skip to main content
← Premier League
Premier League · Regular Season - 8 October 25, 2026 15:00 MKM Stadium, Hull
Hull City
#10 · 10 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Brentford
#6 · 11 pts
Oliver McBurnie 24' (pen.)
63' (ast. Igor Thiago) Dango Ouattara
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brentford a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Hull City 33%). The final result was Hull City 1–1 Brentford.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
6
1.92
Actual xG
1.87
5
Saves
1
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
6
28
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
Aaron Hickey
⚽Oliver McBurnie (pen.)
24'
62'
Jaidon Anthony / Kevin Schade ↕
62'
Mikkel Damsgaard / Aaron Hickey ↕
63'
ast. Igor Thiago · Dango Ouattara⚽
↕ Lewie Coyle / Brooke Norton-Cuffy
65'
↕ Ryan Giles / Mohamed Ali Cho
65'
↕ Tim Iroegbunam / Hidemasa Morita
72'
78'
Callum Wilson / Dango Ouattara ↕
78'
El Hadji Malick Diouf / Keane Lewis-Potter ↕
↕ Oliver McBurnie / Robinio Vaz
86'
↕ Mohamed Belloumi / Joe Gelhardt
86'
Pre-match prediction
33.2%
Hull
28.51%
X ←
38.29%
Brentford
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hull
1.34
1.92
+0.58
Brentford
1.20
1.87
+0.67
xG dominance was balanced (1.92 – 1.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Hull City Hull City 5-4-1
19 K. Tzolakis K. Tzolakis G 7.07
3 R. Giles R. Giles 65' D 6.36
22 L. Herrington L. Herrington D 6.67
15 J. Egan J. Egan D 6.51
6 S. Ajayi S. Ajayi D 7.26
2 L. Coyle L. Coyle 65' D 6.63
21 E. Stroud E. Stroud M 6.39
27 R. Slater R. Slater M 6.49
42 T. Iroegbunam T. Iroegbunam 72' M 6.15
10 M. Belloumi M. Belloumi 86' M 6.71
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.12
Bench
18 B. Norton-Cuffy B. Norton-Cuffy 25' D 6.58
12 D. Phillips D. Phillips G 0.00
5 H. Morita H. Morita 18' M 6.27
11 J. Gelhardt J. Gelhardt 4' F 6.79
50 M. Cho M. Cho 25' F 7.16
25 M. Crooks M. Crooks M 0.00
17 P. McNair P. McNair D 0.00
47 R. Vaz R. Vaz 4' F 6.09
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas F 0.00
Brentford Brentford 4-2-3-1
1 C. Kelleher C. Kelleher G 6.56
23 K. Lewis-Potter K. Lewis-Potter 78' D 6.07
20 K. Ajer K. Ajer D 6.73
4 S. van den Berg S. van den Berg D 6.75
33 M. Kayode M. Kayode D 6.98
2 A. Hickey A. Hickey 62' M 6.53
18 M. Sangaré M. Sangaré M 6.32
7 K. Schade K. Schade 62' M 6.12
8 M. Jensen M. Jensen M 6.47
11 D. Ouattara D. Ouattara 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.25
9 Thiago Thiago 1 👟 F 6.85
Bench
48 B. Fredrick B. Fredrick D 0.00
13 C. Wilson C. Wilson 12' F 6.22
25 E. Diouf E. Diouf 12' D 6.28
39 Gustavo Gomes Gustavo Gomes F 0.00
12 H. Valdimarsson H. Valdimarsson G 0.00
44 Jannik Schuster Jannik Schuster D 0.00
19 J. Anthony J. Anthony 28' F 6.94
24 M. Damsgaard M. Damsgaard 28' M 7.06
22 N. Collins N. Collins D 0.00
Best on the pitch
S. Ajayi
S. Ajayi
D · Hull
7.26
· 21 pass
D. Ouattara
D. Ouattara
M · Brentford
7.25
1 ⚽
4 shots · 21 pass
M. Cho
M. Cho
F · Hull
7.16
1 shots · 8 pass
O. McBurnie
O. McBurnie
F · Hull
7.12
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
K. Tzolakis
K. Tzolakis
G · Hull
7.07
· 41 pass
M. Damsgaard
M. Damsgaard
M · Brentford
7.06
1 shots · 21 pass
Hull City Hull City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Tzolakis G 90 7.07 — — 0 41 16% 0 — —
R. Giles D 65 6.36 — — 0 11 7% 1 — —
L. Herrington D 90 6.67 — — 0 34 27% 2 — —
J. Egan D 90 6.51 — — 1 18 11% 1 — —
S. Ajayi D 90 7.26 — — 0 21 18% 6 — —
L. Coyle D 65 6.63 — — 0 23 18% 3 — —
E. Stroud M 90 6.39 — — 0 30 22% 6 — —
R. Slater M 90 6.49 — — 2 41 33% 1 — —
T. Iroegbunam M 72 6.15 — — 1 27 20% 3 — —
M. Belloumi M 86 6.71 — — 4 38 26% 2 — —
O. McBurnie F 86 7.12 1 — 1 16 7% 0 — —
B. Norton-Cuffy D 25 6.58 — — 0 7 5% 2 — —
H. Morita M 18 6.27 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
J. Gelhardt F 4 6.79 — — 2 2 2% 0 — —
M. Cho F 25 7.16 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
R. Vaz F 4 6.09 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Brentford Brentford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Kelleher G 90 6.56 — — 0 29 23% 0 — —
K. Lewis-Potter D 78 6.07 — — 0 35 27% 0 — —
K. Ajer D 90 6.73 — — 0 44 39% 1 — —
S. van den Berg D 90 6.75 — — 2 54 48% 0 — —
M. Kayode D 90 6.98 — — 0 35 31% 2 — —
A. Hickey M 62 6.53 — — 1 38 35% 1 1 —
M. Sangaré M 90 6.32 — — 0 79 67% 4 — —
K. Schade M 62 6.12 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
M. Jensen M 90 6.47 — — 1 38 31% 2 — —
D. Ouattara M 78 7.25 1 — 4 21 12% 0 — —
Thiago F 90 6.85 — 1 1 19 10% 3 — —
C. Wilson F 12 6.22 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
E. Diouf D 12 6.28 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
J. Anthony F 28 6.94 — — 2 11 7% 0 — —
M. Damsgaard M 28 7.06 — — 1 21 19% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hull City vs Brentford?
The final score was Hull City 1–1 Brentford.
What did the model predict before Hull City vs Brentford?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Hull City win, 28% to a draw, and 38% to an Brentford win.