← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 1 April 08, 2026 00:00
Independ. Rivadavia
#1 · 10 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Bolívar
#2 · 5 pts
C. Lampe 1' (og)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Bolívar 32%). The final result was Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Bolívar.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.39
Actual xG
0.39
3
Saves
4
37%
Possession
63%
6
Corners
1
7
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Lampe (og)
1'
M. Fernandez
22'
40'
61'
Pato Rodriguez / B. Oyola ↕
62'
C. A. Melgar / C. Aleman ↕
↕ L. Costa / T. Bottari
67'
72'
S. Echeverria
↕ M. Fernandez / G. Rios
74'
↕ A. Arce / R. Atencio
74'
74'
E. Vaca Moreno / M. Cauteruccio ↕
85'
E. Saavedra / Robson Matheus ↕
↕ J. I. Florentin Bobadilla / L. Bucca
90'
↕ F. Sartori / B. Dadin
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.92%
Independ. ←
33.1%
X
32.98%
Bolívar
we assigned to the actual result (Independ. Rivadavia) 33.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independ.
1.14
1.39
+0.25
Bolívar
0.94
0.39
-0.55
Independ. Rivadavia dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.39). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4-2-3-1
1 Nicolás Bolcato Nicolás Bolcato G 7.30
14 Luciano Gómez Luciano Gómez D 7.30
42 Sheyko Studer Sheyko Studer D 7.20
40 Iván Villalba Iván Villalba D 6.90
36 Ezequiel Bonifacio Ezequiel Bonifacio D 6.60
25 José Florentín José Florentín M 6.60
2 Leonard Costa Leonard Costa 67' M 6.90
22 S. Villa S. Villa M 7.50
43 F. Sartori F. Sartori M 6.60
10 M. Fernández M. Fernández 74' M 6.20
9 A. Arce A. Arce 74' F 6.30
Bench
13 Alejo Osella Alejo Osella D
20 Alessandro Riep Alessandro Riep M
27 Diego Crego Diego Crego M
11 Gonzalo Ríos Gonzalo Ríos 21' M 6.30
3 Juan Manuel Elordi Juan Manuel Elordi D
8 Leonel Bucca Leonel Bucca 5' M
19 R. Atencio R. Atencio 21' F 6.60
5 Tomas Bottari Tomas Bottari 28' M 6.60
7 Victorio Ramis Victorio Ramis F
Bolívar Bolívar 4-2-3-1
1
C. Lampe 1 ⚽ G 6.20
4
José Sagredo 72' D 5.90
5
S. Echeverria D 6.90
3
X. Arreaga D 7.00
2
D 7.00
14
Robson Matheus 85' M 7.20
23
Leonel Justiniano M 6.60
77
D. Romero M 6.60
10
C. Aleman 61' M 6.90
11
B. Oyola 61' M 6.30
9
M. Cauteruccio 74' F 6.50
Bench
80
C. A. Melgar 34' M 6.50
26
E. Saavedra 10' M 6.30
6
E. Vaca Moreno 21' M 7.00
19
J. Garcia M
7
J. Velasquez F
18
L. L. Chavez Cruz M
8
L. Paz D
17
Pato Rodriguez 34' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
S. Villa
S. Villa
M · Independ.
7.50
4 shots · 25 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
7.30
· 19 pass
Luciano Gómez
Luciano Gómez
D · Independ.
7.30
· 22 pass
Sheyko Studer
Sheyko Studer
D · Independ.
7.20
1 shots · 21 pass
Robson Matheus
M · Bolívar
7.20
1 shots · 37 pass
E. Vaca Moreno
M · Bolívar
7.00
· 14 pass
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nicolás Bolcato G 95 7.30 — — — 19 6% — — —
Luciano Gómez D 95 7.30 — — — 22 16% 4 — —
Sheyko Studer D 95 7.20 — — 1 21 17% — — —
Iván Villalba D 95 6.90 — — — 17 12% — — —
Ezequiel Bonifacio D 95 6.60 — — — 21 18% — — —
José Florentín M 90 6.60 — — 1 37 32% — — —
Leonard Costa M 67 6.90 — — — 24 21% — — —
S. Villa M 95 7.50 — — 4 25 21% — — —
F. Sartori M 90 6.60 — — 4 22 15% 1 — —
M. Fernández M 74 6.20 — — — 16 10% — 1 —
A. Arce F 74 6.30 — — 1 15 12% — — —
Gonzalo Ríos M 21 6.30 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Leonel Bucca M 5 — — — — — — — — —
R. Atencio F 21 6.60 — — — 7 7% — — —
Tomas Bottari M 28 6.60 — — — 10 10% 1 — —
Bolívar Bolívar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Lampe G 95 6.20 1 — — 57 48% — — —
José Sagredo D 72 5.90 — — — 48 42% 1 — 1
S. Echeverria D 95 6.90 — — — 64 57% 2 — —
X. Arreaga D 95 7.00 — — — 75 70% 2 — —
D 95 7.00 — — — 31 26% 3 — —
Robson Matheus M 85 7.20 — — 1 37 29% — — —
Leonel Justiniano M 95 6.60 — — 1 38 34% 1 — —
D. Romero M 95 6.60 — — 2 13 9% 1 — —
C. Aleman M 61 6.90 — — — 34 28% 1 — —
B. Oyola M 61 6.30 — — — 10 6% 1 — —
M. Cauteruccio F 74 6.50 — — 1 8 7% — — —
C. A. Melgar M 34 6.50 — — — 24 20% — — —
E. Saavedra M 10 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
E. Vaca Moreno M 21 7.00 — — — 14 14% 2 — —
Pato Rodriguez F 34 6.90 — — 1 13 11% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independ. Rivadavia vs Bolívar?
The final score was Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Bolívar.
What did the model predict before Independ. Rivadavia vs Bolívar?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Independ. Rivadavia win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Bolívar win.