Independ. Rivadavia - Fluminense
Copa Libertadores
August 18, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.34%
Win
Independ. Rivadavia
25.95%
Draw
29.72%
Win
Fluminense
2.24
1.61
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.84%)
1X2 Result
✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1
44%
X
26%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
56%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
64%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Independ. Rivadavia a 44% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Fluminense. Expected goals are 2.2 for Independ. Rivadavia and 1.6 for Fluminense (total 3.9), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.84% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Independ. Rivadavia have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fluminense.
Season Stats
5W
1D
0L
2W
2D
2L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.2
5.0
Shots OT
5.0
3.7
Corners
3.2
38%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
83%
67%
O 2.5
50%
83%
BTTS
67%
17%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
1D
0L
· at home
0W
2D
1L
· away
2.0
gls/g
0.3
0.7
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
67%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
0%
33%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Independ. Rivadavia
Attack
43
Defence
77
Form
63
Fluminense
Attack
44
Defence
78
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
The model gives Independ. Rivadavia a 44% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 29% for an Fluminense win.
How many goals are expected in Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Expected goals: Independ. Rivadavia 2.2, Fluminense 1.6 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.84%.