Hungary - Ukraine
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
26.8°C
💨 18 km/h
🌧️ 58%
· Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
69.82%
Win
Hungary
14.09%
Draw
16.09%
Win
Ukraine
3.24
1.44
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Hungary
69.82%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–1
(7.71%)
1X2 Result
1
70%
X
14%
2
16%
Double Chance
1X
84%
X2
30%
12
86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
85%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hungary a 69% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 16% for Ukraine. Expected goals are 3.2 for Hungary and 1.4 for Ukraine (total 4.7), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.71% probability.
Season Stats
1W
3D
4L
3W
2D
3L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
1.4
2.1
Conceded
1.5
3.5
Shots OT
4.0
4.5
Corners
4.3
40%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
88%
50%
O 2.5
63%
38%
BTTS
75%
25%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
0W
3D
1L
· at home
1W
1D
2L
· away
0.5
gls/g
1.2
1.2
Conceded
2.0
0%
Win %
25%
75%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
75%
0%
O 3.5
25%
50%
BTTS
75%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Hungary
Ukraine →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Hungary
Attack
43
Defence
76
Form
66
Ukraine
Attack
36
Defence
68
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 2
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hungary
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Ukraine
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Georgia
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Northern Ireland
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 2
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #2 |
| → Hungary | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Ukraine | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hungary vs Ukraine?
The model gives Hungary a 69% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 16% for an Ukraine win.
How many goals are expected in Hungary vs Ukraine?
Expected goals: Hungary 3.2, Ukraine 1.4 (total 4.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Hungary vs Ukraine?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.71%.