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Ilves - HNK Rijeka

Conference League August 13, 2026 18:00
Ilves
vs
HNK Rijeka
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.9%
Win
Ilves
25.1%
Draw
50.0%
Win
HNK Rijeka
0.87
Expected xG
1.88

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (11.02%)
1X2 Result ✓ 82.4% hit rate (17 picks)
1 25%
X 25%
2 50%
Double Chance
1X 50%
X2 75%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives HNK Rijeka a 50% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Ilves. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ilves and 1.9 for HNK Rijeka (total 2.7), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 11.02% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Ilves have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HNK Rijeka.

Season Stats

Ilves
3W 1D 3L
HNK Rijeka
7W 4D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.1
1.6
Conceded
0.5
3.3
Shots OT
5.2
2.0
Corners
4.5
37%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
43%
O 1.5
38%
43%
O 2.5
23%
29%
BTTS
31%
29%
Clean Sht
62%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Ilves
3W 0D 0L · at home
HNK Rijeka
2W 3D 1L · away
2.7
gls/g
0.7
1.3
Conceded
0.5
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
83%
67%
O 1.5
33%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ilves HNK Rijeka →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4% 12.1% 11.3% 7.1% 3.3% 1.2%
1 5.6% 10.5% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.4% 4.5% 4.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Ilves Ilves
L HNK Rijeka 1–0
W Stjarnan 1–0
L Stjarnan 1–0
W FC Differdange 03 3–1
D FC Differdange 03 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
W Ilves 1–0
W Derry City 0–1
W Derry City 1–0
D Strasbourg 1–1
L Strasbourg 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 47%

Playing profile

Ilves Ilves
Attack
25
Defence
79
Form
64
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
Attack
52
Defence
94
Form
80
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Ilves
0
Draw
1
HNK Rijeka
6 Aug 2026 Conference League 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?
The model gives Ilves a 24% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 50% for an HNK Rijeka win.
How many goals are expected in Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?
Expected goals: Ilves 0.9, HNK Rijeka 1.9 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.02%.