Andri Guðjohnsen
(ast. Hákon Arnar Haraldsson)
45'
64'
(ast. Rasmus Peetson)
Maksim Paskotsi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Iceland a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Estonia 20%). The final result was Iceland 1–1 Estonia. In 1 previous meetings, Iceland have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Estonia.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
7
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
3
8
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Albert Gudmundsson
/ Isak Thorvaldsson
30'
⚽Andri Guðjohnsen
· ast. Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
45'
52'
(missed pen.)
Kevor Palumets⚽
54'
Karol Mets
61'
Patrik Kristal
/
Mihkel Ainsalu
64'
ast. Rasmus Peetson ·
Maksim Paskotsi⚽
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
/ Arnór Sigurðsson
75'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
/ Gylfi Sigurðsson
75'
78'
Alex Matthias Tamm
/
karel mustmaa
81'
Rasmus Peetson
Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
84'
Mikael Ellertsson
/ Logi Tomasson
84'
Andri Guðjohnsen
/ Kristall Mani Ingason
85'
86'
Markus Soomets
/
Mattias Käit
Pre-match prediction
52.55%
Iceland
26.56%
X ←
20.89%
Estonia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.56%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
—
—
0.82
—
—
Lineups
12
H. Valdimarsson
G
H. Valdimarsson
G
19
M. Ellertsson
84'
D
M. Ellertsson
84'
D
3
D. Grétarsson
D
D. Grétarsson
D
16
S. Þórðarson
D
S. Þórðarson
D
4
V. Pálsson
D
V. Pálsson
D
11
A. Guðmundsson
30'
M
A. Guðmundsson
30'
M
8
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
75'
M
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
75'
M
7
H. Haraldsson
1 👟
M
H. Haraldsson
1 👟
M
20
J. Þorsteinsson
75'
M
J. Þorsteinsson
75'
M
9
O. Óskarsson
F
O. Óskarsson
F
22
A. Guðjohnsen
1 ⚽
85'
F
A. Guðjohnsen
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
13
A. Einarsson
G
A. Einarsson
G
17
A. Gunnarsson
M
A. Gunnarsson
M
6
Andri Fannar Baldursson
M
Andri Fannar Baldursson
M
21
A. Sigurðsson
15'
M
A. Sigurðsson
15'
M
14
B. Willumsson
F
B. Willumsson
F
10
G. Sigurðsson
15'
M
G. Sigurðsson
15'
M
23
H. Magnússon
D
H. Magnússon
D
5
Í. Þorvaldsson
60'
F
Í. Þorvaldsson
60'
F
15
K. Ingason
5'
F
K. Ingason
5'
F
2
Logi Tomasson
6'
D
Logi Tomasson
6'
D
18
Mikael Anderson
M
Mikael Anderson
M
1
R. Rúnarsson
G
R. Rúnarsson
G
1
K. Hein
G
K. Hein
G
19
M. Schjønning-Larsen
D
M. Schjønning-Larsen
D
18
K. Mets
D
K. Mets
D
2
M. Kuusk
D
M. Kuusk
D
3
Maksim Paskotsi
1 ⚽
D
Maksim Paskotsi
1 ⚽
D
6
R. Peetson
1 👟
D
R. Peetson
1 👟
D
4
M. Käit
86'
M
M. Käit
86'
M
20
M. Poom
M
M. Poom
M
10
K. Palumets
M
K. Palumets
M
9
Karel Mustmaa
78'
F
Karel Mustmaa
78'
F
11
M. Ainsalu
61'
F
M. Ainsalu
61'
F
Bench
16
A. Tamm
12'
F
A. Tamm
12'
F
5
E. Tõugjas
D
E. Tõugjas
D
23
F. Liivak
M
F. Liivak
M
13
J. Saliste
D
J. Saliste
D
22
K. Vallner
G
K. Vallner
G
12
M. Igonen
G
M. Igonen
G
21
M. Männilaan
F
M. Männilaan
F
17
M. Miller
M
M. Miller
M
15
M. Skvortsov
M
M. Skvortsov
M
8
M. Soomets
4'
M
M. Soomets
4'
M
14
P. Kristal
29'
M
P. Kristal
29'
M
7
R. Saarma
M
R. Saarma
M
Best on the pitch
A. Guðjohnsen
F · Iceland
7.97
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
H. Valdimarsson
G · Iceland
7.85
· 23 pass
H. Haraldsson
M · Iceland
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 74 pass
K. Hein
G · Estonia
7.63
· 45 pass
Maksim Paskotsi
D · Estonia
7.11
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
M · Iceland
7.09
· 64 pass
Iceland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Valdimarsson | G | 90 | 7.85 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ellertsson | D | 84 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Grétarsson | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 67 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Þórðarson | D | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 94 | 86% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Pálsson | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Guðmundsson | M | 30 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | M | 75 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 64 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 74 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Þorsteinsson | M | 75 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Óskarsson | F | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 6 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Guðjohnsen | F | 85 | 7.97 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Sigurðsson | M | 15 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Sigurðsson | M | 15 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Í. Þorvaldsson | F | 60 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Ingason | F | 5 | 7.01 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Logi Tomasson | D | 6 | 6.48 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Estonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hein | G | 90 | 7.63 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | D | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Mets | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Kuusk | D | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Maksim Paskotsi | D | 90 | 7.11 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Peetson | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | 1 | 0 | 35 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Käit | M | 86 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Poom | M | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Palumets | M | 90 | 5.81 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Karel Mustmaa | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ainsalu | F | 61 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Tamm | F | 12 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Soomets | M | 4 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Kristal | M | 29 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Iceland vs Estonia?
The final score was Iceland 1–1 Estonia.
What did the model predict before Iceland vs Estonia?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Iceland win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Estonia win.