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← Ettan - Norra

IF Karlstad - Umeå FC

Ettan - Norra November 08, 2026 15:00 Sola Arena, Karlstad
IF Karlstad
#7 · 44 pts
vs
Umeå FC
#8 · 42 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 3.0°C 💨 4 km/h · Karlstad
⚡ Pre-match analysis
18.35%
Win
IF Karlstad
15.3%
Draw
66.36%
Win
Umeå FC
1.18
Expected xG
2.77
Most likely outcome
Umeå FC
66.36%
Probability
59.6%
1X2 accuracy · 47 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.79%)
1X2 Result
1 18%
X 15%
2 66%
Double Chance
1X 34%
X2 82%
12 85%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Umeå FC a 66% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 18% for IF Karlstad. Expected goals are 1.2 for IF Karlstad and 2.8 for Umeå FC (total 3.9), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.79% probability. In 1 previous meetings, IF Karlstad have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Umeå FC.

Season Stats

IF Karlstad
3W 5D 7L
Umeå FC
8W 2D 5L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.5
1.6
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
87%
73%
O 2.5
67%
80%
BTTS
53%
13%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Ettan - Norra. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
IF Karlstad
4W 3D 3L · at home
Umeå FC
4W 3D 3L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.3
1.0
Conceded
1.1
40%
Win %
40%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ IF Karlstad Umeå FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 5.3% 7.4% 6.8% 4.7% 2.6%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.7% 8.0% 5.6% 3.1%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 4.8% 3.3% 1.8%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% —

Recent form

IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
L Vasalund 2–1
L Stockholm Internazionale 1–4
L Hammarby Talang 2–1
W Arlanda 3–0
D Piteå 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Umeå FC Umeå FC
W Sollentuna 3–0
D Karlberg 1–1
W Assyriska FF 3–1
W Järfälla 1–2
W Hammarby Talang 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
Attack
31
Defence
61
Form
43
Umeå FC Umeå FC
Attack
53
Defence
78
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
IF Karlstad
0
Draw
0
Umeå FC
24 May 2026 Ettan - Norra 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 29 64
2 Arlanda Arlanda 29 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 29 53
4 Enköping Enköping 29 52
5 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 29 49
6 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 29 49
7 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 29 44
8 Umeå FC Umeå FC 29 42
9 Gefle IF Gefle IF 29 38
10 Karlberg Karlberg 29 37
11 Assyriska FF Assyriska FF 29 35
12 Sollentuna Sollentuna 29 31
13 Vasalund Vasalund 29 31
14 Piteå Piteå 29 27
15 Järfälla Järfälla 29 24
16 Stocksund Stocksund 29 15
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
The model gives IF Karlstad a 18% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 66% for an Umeå FC win.
How many goals are expected in IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
Expected goals: IF Karlstad 1.2, Umeå FC 2.8 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.79%.