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#1 · 8 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#3 · 4 pts
Orri Steinn Óskarsson (ast. Hákon Arnar Haraldsson) 37'
Orri Steinn Óskarsson (ast. Mikael Anderson) 60'
Mikael Ellertsson (ast. Orri Steinn Óskarsson) 90'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Iceland a 46% win probability (draw 35%, Bulgaria 18%). The final result was Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
9
Corners
1
21
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Hörður Magnússon
4'
10'
Lukas Petkov
27'
Dimitar Velkovski
Mikael Ellertsson
32'
⚽Orri Steinn Óskarsson · ast. Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
37'
↕ Arnór Sigurðsson / Andri Guðjohnsen
45'
↕ Aron Gunnarsson / Daniel Leo Gretarsson
45'
55'
Emil Tsenov / Ilia Gruev ↕
55'
Marin Plamenov·Petkov / Lukas Petkov ↕
59'
Atanas Iliev
⚽Orri Steinn Óskarsson · ast. Mikael Anderson
60'
↕ Andri Fannar Baldursson / Victor Pálsson
62'
↕ Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson / Gylfi Sigurðsson
62'
67'
P. Panayotov / Asen Chandarov ↕
67'
Zdravko Dimitrov / Georgi Rusev ↕
80'
Marin Plamenov·Petkov
↕ Hákon Arnar Haraldsson / Logi Tomasson
82'
83'
Vladimir Nikolov / Atanas Iliev ↕
⚽Orri Steinn Óskarsson (missed pen.)
84'
⚽Mikael Ellertsson · ast. Orri Steinn Óskarsson
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.42%
Iceland ←
35.18%
X
18.4%
Bulgaria
we assigned to the actual result (Iceland) 46.42% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Iceland
1.22
—
—
Bulgaria
0.72
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Iceland Iceland 4 8
2 Estonia Estonia 4 6
3 Bulgaria Bulgaria 4 4
4 Luxembourg Luxembourg 4 3
Lineups
Iceland Iceland 4-4-1-1
12 H. Valdimarsson H. Valdimarsson G 6.90
19 M. Ellertsson M. Ellertsson 1 ⚽ D 6.63
23 H. Magnússon H. Magnússon D 6.52
17 A. Gunnarsson A. Gunnarsson 45' D 7.00
18 Mikael Anderson Mikael Anderson 1 👟 D 7.13
11 J. Þorsteinsson J. Þorsteinsson 62' M 6.79
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 7.20
6 Andri Fannar Baldursson Andri Fannar Baldursson 62' M 6.62
21 A. Sigurðsson A. Sigurðsson 45' M 6.35
7 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 1 👟 82' M 7.48
9 O. Óskarsson O. Óskarsson 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.31
Bench
13 A. Einarsson A. Einarsson G 0.00
22 A. Guðjohnsen A. Guðjohnsen 45' F 6.40
14 B. Willumsson B. Willumsson F 0.00
3 D. Grétarsson D. Grétarsson 45' D 6.46
15 D. Guðjohnsen D. Guðjohnsen F 0.00
10 G. Sigurðsson G. Sigurðsson 28' M 6.66
5 Í. Þorvaldsson Í. Þorvaldsson F 0.00
2 Logi Tomasson Logi Tomasson 8' D 6.10
1 R. Rúnarsson R. Rúnarsson G 0.00
16 S. Þórðarson S. Þórðarson M 0.00
4 V. Pálsson V. Pálsson 28' D 6.24
20 Þ. Helgason Þ. Helgason M 0.00
Bulgaria Bulgaria 4-4-1-1
1
D. Naumov G 6.26
21
D. Velkovski D 5.97
13 S. Velkov S. Velkov D 6.08
5
K. Dimitrov D 6.93
19
I. Turitsov D 5.83
11
G. Rusev 67' M 5.68
4 I. Gruev I. Gruev 55' M 6.52
8 A. Kraev A. Kraev M 6.08
20 L. Petkov L. Petkov 55' M 5.81
14
A. Chandarov 67' M 6.41
9
A. Iliev 83' F 5.38
Bench
23
A. Bozhev G 0.00
3
A. Hristov D 0.00
12 D. Mitov D. Mitov G 0.00
6 E. Tsenov E. Tsenov 35' D 6.19
15 H. Petrov H. Petrov D 0.00
18 K. Balov K. Balov F 0.00
22
K. Stoyanov M 0.00
16 M. Petkov M. Petkov 35' F 6.84
7
P. Panayotov 23' M 5.91
17
V. Nikolov 7' F 6.29
2 Y. Stoyanov Y. Stoyanov M 0.00
10 Z. Dimitrov Z. Dimitrov 23' F 6.42
Best on the pitch
O. Óskarsson
O. Óskarsson
F · Iceland
9.31
2 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 21 pass
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
M · Iceland
7.48
1 👟
· 35 pass
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
M · Iceland
7.20
1 shots · 60 pass
Mikael Anderson
Mikael Anderson
D · Iceland
7.13
1 👟
· 39 pass
A. Gunnarsson
A. Gunnarsson
D · Iceland
7.00
· 35 pass
K. Dimitrov
D · Bulgaria
6.93
1 shots · 60 pass
Iceland Iceland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Valdimarsson G 90 6.90 — — 0 24 15% 0 — —
M. Ellertsson D 90 6.63 1 — 1 26 18% 2 1 —
H. Magnússon D 90 6.52 — — 1 52 39% 1 1 —
A. Gunnarsson D 45 7.00 — — 0 35 31% 0 — —
Mikael Anderson D 90 7.13 — 1 0 39 29% 5 — —
J. Þorsteinsson M 62 6.79 — — 1 19 12% 1 — —
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 90 7.20 — — 1 60 56% 5 — —
Andri Fannar Baldursson M 62 6.62 — — 1 31 27% 2 — —
A. Sigurðsson M 45 6.35 — — 0 12 8% 1 — —
H. Haraldsson M 82 7.48 — 1 0 35 30% 1 — —
O. Óskarsson F 90 9.31 2 1 5 21 16% 0 — —
A. Guðjohnsen F 45 6.40 — — 0 13 11% 1 — —
D. Grétarsson D 45 6.46 — — 0 23 19% 0 — —
G. Sigurðsson M 28 6.66 — — 0 18 15% 1 — —
Logi Tomasson D 8 6.10 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
V. Pálsson D 28 6.24 — — 0 12 11% 1 — —
Bulgaria Bulgaria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Naumov G 90 6.26 — — 0 25 19% 0 — —
D. Velkovski D 90 5.97 — — 0 55 48% 2 1 —
S. Velkov D 90 6.08 — — 0 59 46% 1 — —
K. Dimitrov D 90 6.93 — — 1 60 53% 0 — —
I. Turitsov D 90 5.83 — — 0 39 28% 1 — —
G. Rusev M 67 5.68 — — 1 20 15% 2 — —
I. Gruev M 55 6.52 — — 0 24 21% 1 — —
A. Kraev M 90 6.08 — — 1 52 41% 0 — —
L. Petkov M 55 5.81 — — 0 9 7% 0 1 —
A. Chandarov M 67 6.41 — — 0 11 4% 3 — —
A. Iliev F 83 5.38 — — 2 16 11% 0 1 —
E. Tsenov D 35 6.19 — — 3 12 12% 0 — —
M. Petkov F 35 6.84 — — 1 13 10% 1 1 —
P. Panayotov M 23 5.91 — — 1 13 12% 1 — —
V. Nikolov F 7 6.29 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
Z. Dimitrov F 23 6.42 — — 0 8 8% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Iceland vs Bulgaria?
The final score was Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria.
What did the model predict before Iceland vs Bulgaria?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Iceland win, 35% to a draw, and 18% to an Bulgaria win.