Liga Profesional
· Apertura - 16
April 26, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Independ. Rivadavia
S. Studer
(ast. L. Costa)
18'
F. Sartori
(ast. S. Villa)
50'
A. Arce
70'
L. Costa
(ast. R. Atencio)
79'
L. Bucca
(ast. L. Gomez)
83'
1'
(ast. I. Sabatini)
B. Armoa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Gimnasia M. 16%). The final result was Independ. Rivadavia 5–1 Gimnasia M..
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
10
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
5
59%
Possession
41%
11
Corners
2
16
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
6
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
1'
ast. I. Sabatini ·
B. Armoa⚽
11'
A. Modica
S. Studer
11'
⚽S. Studer
· ast. L. Costa
18'
24'
F. Antonini
26'
E. Fernandez
⚽F. Sartori
· ast. S. Villa
50'
55'
B. Ferreyra
/
E. Fernandez
55'
N. Barboza
/
F. Antonini
58'
B. Armoa
61'
F. Saavedra
M. Fernandez
61'
64'
L. Paredes
/
I. Cortez
64'
M. Recalde
/
B. Armoa
⚽A. Arce
70'
E. Bonifacio
/ J. M. Elordi
72'
M. Fernandez
/ R. Atencio
72'
A. Arce
/ G. Rios
77'
⚽L. Costa
· ast. R. Atencio
79'
T. Bottari
/ L. Bucca
82'
F. Sartori
/ V. Ramis
82'
⚽L. Bucca
· ast. L. Gomez
83'
84'
U. Sanchez
/
A. Modica
87'
N. Barboza
89'
U. Sanchez
Pre-match prediction
58.8%
Independ. ←
24.8%
X
16.4%
Gimnasia
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independ. Rivadavia)
58.8%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.08
—
—
0.93
—
—
Lineups
30
Nicolás Bolcato
G
Nicolás Bolcato
G
14
Luciano Gómez
1 👟
D
Luciano Gómez
1 👟
D
42
Sheyko Studer
1 ⚽
D
Sheyko Studer
1 ⚽
D
2
L. Costa
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
L. Costa
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
36
E. Bonifacio
72'
D
E. Bonifacio
72'
D
25
J. Florentín
M
J. Florentín
M
5
T. Bottari
82'
M
T. Bottari
82'
M
22
S. Villa
1 👟
M
S. Villa
1 👟
M
43
F. Sartori
1 ⚽
82'
M
F. Sartori
1 ⚽
82'
M
10
M. Fernández
72'
M
M. Fernández
72'
M
9
A. Arce
1 ⚽
77'
F
A. Arce
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
20
Alessandro Riep
M
Alessandro Riep
M
13
A. Osella
D
A. Osella
D
27
D. Crego
M
D. Crego
M
11
G. Ríos
13'
M
G. Ríos
13'
M
40
I. Villalba
D
I. Villalba
D
3
J. Elordi
18'
D
J. Elordi
18'
D
8
L. Bucca
1 ⚽
8'
M
L. Bucca
1 ⚽
8'
M
19
R. Atencio
1 👟
18'
F
R. Atencio
1 👟
18'
F
34
S. Moreyra
M
S. Moreyra
M
7
V. Ramis
8'
F
V. Ramis
8'
F
23
C. Rigamonti
G
C. Rigamonti
G
24
F. Saavedra
61'
D
F. Saavedra
61'
D
4
E. Muñoz
D
E. Muñoz
D
2
D
36
I. Cortez
64'
D
I. Cortez
64'
D
26
F. Lencioni
M
F. Lencioni
M
21
F. Antonini
55'
M
F. Antonini
55'
M
30
E. Fernández
55'
M
E. Fernández
55'
M
27
Blas Armoa
1 ⚽
64'
F
Blas Armoa
1 ⚽
64'
F
29
A. Módica
84'
F
A. Módica
84'
F
17
1 👟
F
Bench
7
L. Cingolani
F
L. Cingolani
F
3
M. Recalde
26'
M
M. Recalde
26'
M
5
N. Barboza
35'
M
N. Barboza
35'
M
15
U. Sánchez
6'
M
U. Sánchez
6'
M
35
V. Simoni
F
V. Simoni
F
Best on the pitch
L. Costa
D · Independ.
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
F. Sartori
M · Independ.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
S. Villa
M · Independ.
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 28 pass
Blas Armoa
F · Gimnasia
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Luciano Gómez
D · Independ.
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 28 pass
Sheyko Studer
D · Independ.
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Bolcato | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Gómez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Sheyko Studer | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Costa | D | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| E. Bonifacio | D | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Florentín | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Bottari | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Villa | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Sartori | M | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Arce | F | 77 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Ríos | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Elordi | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bucca | M | 8 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Atencio | F | 18 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Ramis | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Gimnasia M. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rigamonti | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Saavedra | D | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | 1 |
| E. Muñoz | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| I. Cortez | D | 64 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Lencioni | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Antonini | M | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 55 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Blas Armoa | F | 64 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Módica | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| M. Recalde | M | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| N. Barboza | M | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| U. Sánchez | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
The final score was Independ. Rivadavia 5–1 Gimnasia M..
What did the model predict before Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia M.?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Independ. Rivadavia win, 24% to a draw, and 16% to an Gimnasia M. win.