Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 08, 2026 00:00
C. Lampe
1'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Bolívar 32%). The final result was Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Bolívar. In 1 previous meetings, Independ. Rivadavia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bolívar.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.39
Actual xG
0.39
3
Saves
4
37%
Possession
63%
6
Corners
1
7
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Lampe
(og)
1'
M. Fernandez
22'
40'
61'
Pato Rodriguez
/
B. Oyola
62'
C. A. Melgar
/
C. Aleman
L. Costa
/ T. Bottari
67'
72'
S. Echeverria
M. Fernandez
/ G. Rios
74'
A. Arce
/ R. Atencio
74'
74'
E. Vaca Moreno
/
M. Cauteruccio
85'
E. Saavedra
/
Robson Matheus
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
/ L. Bucca
90'
F. Sartori
/ B. Dadin
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.92%
Independ. ←
33.1%
X
32.98%
Bolívar
we assigned to the actual result (Independ. Rivadavia)
33.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
1.39
+0.25
0.94
0.39
-0.55
Independ. Rivadavia dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Nicolás Bolcato
G
Nicolás Bolcato
G
14
Luciano Gómez
D
Luciano Gómez
D
42
Sheyko Studer
D
Sheyko Studer
D
40
Iván Villalba
D
Iván Villalba
D
36
Ezequiel Bonifacio
D
Ezequiel Bonifacio
D
25
J. Florentín
M
J. Florentín
M
2
Leonard Costa
67'
M
Leonard Costa
67'
M
22
Sebastián Villa
M
Sebastián Villa
M
43
Fabrizio Sartori
M
Fabrizio Sartori
M
10
M. Fernández
74'
M
M. Fernández
74'
M
9
A. Arce
74'
F
A. Arce
74'
F
Bench
13
Alejo Osella
D
Alejo Osella
D
20
Alessandro Riep
M
Alessandro Riep
M
27
Diego Crego
M
Diego Crego
M
11
Gonzalo Ríos
21'
M
Gonzalo Ríos
21'
M
3
Juan Manuel Elordi
D
Juan Manuel Elordi
D
8
Leonel Bucca
5'
M
Leonel Bucca
5'
M
19
Rodrigo Atencio
21'
F
Rodrigo Atencio
21'
F
5
Tomás Bottari
28'
M
Tomás Bottari
28'
M
7
Victorio Ramis
F
Victorio Ramis
F
1
Carlos Lampe
1 ⚽
G
Carlos Lampe
1 ⚽
G
4
J. Sagredo
72'
D
J. Sagredo
72'
D
5
Santiago Echeverria
D
Santiago Echeverria
D
3
Xavier Arreaga
D
Xavier Arreaga
D
2
D
14
R. Matheus
85'
M
R. Matheus
85'
M
23
Leonel Justiniano
M
Leonel Justiniano
M
77
D. Romero
M
D. Romero
M
10
C. Aleman
61'
M
11
Brian Oyola
61'
M
Brian Oyola
61'
M
9
Martín Cauteruccio
74'
F
Martín Cauteruccio
74'
F
Bench
80
Carlos Melgar
34'
M
Carlos Melgar
34'
M
6
Ervin Vaca
21'
M
Ervin Vaca
21'
M
26
Erwin Saavedra
10'
M
Erwin Saavedra
10'
M
7
Jhon Velásquez
F
Jhon Velásquez
F
19
John García
M
John García
M
18
L. Chávez
M
L. Chávez
M
8
Luis Paz
D
Luis Paz
D
17
Patricio Rodríguez
34'
F
Patricio Rodríguez
34'
F
Best on the pitch
Sebastián Villa
M · Independ.
7.50
4 shots
· 25 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
7.30
· 19 pass
Luciano Gómez
D · Independ.
7.30
· 22 pass
Sheyko Studer
D · Independ.
7.20
1 shots
· 21 pass
R. Matheus
M · Bolívar
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
Ervin Vaca
M · Bolívar
7.00
· 14 pass
Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Bolcato | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Gómez | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Sheyko Studer | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Iván Villalba | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Bonifacio | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Florentín | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Leonard Costa | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Villa | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Fabrizio Sartori | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Arce | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Ríos | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Bucca | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Atencio | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Bottari | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Lampe | G | 95 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 57 | 48% | — | — | — |
| J. Sagredo | D | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Santiago Echeverria | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Xavier Arreaga | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — | |
| R. Matheus | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Leonel Justiniano | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Romero | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Aleman | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Brian Oyola | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Cauteruccio | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Melgar | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Ervin Vaca | M | 21 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Erwin Saavedra | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Patricio Rodríguez | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independ. Rivadavia vs Bolívar?
The final score was Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Bolívar.
What did the model predict before Independ. Rivadavia vs Bolívar?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Independ. Rivadavia win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Bolívar win.