✓Model correct — prediction Incheon United
Ibiza
(ast. Lee Ju-Yong)
19'
M. Ferrier
(ast. Lee Chung-Yong)
26'
Gerso
(ast. Lee Dong-Ryul)
55'
Lee Chung-Yong
65'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Incheon United a 63% win probability (draw 25%, Gwangju FC 11%). The final result was Incheon United 4–0 Gwangju FC. In 1 previous meetings, Incheon United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gwangju FC.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
0
1.65
Actual xG
0.22
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
1
Match Events
⚽Ibiza
· ast. Lee Ju-Yong
19'
⚽M. Ferrier
· ast. Lee Chung-Yong
26'
46'
B. Gong
/
Y. Kim
⚽Gerso
· ast. Lee Dong-Ryul
55'
56'
Kim Jin-Ho
/
Ahn Hyeok-Ju
61'
Hong Yong-Jun
/
Lee Min-Ki
⚽Lee Chung-Yong
(pen.)
65'
Lee Myoung-Joo
/ Choi Seung-gu
73'
Lee Dong-Ryul
/ Park Seung-Ho
73'
75'
B. Gong
Gerso
/ Baek Min-gyu
79'
79'
Yu Je-Ho
/
Ju Se-Jong
79'
P. Seong Hyun
/
Joung Ji-hun
Lee Chung-Yong
/ Kim Seong-Min
82'
M. Ferrier
/ Park Ho-Min
82'
88'
Moon Min-seo
Pre-match prediction
63.6%
Incheon ←
25.02%
X
11.39%
Gwangju
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Incheon United)
63.6%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.65
+0.17
0.30
0.22
-0.08
Incheon United dominated by xG (1.65 vs 0.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Dong-heon Kim
G
32
Ju-yong Lee
1 👟
D
2
Juan Fernández
1 ⚽
D
Juan Fernández
1 ⚽
D
4
Gun-hee Kim
D
39
Kim Myung-Sun
D
11
Gerso Fernandes
1 ⚽
M
15
Jae-min Seo
M
5
Myung Joo Lee
M
10
Dong-ryul Lee
M
72
Chung-yong Lee
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
99
M. Ferrier
1 ⚽
F
M. Ferrier
1 ⚽
F
Bench
23
Chi-in Jeong
M
13
Choi Seung-Gu
D
3
Lee Sang-Gi
D
Lee Sang-Gi
D
31
Lee Sang-hyeon
G
14
Min-gyu Baek
F
19
Park Ho-min
F
77
Park Seung-ho
F
17
Seong-min Kim
M
25
Tae-uk Jeong
D
23
Dong-hwa Kim
G
22
Kwon Sung-Yun
D
Kwon Sung-Yun
D
39
Sang-ki Min
D
24
Kim Yong-hyuk
D
9
Seung-un Ha
D
16
Ji-hoon Jeong
M
88
Moon Min-seo
M
Moon Min-seo
M
8
Ju Se-Jong
M
Ju Se-Jong
M
3
Min-ki Lee
M
11
H. Friðjónsson
F
H. Friðjónsson
F
19
Hassan El Shazly
F
Hassan El Shazly
F
Bench
26
Gong Bae-Hyeon
D
42
Hui-su Kang
M
27
Kim Jin-Ho
D
Kim Jin-Ho
D
25
Kim Yun-Ho
F
1
Kyeong-min Kim
G
28
Park Sung-hyun
M
6
Yeong-kyu Ahn
D
99
Yong-jun Hong
M
14
Yu Je-ho
M
Incheon United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dong-heon Kim | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ju-yong Lee | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Fernández | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gun-hee Kim | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kim Myung-Sun | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerso Fernandes | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jae-min Seo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Myung Joo Lee | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dong-ryul Lee | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chung-yong Lee | F | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ferrier | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gwangju FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dong-hwa Kim | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kwon Sung-Yun | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sang-ki Min | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kim Yong-hyuk | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seung-un Ha | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ji-hoon Jeong | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moon Min-seo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ju Se-Jong | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Min-ki Lee | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Friðjónsson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassan El Shazly | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gwangju FC?
The final score was Incheon United 4–0 Gwangju FC.
What did the model predict before Incheon United vs Gwangju FC?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Incheon United win, 25% to a draw, and 11% to an Gwangju FC win.