Championship
· Semi-finals
May 08, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 41% win probability (draw 22%, Hull City 35%). The final result was Hull City 0–0 Millwall. In 3 previous meetings, Hull City have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Millwall.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
2
0.56
Actual xG
0.56
2
Saves
1
38%
Possession
62%
0
Corners
5
16
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
52'
C. De Norre
L. Millar
/ Y. Hirakawa
69'
M. Belloumi
/ K. Joseph
70'
74'
L. Cundle
/
T. Ballo
74'
B. Bannan
/
C. De Norre
J. Gelhardt
/ K. Dowell
74'
82'
A. Doughty
/
Z. Sturge
86'
M. Ivanovic
/
J. Coburn
R. Slater
/ J. Lundstram
88'
Pre-match prediction
35.83%
Hull
22.36%
X ←
41.8%
Millwall
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
0.56
-1.03
1.76
0.56
-1.2
xG dominance was balanced (0.56 – 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ivor Pandur
G
Ivor Pandur
G
3
R. Giles
D
R. Giles
D
4
Charlie Hughes
D
Charlie Hughes
D
15
John Egan
D
John Egan
D
2
L. Coyle
D
L. Coyle
D
25
M. Crooks
M
M. Crooks
M
27
Regan Slater
88'
M
Regan Slater
88'
M
7
L. Millar
69'
M
L. Millar
69'
M
21
J. Gelhardt
74'
M
J. Gelhardt
74'
M
10
Mohamed Belloumi
70'
M
Mohamed Belloumi
70'
M
9
O. McBurnie
F
O. McBurnie
F
Bench
5
J. Lundstram
6'
M
J. Lundstram
6'
M
26
Kieran Dowell
20'
M
Kieran Dowell
20'
M
22
Kyle Joseph
24'
F
Kyle Joseph
24'
F
36
Lewis Koumas
F
Lewis Koumas
F
37
Paddy McNair
D
Paddy McNair
D
6
Semi Ajayi
D
Semi Ajayi
D
13
G
3
Zak Sturge
82'
D
Zak Sturge
82'
D
5
J. Cooper
D
J. Cooper
D
4
D
18
D
24
Casper De Norre
74'
M
Casper De Norre
74'
M
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
M
Derek Mazou-Sacko
M
7
Thierno Ballo
74'
M
Thierno Ballo
74'
M
10
Camiel Neghli
M
Camiel Neghli
M
11
O. Azeez
M
O. Azeez
M
19
Josh Coburn
86'
F
Josh Coburn
86'
F
Bench
67
Barry Bannan
20'
M
Barry Bannan
20'
M
8
Billy Mitchell
M
Billy Mitchell
M
2
Danny McNamara
D
Danny McNamara
D
25
Luke Cundle
20'
M
Luke Cundle
20'
M
17
Macaulay Langstaff
F
Macaulay Langstaff
F
9
Mihailo Ivanović
8'
F
Mihailo Ivanović
8'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Cooper
D · Millwall
7.60
· 68 pass
John Egan
D · Hull
7.30
· 29 pass
Ivor Pandur
G · Hull
7.30
· 36 pass
Charlie Hughes
D · Hull
7.20
1 shots
· 25 pass
Derek Mazou-Sacko
M · Millwall
7.20
· 43 pass
L. Coyle
D · Hull
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Hull City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivor Pandur | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Giles | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Charlie Hughes | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| John Egan | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Coyle | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Crooks | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Regan Slater | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Millar | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Gelhardt | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Belloumi | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| O. McBurnie | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Lundstram | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kieran Dowell | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyle Joseph | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Millwall — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Zak Sturge | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 68 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 47% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 2 | — | — | |
| Casper De Norre | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Derek Mazou-Sacko | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Thierno Ballo | M | 74 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Camiel Neghli | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 30% | — | — | — |
| O. Azeez | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Coburn | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Barry Bannan | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Luke Cundle | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hull City vs Millwall?
The final score was Hull City 0–0 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Hull City vs Millwall?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Hull City win, 22% to a draw, and 41% to an Millwall win.