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Ilves - Stjarnan

Conference League July 30, 2026 18:00
Ilves
vs
Stjarnan
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.66%
Win
Ilves
19.11%
Draw
21.23%
Win
Stjarnan
2.32
Expected xG
1.31
Most likely outcome
Ilves
59.66%
Probability
80.0%
1X2 accuracy · 5 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.38%)
1X2 Result
1 60%
X 19%
2 21%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 40%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 73%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ilves a 59% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Stjarnan. Expected goals are 2.3 for Ilves and 1.3 for Stjarnan (total 3.6), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.38% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Ilves have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stjarnan.

Season Stats

Ilves
2W 1D 2L
Stjarnan
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.0
4.5
Shots OT
—
2.5
Corners
—
39%
Poss.
—
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
67%
60%
O 2.5
67%
40%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Ilves
2W 0D 0L · at home
Stjarnan
0W 1D 0L · away
3.5
gls/g
2.0
2.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ilves Stjarnan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.2% 8.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% —

Recent form

Ilves Ilves
L Stjarnan 1–0
W FC Differdange 03 3–1
D FC Differdange 03 0–0
L AZ Alkmaar 5–0
W AZ Alkmaar 4–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 44%
Stjarnan Stjarnan
W Ilves 1–0
D Vikingur Gota 2–2
W Vikingur Gota 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 11%

Playing profile

Ilves Ilves
Attack
37
Defence
72
Form
60
Stjarnan Stjarnan
Attack
40
Defence
49
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Ilves
0
Draw
1
Stjarnan
23 Jul 2026 Conference League 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ilves vs Stjarnan?
The model gives Ilves a 59% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 21% for an Stjarnan win.
How many goals are expected in Ilves vs Stjarnan?
Expected goals: Ilves 2.3, Stjarnan 1.3 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Ilves vs Stjarnan?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.38%.