O. McBurnie
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Hull City 33%). The final result was Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough. In 2 previous meetings, Hull City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Middlesbrough.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
0
0.33
Actual xG
0.82
0
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
1
Corners
3
11
Tackles
8
Match Events
L. Millar
/ J. Gelhardt
63'
70'
H. Hackney
/
D. Strelec
76'
S. Hansen
/
R. McGree
R. Giles
/ Y. Hirakawa
76'
M. Belloumi
/ C. Drameh
77'
⚽O. McBurnie
90'+5
O. McBurnie
90'+6
90'+7
C. Ibeh
/
M. Targett
90'+7
J. Sarmiento
/
A. Browne
L. Coyle
/ P. McNair
90'+8
R. Slater
/ J. Lundstram
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
33.71%
Hull ←
23.08%
X
43.21%
Middlesbrough
we assigned to the actual result (Hull City)
33.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
0.33
-1.32
2.03
0.82
-1.21
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (0.82 vs 0.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ivor Pandur
63'
G
Ivor Pandur
63'
G
4
C. Hughes
63'
D
C. Hughes
63'
D
15
John Egan
63'
D
John Egan
63'
D
6
Semi Ajayi
63'
D
Semi Ajayi
63'
D
3
R. Giles
63'
M
R. Giles
63'
M
25
M. Crooks
63'
M
M. Crooks
63'
M
27
Regan Slater
63'
M
Regan Slater
63'
M
2
L. Coyle
63'
M
L. Coyle
63'
M
7
L. Millar
63'
F
L. Millar
63'
F
10
Mohamed Belloumi
63'
F
Mohamed Belloumi
63'
F
9
O. McBurnie
1 ⚽
63'
F
O. McBurnie
1 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
20
Amir Hadžiahmetović
M
18
Cody Drameh
D
Cody Drameh
D
12
Dillon Phillips
G
Dillon Phillips
G
21
J. Gelhardt
F
J. Gelhardt
F
5
J. Lundstram
M
J. Lundstram
M
26
Kieran Dowell
M
Kieran Dowell
M
36
Lewis Koumas
F
Lewis Koumas
F
37
Paddy McNair
D
Paddy McNair
D
13
Yu Hirakawa
F
Yu Hirakawa
F
31
Solomon Brynn
63'
G
Solomon Brynn
63'
G
29
Adilson Malanda
63'
D
Adilson Malanda
63'
D
6
Dael Fry
63'
D
Dael Fry
63'
D
12
Luke Ayling
63'
D
Luke Ayling
63'
D
3
Matt Targett
63'
M
Matt Targett
63'
M
18
Aidan Morris
63'
M
Aidan Morris
63'
M
16
Alan Browne
63'
M
Alan Browne
63'
M
2
Callum Brittain
63'
M
Callum Brittain
63'
M
8
Riley McGree
63'
F
Riley McGree
63'
F
11
M. Whittaker
63'
F
M. Whittaker
63'
F
13
David Strelec
63'
F
Bench
14
Alexander Gilbert
F
Alexander Gilbert
F
44
Cruz Ibeh
F
Cruz Ibeh
F
25
George Edmundson
D
George Edmundson
D
7
H. Hackney
M
H. Hackney
M
45
Jeremy Sarmiento
M
Jeremy Sarmiento
M
32
Joe Wildsmith
G
Joe Wildsmith
G
23
Leo Castledine
M
Leo Castledine
M
22
Samuel Silvera
F
Samuel Silvera
F
27
S. Hansen
F
S. Hansen
F
Best on the pitch
Luke Ayling
D · Middlesbrough
7.20
· 67 pass
Dael Fry
D · Middlesbrough
7.00
1 shots
· 52 pass
R. Giles
M · Hull
7.00
1 shots
· 19 pass
Aidan Morris
M · Middlesbrough
6.90
1 shots
· 60 pass
Alan Browne
M · Middlesbrough
6.90
1 shots
· 25 pass
Adilson Malanda
D · Middlesbrough
6.90
· 55 pass
Hull City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivor Pandur | G | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Hughes | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| John Egan | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Semi Ajayi | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Giles | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Crooks | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Regan Slater | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Coyle | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Millar | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Belloumi | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| O. McBurnie | F | 63 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
Middlesbrough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Brynn | G | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Adilson Malanda | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Dael Fry | D | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Luke Ayling | D | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Matt Targett | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Aidan Morris | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Alan Browne | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Callum Brittain | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Riley McGree | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Whittaker | F | 63 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| David Strelec | F | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hull City vs Middlesbrough?
The final score was Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough.
What did the model predict before Hull City vs Middlesbrough?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Hull City win, 23% to a draw, and 43% to an Middlesbrough win.