Championship
· Regular Season - 46
May 02, 2026 13:30
O. McBurnie
28'
(pen.)
O. McBurnie
(ast. M. Crooks)
67'
26'
(ast. A. Slimane)
M. Toure
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Hull City 33%). The final result was Hull City 2–1 Norwich. In 1 previous meetings, Hull City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Norwich.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
1.95
Actual xG
0.90
1
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
1
Corners
6
13
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
26'
ast. A. Slimane ·
M. Toure⚽
⚽O. McBurnie
(pen.)
28'
35'
K. Fisher
J. Egan
/ P. McNair
46'
46'
L. Gibbs
/
A. Ahmed
46'
P. Maghoma
/
A. Forson
M. Belloumi
/ K. Dowell
59'
J. Gelhardt
/ K. Joseph
59'
⚽O. McBurnie
· ast. M. Crooks
67'
70'
S. Field
/
A. Slimane
K. Joseph
71'
L. Millar
/ L. Koumas
82'
82'
M. Kvistgaarden
/
M. Toure
86'
E. Mundle Smith
/
J. Wright
M. Crooks
/ J. Lundstram
87'
90'+5
P. Maghoma
M. Crooks
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
33.81%
Hull ←
23.04%
X
43.15%
Norwich
we assigned to the actual result (Hull City)
33.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
1.95
+0.7
1.80
0.90
-0.9
Hull City dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.90).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ivor Pandur
G
Ivor Pandur
G
3
R. Giles
D
R. Giles
D
4
C. Hughes
D
C. Hughes
D
15
John Egan
45'
D
John Egan
45'
D
2
L. Coyle
D
L. Coyle
D
25
M. Crooks
1 👟
87'
M
M. Crooks
1 👟
87'
M
27
Regan Slater
M
Regan Slater
M
7
Liam Millar
82'
M
Liam Millar
82'
M
21
J. Gelhardt
60'
M
J. Gelhardt
60'
M
10
Mohamed Belloumi
59'
M
Mohamed Belloumi
59'
M
9
O. McBurnie
2 ⚽
F
O. McBurnie
2 ⚽
F
Bench
5
J. Lundstram
10'
M
J. Lundstram
10'
M
26
Kieran Dowell
38'
M
Kieran Dowell
38'
M
22
Kyle Joseph
37'
F
Kyle Joseph
37'
F
36
Lewis Koumas
15'
F
Lewis Koumas
15'
F
37
Paddy McNair
52'
D
Paddy McNair
52'
D
6
Semi Ajayi
D
Semi Ajayi
D
1
V. Kovacevic
G
35
K. Fisher
D
K. Fisher
D
33
José Córdoba
D
José Córdoba
D
15
D
3
J. Stacey
D
16
Jacob Wright
86'
M
7
Pelle Mattsson
M
21
Ali Ahmed
45'
M
Ali Ahmed
45'
M
20
A. Ben Slimane
1 👟
70'
M
A. Ben Slimane
1 👟
70'
M
18
A. Forson
45'
M
37
M. Touré
1 ⚽
82'
F
M. Touré
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
6
H. Darling
D
8
L. Gibbs
52'
M
30
M. Kvistgaarden
15'
F
25
P. Maghoma
52'
M
26
S. Field
27'
M
Best on the pitch
O. McBurnie
F · Hull
9.00
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 22 pass
Jacob Wright
M · Norwich
7.70
· 63 pass
V. Kovacevic
G · Norwich
7.50
· 22 pass
M. Crooks
M · Hull
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
Paddy McNair
D · Hull
7.20
· 14 pass
Regan Slater
M · Hull
7.20
· 25 pass
Hull City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivor Pandur | G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Giles | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Hughes | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| John Egan | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Coyle | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Crooks | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Regan Slater | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Liam Millar | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Gelhardt | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Belloumi | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| O. McBurnie | F | 97 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 5 | 22 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Lundstram | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Dowell | M | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kyle Joseph | F | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lewis Koumas | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paddy McNair | D | 52 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Kovacevic | G | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| José Córdoba | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| J. Stacey | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Wright | M | 86 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Pelle Mattsson | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Ben Slimane | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Forson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 82 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Gibbs | M | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Kvistgaarden | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Maghoma | M | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Field | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hull City vs Norwich?
The final score was Hull City 2–1 Norwich.
What did the model predict before Hull City vs Norwich?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Hull City win, 23% to a draw, and 43% to an Norwich win.