Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 08, 2026 00:00
C. Lampe
1'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Bolívar 32%). The final result was Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Bolívar. In 1 previous meetings, Independ. Rivadavia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bolívar.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.39
Actual xG
0.39
3
Saves
4
37%
Possession
63%
6
Corners
1
7
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Lampe
(og)
1'
M. Fernandez
22'
40'
61'
Pato Rodriguez
/
B. Oyola
62'
C. A. Melgar
/
C. Aleman
L. Costa
/ T. Bottari
67'
72'
S. Echeverria
M. Fernandez
/ G. Rios
74'
A. Arce
/ R. Atencio
74'
74'
E. Vaca Moreno
/
M. Cauteruccio
85'
E. Saavedra
/
Robson Matheus
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
/ L. Bucca
90'
F. Sartori
/ B. Dadin
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.92%
Independ. ←
33.1%
X
32.98%
Bolívar
we assigned to the actual result (Independ. Rivadavia)
33.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
1.39
+0.25
0.94
0.39
-0.55
Independ. Rivadavia dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Nicolás Bolcato
G
Nicolás Bolcato
G
14
L. Gómez
D
L. Gómez
D
42
S. Studer
D
S. Studer
D
40
I. Villalba
D
I. Villalba
D
36
E. Bonifacio
D
E. Bonifacio
D
25
J. Florentín
M
J. Florentín
M
2
L. Costa
67'
M
L. Costa
67'
M
22
S. Villa
M
S. Villa
M
43
F. Sartori
M
F. Sartori
M
10
M. Fernández
74'
M
M. Fernández
74'
M
9
A. Arce
74'
F
A. Arce
74'
F
Bench
13
A. Osella
D
A. Osella
D
20
A. Riep
M
A. Riep
M
27
D. Crego
M
D. Crego
M
11
G. Ríos
21'
M
G. Ríos
21'
M
3
J. Elordi
D
J. Elordi
D
8
L. Bucca
5'
M
L. Bucca
5'
M
19
R. Atencio
21'
F
R. Atencio
21'
F
5
T. Bottari
28'
M
T. Bottari
28'
M
7
V. Ramis
F
V. Ramis
F
1
C. Lampe
1 ⚽
G
C. Lampe
1 ⚽
G
4
Jose Sagredo
72'
D
Jose Sagredo
72'
D
5
S. Echeverría
D
S. Echeverría
D
3
X. Arreaga
D
X. Arreaga
D
2
D
14
R. Matheus
85'
M
R. Matheus
85'
M
23
L. Justiniano
M
L. Justiniano
M
77
D. Romero
M
D. Romero
M
10
C. Aleman
61'
M
11
Brian Oyola
61'
M
Brian Oyola
61'
M
9
M. Cauteruccio
74'
F
M. Cauteruccio
74'
F
Bench
80
C. Melgar
34'
M
C. Melgar
34'
M
26
E. Saavedra
10'
M
E. Saavedra
10'
M
6
E. Vaca
21'
M
E. Vaca
21'
M
19
J. García
M
J. García
M
7
J. Velásquez
F
J. Velásquez
F
18
L. Chávez
M
L. Chávez
M
8
L. Paz
D
L. Paz
D
17
P. Rodríguez
34'
F
P. Rodríguez
34'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Villa
M · Independ.
7.50
4 shots
· 25 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
7.30
· 19 pass
L. Gómez
D · Independ.
7.30
· 22 pass
S. Studer
D · Independ.
7.20
1 shots
· 21 pass
R. Matheus
M · Bolívar
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
E. Vaca
M · Bolívar
7.00
· 14 pass
Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Bolcato | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Gómez | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Studer | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| I. Villalba | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Bonifacio | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Florentín | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| L. Costa | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Villa | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| F. Sartori | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Arce | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Ríos | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bucca | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Atencio | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Bottari | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lampe | G | 95 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 57 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Jose Sagredo | D | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | 1 |
| S. Echeverría | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| X. Arreaga | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — | |
| R. Matheus | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| L. Justiniano | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Romero | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Aleman | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Brian Oyola | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cauteruccio | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Melgar | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| E. Saavedra | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Vaca | M | 21 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Rodríguez | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independ. Rivadavia vs Bolívar?
The final score was Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Bolívar.
What did the model predict before Independ. Rivadavia vs Bolívar?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Independ. Rivadavia win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Bolívar win.