Hull City - Southampton
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
28.5°C
💨 12 km/h
· London
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.2%
Win
Hull City
23.65%
Draw
43.16%
Win
Southampton
1.69
1.92
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(8.8%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
24%
2
43%
Double Chance
1X
57%
X2
67%
12
76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
70%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Southampton a 43% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Hull City. Expected goals are 1.7 for Hull City and 1.9 for Southampton (total 3.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.8% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Hull City have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Southampton.
Season Stats
5W
5D
5L
11W
4D
0L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
2.3
1.2
Conceded
0.8
3.7
Shots OT
5.3
4.1
Corners
6.0
43%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
87%
53%
O 2.5
73%
60%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
4W
3D
3L
· at home
7W
3D
0L
· away
1.5
gls/g
2.3
1.4
Conceded
1.0
40%
Win %
70%
70%
Win or Draw
100%
70%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
60%
50%
O 3.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Hull City
Southampton →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Hull City
Attack
35
Defence
66
Form
51
Southampton
Attack
46
Defence
64
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hull City vs Southampton?
The model gives Hull City a 33% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 43% for an Southampton win.
How many goals are expected in Hull City vs Southampton?
Expected goals: Hull City 1.7, Southampton 1.9 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Hull City vs Southampton?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.8%.