Independ. Rivadavia - Atletico Tucuman
Copa Argentina
September 17, 2026 00:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.0%
Win
Independ. Rivadavia
32.4%
Draw
27.6%
Win
Atletico Tucuman
1.31
1.01
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.2%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
32%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
60%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
✓ 78.6% hit rate (14 picks)
Over 2.5
49%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Independ. Rivadavia a 40% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Atletico Tucuman. Expected goals are 1.3 for Independ. Rivadavia and 1.0 for Atletico Tucuman (total 2.3), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.2% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Independ. Rivadavia have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Atletico Tucuman.
Season Stats
3W
0D
0L
3W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
3.0
0.0
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
33%
100%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Copa Argentina. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
2W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
1.5
gls/g
3.0
0.0
Conceded
0.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Independ. Rivadavia
Attack
39
Defence
63
Form
57
Atletico Tucuman
Attack
33
Defence
77
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
The model gives Independ. Rivadavia a 40% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 27% for an Atletico Tucuman win.
How many goals are expected in Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
Expected goals: Independ. Rivadavia 1.3, Atletico Tucuman 1.0 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.2%.