✓Model correct — prediction Incheon United
Ibiza
(ast. Lee Ju-Yong)
19'
M. Ferrier
(ast. Lee Chung-Yong)
26'
Gerso
(ast. Lee Dong-Ryul)
55'
Lee Chung-Yong
65'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Incheon United a 63% win probability (draw 25%, Gwangju FC 11%). The final result was Incheon United 4–0 Gwangju FC. In 2 previous meetings, Incheon United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gwangju FC.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
0
1.65
Actual xG
0.22
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
1
Match Events
⚽Ibiza
· ast. Lee Ju-Yong
19'
⚽M. Ferrier
· ast. Lee Chung-Yong
26'
46'
B. Gong
/
Y. Kim
⚽Gerso
· ast. Lee Dong-Ryul
55'
56'
Kim Jin-Ho
/
Ahn Hyeok-Ju
61'
Hong Yong-Jun
/
Lee Min-Ki
⚽Lee Chung-Yong
(pen.)
65'
Lee Myoung-Joo
/ Choi Seung-gu
73'
Lee Dong-Ryul
/ Park Seung-Ho
73'
75'
B. Gong
Gerso
/ Baek Min-gyu
79'
79'
Yu Je-Ho
/
Ju Se-Jong
79'
P. Seong Hyun
/
Joung Ji-hun
Lee Chung-Yong
/ Kim Seong-Min
82'
M. Ferrier
/ Park Ho-Min
82'
88'
Moon Min-seo
Pre-match prediction
63.6%
Incheon ←
25.02%
X
11.39%
Gwangju
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Incheon United)
63.6%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.65
+0.17
0.30
0.22
-0.08
Incheon United dominated by xG (1.65 vs 0.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Kim Dong-Heon
G
Kim Dong-Heon
G
32
Lee Ju-Yong
1 👟
D
Lee Ju-Yong
1 👟
D
2
Juan Fernández
1 ⚽
D
Juan Fernández
1 ⚽
D
4
Kim Geon-Hui
D
Kim Geon-Hui
D
39
Kim Myung-Sun
D
Kim Myung-Sun
D
11
Gerso
1 ⚽
M
Gerso
1 ⚽
M
15
Seo Jae-Min
M
Seo Jae-Min
M
5
Lee Myung-Joo
M
Lee Myung-Joo
M
10
Lee Dong-Ryul
1 👟
M
Lee Dong-Ryul
1 👟
M
72
Lee Chung-Yong
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Lee Chung-Yong
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
99
M. Ferrier
1 ⚽
F
M. Ferrier
1 ⚽
F
Bench
13
Choi Seung-Gu
D
23
Jeong Chi-In
M
Jeong Chi-In
M
17
Kim Seong-Min
M
Kim Seong-Min
M
3
Lee Sang-Gi
D
Lee Sang-Gi
D
31
Lee Sang-hyeon
G
14
Min-gyu Baek
F
19
Park Ho-min
F
77
Park Seung-Ho
F
Park Seung-Ho
F
25
Tae-uk Jeong
D
23
Kim Dong-Hwa
G
Kim Dong-Hwa
G
22
Kwon Sung-Yun
D
Kwon Sung-Yun
D
39
Min Sang-Gi
D
Min Sang-Gi
D
24
Kim Yong-hyuk
D
9
Ha Seung-Un
D
Ha Seung-Un
D
16
Jung Ji-Hun
M
Jung Ji-Hun
M
88
Moon Min-seo
M
Moon Min-seo
M
8
Ju Se-Jong
M
Ju Se-Jong
M
3
Lee Min-Gi
M
Lee Min-Gi
M
11
H. Friðjónsson
F
H. Friðjónsson
F
19
Ahn Hyeok-Ju
F
Ahn Hyeok-Ju
F
Bench
6
Ahn Young-Kyu
D
Ahn Young-Kyu
D
26
Bae-hyeon Gong
D
Bae-hyeon Gong
D
42
Hui-su Kang
M
27
Kim Jin-Ho
D
Kim Jin-Ho
D
1
Kim Kyeong-Min
G
Kim Kyeong-Min
G
25
Kim Yun-Ho
F
Kim Yun-Ho
F
28
Park Sung-hyun
M
99
Yong-jun Hong
M
14
Yu Je-Ho
M
Yu Je-Ho
M
Incheon United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Dong-Heon | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Ju-Yong | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Fernández | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kim Geon-Hui | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kim Myung-Sun | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerso | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seo Jae-Min | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Myung-Joo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Dong-Ryul | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Chung-Yong | F | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ferrier | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gwangju FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Dong-Hwa | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kwon Sung-Yun | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Min Sang-Gi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kim Yong-hyuk | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ha Seung-Un | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jung Ji-Hun | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moon Min-seo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ju Se-Jong | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Min-Gi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Friðjónsson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahn Hyeok-Ju | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gwangju FC?
The final score was Incheon United 4–0 Gwangju FC.
What did the model predict before Incheon United vs Gwangju FC?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Incheon United win, 25% to a draw, and 11% to an Gwangju FC win.