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Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30
Hull City
2 – 1
Final score
Norwich
#12 · 18 pts
O. McBurnie 28' (pen.)
O. McBurnie (ast. M. Crooks) 67'
26' (ast. A. Slimane) M. Toure
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Hull City 33%). The final result was Hull City 2–1 Norwich. In 1 previous meetings, Hull City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Norwich.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
1.95
Actual xG
0.90
1
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
1
Corners
6
13
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
26'
ast. A. Slimane · M. Toure⚽
⚽O. McBurnie (pen.)
28'
35'
K. Fisher
↕ J. Egan / P. McNair
46'
46'
L. Gibbs / A. Ahmed ↕
46'
P. Maghoma / A. Forson ↕
↕ M. Belloumi / K. Dowell
59'
↕ J. Gelhardt / K. Joseph
59'
⚽O. McBurnie · ast. M. Crooks
67'
70'
S. Field / A. Slimane ↕
K. Joseph
71'
↕ L. Millar / L. Koumas
82'
82'
M. Kvistgaarden / M. Toure ↕
86'
E. Mundle Smith / J. Wright ↕
↕ M. Crooks / J. Lundstram
87'
90'+5
P. Maghoma
M. Crooks
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
33.81%
Hull ←
23.04%
X
43.15%
Norwich
we assigned to the actual result (Hull City) 33.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hull
1.25
1.95
+0.7
Norwich
1.80
0.90
-0.9
Hull City dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 14 28
2 Wolves Wolves 14 27
3 Birmingham Birmingham 14 26
4 Stoke City Stoke City 14 26
5 Swansea Swansea 14 26
6 West Brom West Brom 14 25
7 Southampton Southampton 14 24
8 West Ham West Ham 14 23
9 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 14 22
10 Portsmouth Portsmouth 14 22
11 QPR QPR 14 21
12 Norwich Norwich 14 18
13 Millwall Millwall 14 18
14 Blackburn Blackburn 14 18
15 Bristol City Bristol City 14 18
16 Wrexham Wrexham 14 17
17 Bolton Bolton 15 17
18 Cardiff Cardiff 14 15
19 Lincoln Lincoln 14 15
20 Watford Watford 14 14
21 Charlton Charlton 14 14
22 Burnley Burnley 14 10
23 Derby Derby 15 10
24 Preston Preston 14 5
Lineups
Hull City Hull City 4-2-3-1
1 I. Pandur I. Pandur G 6.70
3 R. Giles R. Giles D 6.30
4 C. Hughes C. Hughes D 6.70
15 J. Egan J. Egan 45' D 7.00
2 L. Coyle L. Coyle D 7.00
25 M. Crooks M. Crooks 1 👟 87' M 7.30
27 R. Slater R. Slater M 7.20
7 L. Millar L. Millar 82' M 6.90
21 J. Gelhardt J. Gelhardt 60' M 6.30
10 M. Belloumi M. Belloumi 59' M 6.20
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie 2 ⚽ F 9.00
Bench
5
J. Lundstram 10' M 6.70
26 K. Dowell K. Dowell 38' M 6.70
22 K. Joseph K. Joseph 37' F 6.70
36 L. Koumas L. Koumas 15' F 6.30
37 P. McNair P. McNair 52' D 7.20
6 S. Ajayi S. Ajayi D
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
1 V. Kovačević V. Kovačević G 7.50
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher D 6.00
33 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba D 6.90
15
D 5.60
3 J. Stacey J. Stacey D 6.00
16 Jacob Wright Jacob Wright 86' M 7.70
7 P. Mattsson P. Mattsson M 7.00
21 Ali Ahmed Ali Ahmed 45' M 6.20
20 A. Ben Slimane A. Ben Slimane 1 👟 70' M 6.30
18 A. Forson A. Forson 45' M 6.30
37 M. Touré M. Touré 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.00
Bench
6 H. Darling H. Darling D
8 L. Gibbs L. Gibbs 52' M 6.30
30 M. Kvistgaarden M. Kvistgaarden 15' F 6.70
25 P. Maghoma P. Maghoma 52' M 6.60
26 S. Field S. Field 27' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
O. McBurnie
O. McBurnie
F · Hull
9.00
2 ⚽
5 shots · 22 pass
Jacob Wright
Jacob Wright
M · Norwich
7.70
· 63 pass
V. Kovačević
V. Kovačević
G · Norwich
7.50
· 22 pass
M. Crooks
M. Crooks
M · Hull
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 28 pass
P. McNair
P. McNair
D · Hull
7.20
· 14 pass
R. Slater
R. Slater
M · Hull
7.20
· 25 pass
Hull City Hull City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Pandur G 97 6.70 — — — 34 16% — — —
R. Giles D 97 6.30 — — — 19 13% — — —
C. Hughes D 97 6.70 — — — 17 11% 1 — —
J. Egan D 45 7.00 — — — 10 4% — — —
L. Coyle D 97 7.00 — — — 24 13% 3 — —
M. Crooks M 87 7.30 — 1 2 28 22% 2 1 —
R. Slater M 97 7.20 — — — 25 19% 3 — —
L. Millar M 82 6.90 — — — 21 18% — — —
J. Gelhardt M 60 6.30 — — — 12 6% — — —
M. Belloumi M 59 6.20 — — — 9 4% 2 — —
O. McBurnie F 97 9.00 2 — 5 22 10% — — —
J. Lundstram M 10 6.70 — — — 1 — — — —
K. Dowell M 38 6.70 — — — 8 6% — — —
K. Joseph F 37 6.70 — — 1 7 3% 2 1 —
L. Koumas F 15 6.30 — — — — — — — —
P. McNair D 52 7.20 — — — 14 8% — — —
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Kovačević G 97 7.50 — — — 22 15% — — —
K. Fisher D 97 6.00 — — 1 55 46% 1 1 —
J. Córdoba D 97 6.90 — — — 68 57% 3 — —
D 97 5.60 — — 1 56 51% — — —
J. Stacey D 97 6.00 — — — 35 25% 1 — —
Jacob Wright M 86 7.70 — — — 63 54% — — —
P. Mattsson M 97 7.00 — — — 46 41% 2 — —
Ali Ahmed M 45 6.20 — — — 24 18% — — —
A. Ben Slimane M 70 6.30 — 1 1 26 19% 2 — —
A. Forson M 45 6.30 — — — 11 7% — — —
M. Touré F 82 7.00 1 — 2 11 5% — — —
L. Gibbs M 52 6.30 — — 1 15 10% — — —
M. Kvistgaarden F 15 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
P. Maghoma M 52 6.60 — — — 20 17% 1 1 —
S. Field M 27 6.70 — — 1 21 20% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hull City vs Norwich?
The final score was Hull City 2–1 Norwich.
What did the model predict before Hull City vs Norwich?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Hull City win, 23% to a draw, and 43% to an Norwich win.