Championship
· Semi-finals
May 08, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 41% win probability (draw 22%, Hull City 35%). The final result was Hull City 0–0 Millwall. In 3 previous meetings, Hull City have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Millwall.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
2
0.56
Actual xG
0.56
2
Saves
1
38%
Possession
62%
0
Corners
5
16
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
52'
C. De Norre
L. Millar
/ Y. Hirakawa
69'
M. Belloumi
/ K. Joseph
70'
74'
L. Cundle
/
T. Ballo
74'
B. Bannan
/
C. De Norre
J. Gelhardt
/ K. Dowell
74'
82'
A. Doughty
/
Z. Sturge
86'
M. Ivanovic
/
J. Coburn
R. Slater
/ J. Lundstram
88'
Pre-match prediction
35.83%
Hull
22.36%
X ←
41.8%
Millwall
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
0.56
-1.03
1.76
0.56
-1.2
xG dominance was balanced (0.56 – 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
I. Pandur
G
I. Pandur
G
3
R. Giles
D
R. Giles
D
4
C. Hughes
D
C. Hughes
D
15
J. Egan
D
J. Egan
D
2
L. Coyle
D
L. Coyle
D
25
M. Crooks
M
M. Crooks
M
27
R. Slater
88'
M
R. Slater
88'
M
7
Liam Millar
69'
M
Liam Millar
69'
M
21
J. Gelhardt
74'
M
J. Gelhardt
74'
M
10
M. Belloumi
70'
M
M. Belloumi
70'
M
9
O. McBurnie
F
O. McBurnie
F
Bench
5
J. Lundstram
6'
M
J. Lundstram
6'
M
26
K. Dowell
20'
M
K. Dowell
20'
M
22
K. Joseph
24'
F
K. Joseph
24'
F
36
L. Koumas
F
L. Koumas
F
37
P. McNair
D
P. McNair
D
6
S. Ajayi
D
S. Ajayi
D
13
G
3
Zak Norton Sturge
82'
D
Zak Norton Sturge
82'
D
5
J. Cooper
D
J. Cooper
D
4
D
18
D
24
C. De Norre
74'
M
C. De Norre
74'
M
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
M
D. Mazou-Sacko
M
7
T. Ballo
74'
M
T. Ballo
74'
M
10
C. Neghli
M
C. Neghli
M
11
Femi Azeez
M
Femi Azeez
M
19
J. Coburn
86'
F
J. Coburn
86'
F
Bench
67
B. Bannan
20'
M
B. Bannan
20'
M
8
B. Mitchell
M
B. Mitchell
M
2
D. McNamara
D
D. McNamara
D
25
L. Cundle
20'
M
L. Cundle
20'
M
17
Macaulay Langstaff
F
Macaulay Langstaff
F
9
Mihailo Ivanović
8'
F
Mihailo Ivanović
8'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Cooper
D · Millwall
7.60
· 68 pass
J. Egan
D · Hull
7.30
· 29 pass
I. Pandur
G · Hull
7.30
· 36 pass
C. Hughes
D · Hull
7.20
1 shots
· 25 pass
D. Mazou-Sacko
M · Millwall
7.20
· 43 pass
L. Coyle
D · Hull
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Hull City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Pandur | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Giles | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Hughes | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Egan | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Coyle | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Crooks | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Slater | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Millar | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Gelhardt | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Belloumi | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| O. McBurnie | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Lundstram | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Dowell | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Joseph | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Millwall — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Zak Norton Sturge | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 68 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 47% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 2 | — | — | |
| C. De Norre | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Mazou-Sacko | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Ballo | M | 74 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Neghli | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Femi Azeez | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Coburn | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| B. Bannan | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Cundle | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hull City vs Millwall?
The final score was Hull City 0–0 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Hull City vs Millwall?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Hull City win, 22% to a draw, and 41% to an Millwall win.