O. McBurnie
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Hull City 33%). The final result was Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough. In 2 previous meetings, Hull City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Middlesbrough.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
0
0.33
Actual xG
0.82
0
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
1
Corners
3
11
Tackles
8
Match Events
L. Millar
/ J. Gelhardt
63'
70'
H. Hackney
/
D. Strelec
76'
S. Hansen
/
R. McGree
R. Giles
/ Y. Hirakawa
76'
M. Belloumi
/ C. Drameh
77'
⚽O. McBurnie
90'+5
O. McBurnie
90'+6
90'+7
C. Ibeh
/
M. Targett
90'+7
J. Sarmiento
/
A. Browne
L. Coyle
/ P. McNair
90'+8
R. Slater
/ J. Lundstram
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
33.71%
Hull ←
23.08%
X
43.21%
Middlesbrough
we assigned to the actual result (Hull City)
33.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
0.33
-1.32
2.03
0.82
-1.21
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (0.82 vs 0.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
I. Pandur
63'
G
I. Pandur
63'
G
4
C. Hughes
63'
D
C. Hughes
63'
D
15
J. Egan
63'
D
J. Egan
63'
D
6
S. Ajayi
63'
D
S. Ajayi
63'
D
3
R. Giles
63'
M
R. Giles
63'
M
25
M. Crooks
63'
M
M. Crooks
63'
M
27
R. Slater
63'
M
R. Slater
63'
M
2
L. Coyle
63'
M
L. Coyle
63'
M
7
L. Millar
63'
F
L. Millar
63'
F
10
M. Belloumi
63'
F
M. Belloumi
63'
F
9
O. McBurnie
1 ⚽
63'
F
O. McBurnie
1 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
20
Amir Hadžiahmetović
M
18
Cody Drameh
D
Cody Drameh
D
12
D. Phillips
G
D. Phillips
G
21
J. Gelhardt
F
J. Gelhardt
F
5
J. Lundstram
M
J. Lundstram
M
26
K. Dowell
M
K. Dowell
M
36
L. Koumas
F
L. Koumas
F
37
P. McNair
D
P. McNair
D
13
Y. Hirakawa
F
Y. Hirakawa
F
31
S. Brynn
63'
G
S. Brynn
63'
G
29
A. Malanda
63'
D
A. Malanda
63'
D
6
D. Fry
63'
D
D. Fry
63'
D
12
L. Ayling
63'
D
L. Ayling
63'
D
3
M. Targett
63'
M
M. Targett
63'
M
18
A. Morris
63'
M
A. Morris
63'
M
16
A. Browne
63'
M
A. Browne
63'
M
2
C. Brittain
63'
M
C. Brittain
63'
M
8
R. McGree
63'
F
R. McGree
63'
F
11
M. Whittaker
63'
F
M. Whittaker
63'
F
13
D. Strelec
63'
F
D. Strelec
63'
F
Bench
14
A. Gilbert
F
A. Gilbert
F
44
Cruz Ibeh
F
Cruz Ibeh
F
25
George Edmundson
D
George Edmundson
D
7
H. Hackney
M
H. Hackney
M
32
Joe Wildsmith
G
Joe Wildsmith
G
45
J. Sarmiento
M
J. Sarmiento
M
23
Leo Castledine
M
Leo Castledine
M
27
S. Hansen
F
S. Hansen
F
22
S. Silvera
F
S. Silvera
F
Best on the pitch
L. Ayling
D · Middlesbrough
7.20
· 67 pass
D. Fry
D · Middlesbrough
7.00
1 shots
· 52 pass
R. Giles
M · Hull
7.00
1 shots
· 19 pass
A. Morris
M · Middlesbrough
6.90
1 shots
· 60 pass
A. Browne
M · Middlesbrough
6.90
1 shots
· 25 pass
A. Malanda
D · Middlesbrough
6.90
· 55 pass
Hull City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Pandur | G | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Hughes | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Egan | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ajayi | D | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Giles | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Crooks | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Slater | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Coyle | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Millar | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Belloumi | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| O. McBurnie | F | 63 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
Middlesbrough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Brynn | G | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Malanda | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| D. Fry | D | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ayling | D | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Targett | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| A. Morris | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Browne | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| C. Brittain | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| R. McGree | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Whittaker | F | 63 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Strelec | F | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hull City vs Middlesbrough?
The final score was Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough.
What did the model predict before Hull City vs Middlesbrough?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Hull City win, 23% to a draw, and 43% to an Middlesbrough win.