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Copa Libertadores · Round of 16 August 19, 2026 00:00
Independ. Rivadavia
#1 · 16 pts
1 – 1
Final score
pens 4–5
Fluminense
#2 · 8 pts
A. Arce 90'+7 (pen.)
M. Fernandez 120'+1 (pen.)
I. Villalba 120'+2 (pen.)
M. Salas 120'+4 (pen.)
A. Arce 120'+5 (pen.)
75' (ast. Hercules) K. Serna
(pen.) 120'+1 Thiago Silva
(pen.) 120'+3 Rene
(pen.) 120'+4 Hercules
(pen.) 120'+5 Martinelli
(pen.) 120'+6 Guga
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Fluminense 30%). The final result was Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense. In 3 previous meetings, Independ. Rivadavia have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Fluminense.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
3
0
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
0
31%
Possession
69%
2
Corners
3
1
Tackles
3
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
Hercules
S. Studer
25'
38'
A. Canobbio
L. Bucca
53'
57'
A. Canobbio
57'
A. Canobbio
60'
Hulk
60'
Y. Soteldo
A. Arce
64'
66'
L. Acosta / PH Ganso ↕
66'
K. Serna / Hulk ↕
75'
ast. Hercules · K. Serna⚽
82'
J. Millan / Y. Soteldo ↕
↕ L. Bucca / L. Sabato
82'
↕ T. Bottari / R. Atencio
82'
↕ E. Bonifacio / A. Vigo
87'
90'+4
R. Castillo
⚽A. Arce (pen.)
90'+7
↕ J. M. Elordi / I. Villalba
90'+8
120'+1
(pen.) Thiago Silva⚽
⚽M. Fernandez (pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(missed pen.) L. Acosta⚽
⚽I. Villalba (pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(pen.) Rene⚽
⚽J. I. Florentin Bobadilla (missed pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.) Hercules⚽
⚽M. Salas (pen.)
120'+4
120'+5
(pen.) Martinelli⚽
⚽A. Arce (pen.)
120'+5
120'+6
(pen.) Guga⚽
⚽R. Atencio (missed pen.)
120'+6
Pre-match prediction
40.35%
Independ.
29.19%
X ←
30.45%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independ.
1.44
—
—
Fluminense
1.10
—
—
Lineups
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4-4-2
1 Nicolás Bolcato Nicolás Bolcato 41' G 6.84
3 J. Elordi J. Elordi 41' D 6.40
42 Sheyko Studer Sheyko Studer 41' D 6.25
2 L. Costa L. Costa 41' D 6.52
36 E. Bonifacio E. Bonifacio D
8 L. Bucca L. Bucca M
5 T. Bottari T. Bottari M
25 J. Florentín J. Florentín 41' M 6.63
10 M. Fernández M. Fernández 1 ⚽ M
17 M. Salas M. Salas 1 ⚽ 41' F 6.91
9 A. Arce A. Arce 2 ⚽ 41' F 6.35
Bench
13 A. Osella A. Osella D
28 A. Vigo A. Vigo D 0.00
21 Emmanuel Gómez Emmanuel Gómez G 0.00
43 F. Sartori F. Sartori F 0.00
40 I. Villalba I. Villalba 1 ⚽ D 0.00
32 K. Vázquez K. Vázquez M 0.00
45 L. Sabato L. Sabato F 0.00
14 Luciano Gómez Luciano Gómez D 0.00
23 Luis Díaz Luis Díaz F 0.00
19 R. Atencio R. Atencio F 0.00
34 S. Moreyra S. Moreyra M 0.00
7 V. Ramis V. Ramis F 0.00
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1 Fábio Fábio 41' G 6.80
6 Renê Renê 1 ⚽ 41' D 6.87
3 Thiago Silva Thiago Silva 1 ⚽ 41' D 6.91
4 Ignacio Ignacio 41' D 6.61
23 Guga Guga 1 ⚽ 41' D 6.18
8 Martinelli Martinelli 1 ⚽ 41' M 7.06
35 Hércules Hércules 1 ⚽ 1 👟 41' M 6.41
30 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo 41' M 6.55
10 PH Ganso PH Ganso 41' M 6.64
17 A. Canobbio A. Canobbio 41' M 6.46
7 Hulk Hulk 41' F 6.75
Bench
14 G. Cano G. Cano F 0.00
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana D 0.00
44 Jemmes Jemmes D 0.00
29 J. Millán J. Millán D 0.00
46 Julio Fidelis Julio Fidelis D 0.00
90 K. Serna K. Serna 1 ⚽ F 0.00
32 L. Acosta L. Acosta M 0.00
27 Marcelo Marcelo G 0.00
16 Nonato Nonato M 0.00
94 Otávio Otávio M 0.00
19 R. Castillo R. Castillo F 0.00
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier D 0.00
Best on the pitch
Martinelli
Martinelli
M · Fluminense
7.06
1 ⚽
· 32 pass
Thiago Silva
Thiago Silva
D · Fluminense
6.91
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
M. Salas
M. Salas
F · Independ.
6.91
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Renê
Renê
D · Fluminense
6.87
1 ⚽
· 36 pass
Nicolás Bolcato
Nicolás Bolcato
G · Independ.
6.84
· 10 pass
Fábio
Fábio
G · Fluminense
6.80
· 5 pass
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nicolás Bolcato G 41 6.84 — — 0 10 3% 0 — —
J. Elordi D 41 6.40 — — 0 9 6% 0 — —
Sheyko Studer D 41 6.25 — — 0 12 6% 1 1 —
L. Costa D 41 6.52 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
E. Bonifacio D — — — — — — — — — —
L. Bucca M — — — — — — — — — —
T. Bottari M — — — — — — — — — —
J. Florentín M 41 6.63 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
M. Fernández M — — 1 — — — — — — —
M. Salas F 41 6.91 1 — 1 4 3% 0 — —
A. Arce F 41 6.35 2 — 2 8 5% 0 — —
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fábio G 41 6.80 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Renê D 41 6.87 1 — 0 36 32% 1 — —
Thiago Silva D 41 6.91 1 — 1 37 34% 0 — —
Ignacio D 41 6.61 — — 0 19 16% 0 — —
Guga D 41 6.18 1 — 0 31 25% 1 — —
Martinelli M 41 7.06 1 — 0 32 30% 0 — —
Hércules M 41 6.41 1 1 0 24 20% 0 1 —
Y. Soteldo M 41 6.55 — — 0 15 13% 0 — —
PH Ganso M 41 6.64 — — 1 29 23% 0 — —
A. Canobbio M 41 6.46 — — 0 10 9% 1 1 —
Hulk F 41 6.75 — — 1 9 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
The final score was Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Independ. Rivadavia win, 29% to a draw, and 30% to an Fluminense win.