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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 October 11, 2026 15:00 MKM Stadium, Hull
Hull City
#10 · 10 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Everton
#11 · 10 pts
Joe Gelhardt (ast. Sorba Thomas) 48'
Mohamed Belloumi (ast. Elliot Stroud) 74'
55' (ast. Ainsley Maitland-Niles) Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
68' (ast. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall) Thierno Barry
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hull City a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Everton 32%). The final result was Hull City 2–2 Everton.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
7
1.37
Actual xG
1.73
4
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
7
Corners
6
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Matt Crooks
13'
Oliver McBurnie
21'
34'
⚽Joe Gelhardt · ast. Sorba Thomas
48'
55'
ast. Ainsley Maitland-Niles · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall⚽
↕ Ryan Giles / Elliot Stroud
64'
↕ Joe Gelhardt / Mohamed Belloumi
64'
↕ Matt Crooks / Tim Iroegbunam
65'
66'
Tyrique George / Brennan Johnson ↕
68'
ast. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · Thierno Barry⚽
⚽Mohamed Belloumi · ast. Elliot Stroud
74'
↕ Regan Slater / Hidemasa Morita
75'
78'
Hayden Hackney / Harrison Armstrong ↕
78'
Jake O'Brien / Ainsley Maitland-Niles ↕
↕ Sorba Thomas / Robinio Vaz
86'
86'
Tyler Dibling / Jack Grealish ↕
86'
Charly Alcaraz / Thierno Barry ↕
Pre-match prediction
37.77%
Hull
30.22%
X ←
32.01%
Everton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.22% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hull
1.55
1.37
-0.18
Everton
0.81
1.73
+0.92
Everton dominated by xG (1.73 vs 1.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Hull City Hull City 5-4-1
19 K. Tzolakis K. Tzolakis G 6.65
3 R. Giles R. Giles 64' D 6.24
32 N. Mendy N. Mendy D 6.13
15 J. Egan J. Egan D 5.89
6 S. Ajayi S. Ajayi D 6.24
2 L. Coyle L. Coyle D 6.59
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas 1 👟 86' M 7.70
27 R. Slater R. Slater 75' M 6.40
25 M. Crooks M. Crooks 65' M 6.28
11 J. Gelhardt J. Gelhardt 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.98
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie F 6.28
Bench
18 B. Norton-Cuffy B. Norton-Cuffy D 0.00
12 D. Phillips D. Phillips G 0.00
21 E. Stroud E. Stroud 1 👟 26' M 5.75
5 H. Morita H. Morita 15' M 6.07
22 L. Herrington L. Herrington D 0.00
10 M. Belloumi M. Belloumi 1 ⚽ 26' F 8.20
17 P. McNair P. McNair D 0.00
47 R. Vaz R. Vaz 4' F 6.49
42 T. Iroegbunam T. Iroegbunam 25' M 6.01
Everton Everton 4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford J. Pickford G 6.13
4 J. Branthwaite J. Branthwaite D 6.59
5 M. Keane M. Keane D 7.08
6 J. Tarkowski J. Tarkowski D 7.08
2 A. Maitland-Niles A. Maitland-Niles 1 👟 78' D 6.86
45 H. Armstrong H. Armstrong 78' M 6.28
37 J. Garner J. Garner M 7.20
10 J. Grealish J. Grealish 86' M 6.78
8 K. Dewsbury-Hall K. Dewsbury-Hall 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.00
22 B. Johnson B. Johnson 66' M 6.34
11 T. Barry T. Barry 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.50
Bench
58 B. Graham B. Graham F 0.00
24 C. Alcaraz C. Alcaraz 4' M 6.16
23 C. Nørgaard C. Nørgaard M 0.00
30 H. Hackney H. Hackney 12' M 6.04
15 J. O'Brien J. O'Brien 12' D 6.22
34 M. Röhl M. Röhl M 0.00
12 M. Travers M. Travers G 0.00
20 T. Dibling T. Dibling 4' F 6.55
19 Tyrique George Tyrique George 24' F 6.42
Best on the pitch
K. Dewsbury-Hall
K. Dewsbury-Hall
M · Everton
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 54 pass
M. Belloumi
M. Belloumi
F · Hull
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
J. Gelhardt
J. Gelhardt
M · Hull
7.98
1 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
S. Thomas
S. Thomas
M · Hull
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
T. Barry
T. Barry
F · Everton
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots · 16 pass
J. Garner
J. Garner
M · Everton
7.20
1 shots · 86 pass
Hull City Hull City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Tzolakis G 90 6.65 — — 0 42 20% 0 — —
R. Giles D 64 6.24 — — 0 19 18% 0 — —
N. Mendy D 90 6.13 — — 1 29 21% 0 — —
J. Egan D 90 5.89 — — 1 19 17% 0 — —
S. Ajayi D 90 6.24 — — 0 23 14% 2 — —
L. Coyle D 90 6.59 — — 0 20 16% 1 — —
S. Thomas M 86 7.70 — 1 1 30 25% 1 — —
R. Slater M 75 6.40 — — 0 30 25% 4 — —
M. Crooks M 65 6.28 — — 0 20 14% 2 1 —
J. Gelhardt M 64 7.98 1 — 4 17 11% 3 — —
O. McBurnie F 90 6.28 — — 0 18 12% 1 1 —
E. Stroud M 26 5.75 — 1 0 15 12% 0 — —
H. Morita M 15 6.07 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
M. Belloumi F 26 8.20 1 — 2 7 5% 0 — —
R. Vaz F 4 6.49 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
T. Iroegbunam M 25 6.01 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
Everton Everton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pickford G 90 6.13 — — 0 36 28% 0 — —
J. Branthwaite D 90 6.59 — — 1 64 59% 1 — —
M. Keane D 90 7.08 — — 1 69 63% 2 — —
J. Tarkowski D 90 7.08 — — 0 76 68% 2 — —
A. Maitland-Niles D 78 6.86 — 1 0 31 25% 1 — —
H. Armstrong M 78 6.28 — — 2 39 31% 1 — —
J. Garner M 90 7.20 — — 1 86 81% 5 — —
J. Grealish M 86 6.78 — — 2 42 36% 1 — —
K. Dewsbury-Hall M 90 9.00 1 1 1 54 47% 2 — —
B. Johnson M 66 6.34 — — 1 13 10% 0 — —
T. Barry F 86 7.50 1 — 5 16 13% 0 — —
C. Alcaraz M 4 6.16 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
H. Hackney M 12 6.04 — — 0 19 16% 0 — —
J. O'Brien D 12 6.22 — — 0 13 10% 0 — —
T. Dibling F 4 6.55 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
Tyrique George F 24 6.42 — — 0 18 16% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hull City vs Everton?
The final score was Hull City 2–2 Everton.
What did the model predict before Hull City vs Everton?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Hull City win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Everton win.