Skip to main content
← Championship

Hull City - Southampton

Championship May 23, 2026 17:30 Wembley Stadium, London
Hull City
#6 · 73 pts
vs
Southampton
#4 · 80 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 28.5°C 💨 12 km/h · London
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.2%
Win
Hull City
23.65%
Draw
43.16%
Win
Southampton
1.69
Expected xG
1.92
Most likely result 1–1 (8.8%)
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
70%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Southampton a 43% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Hull City. Expected goals are 1.7 for Hull City and 1.9 for Southampton (total 3.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.8% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Hull City have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Southampton.

Season Stats

Hull City
5W 5D 5L
Southampton
11W 4D 0L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
2.3
1.2
Conceded
0.8
3.7
Shots OT
5.3
4.1
Corners
6.0
43%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
87%
53%
O 2.5
73%
60%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
80%
O 1.5
60%
O 2.5
45%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Hull City
4W 3D 3L · at home
Southampton
7W 3D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.3
1.4
Conceded
1.0
40%
Win %
70%
70%
Win or Draw
100%
70%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
60%
50%
O 3.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Hull City Southampton →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 5.2% 5.0% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
1 4.6% 8.8% 8.4% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.9% 7.4% 7.1% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.2% 4.2% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Hull City Hull City
W Middlesbrough 1–0
W Millwall 0–2
D Millwall 0–0
W Norwich 2–1
L Charlton 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Southampton Southampton
W Middlesbrough 2–1
D Middlesbrough 0–0
W Preston 1–3
D Ipswich 2–2
D Bristol City 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Hull City Hull City
Attack
35
Defence
66
Form
51
Southampton Southampton
Attack
46
Defence
64
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Hull City
0
Draw
0
Southampton
17 Jan 2026 Championship 2–1
20 Sep 2025 Championship 3–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hull City vs Southampton?
The model gives Hull City a 33% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 43% for an Southampton win.
How many goals are expected in Hull City vs Southampton?
Expected goals: Hull City 1.7, Southampton 1.9 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Hull City vs Southampton?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.8%.