Skip to main content
← Liga Profesional
Liga Profesional · Clausura - 13 October 17, 2026 22:30 Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza
Independ. Rivadavia
#1 · 34 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Tigre
#10 · 20 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Independ. Rivadavia, result Draw
Matías Fernández (ast. Juan Elordi) 20'
Jose Ignacio Florentin 52'
26' (ast. Jabes Saralegui) Alan Barrionuevo
90'+2 (ast. Federico Alvarez) Manuel Fernández
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independ. Rivadavia a 56% win probability (draw 18%, Tigre 25%). The final result was Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre. In 2 previous meetings, Independ. Rivadavia have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tigre.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
4
1.10
Actual xG
1.13
2
Saves
0
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
7
23
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Matías Fernández · ast. Juan Elordi
20'
26'
ast. Jabes Saralegui · Alan Barrionuevo⚽
27'
Ignacio Peluffo
45'
Valentín Moreno / Ignacio Peluffo ↕
⚽Jose Ignacio Florentin
52'
Iván Villalba
59'
62'
Manuel Fernández / Santiago Gonzalez ↕
62'
Mauro Méndez / Ignacio Russo ↕
62'
Manuel Fernández
↕ Matías Fernández / Leonel Bucca
67'
↕ Luis Sequeira / Tomas Bottari
68'
68'
Joaquín Laso
↕ Fabrizio Sartori Prieto / Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta
74'
↕ Matías Reali / Victorio Ramis
74'
74'
Juan Villalba / Joaquín Laso ↕
79'
Ian Subiabre / Bruno Javier Leyes Sosa ↕
↕ Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta / Kevin Vázquez
81'
Juan Elordi
87'
90'+2
ast. Federico Alvarez · Manuel Fernández⚽
Pre-match prediction
56.47%
Independ.
18.29%
X ←
25.25%
Tigre
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independ.
2.82
1.10
-1.72
Tigre
1.95
1.13
-0.82
xG dominance was balanced (1.10 – 1.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
Lineups
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 3-1-4-2
30 Nicolás Bolcato Nicolás Bolcato G 6.64
40 I. Villalba I. Villalba D 5.88
42 S. Studer S. Studer D 5.96
2 L. Costa L. Costa D 6.12
25 J. Florentín J. Florentín 1 ⚽ M 7.37
3 J. Elordi J. Elordi 1 👟 M 6.53
77 L. Sequeira L. Sequeira 68' M 5.89
80 M. Reali M. Reali 74' M 6.38
14 L. Gómez L. Gómez M 5.73
10 M. Fernández M. Fernández 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.51
43 F. Sartori F. Sartori 74' F 6.28
Bench
13 A. Osella A. Osella D 0.00
28 A. Vigo A. Vigo D 0.00
27 D. Crego D. Crego M 0.00
21 Emmanuel Gómez Emmanuel Gómez G 0.00
11 G. Ríos G. Ríos M 0.00
32 K. Vázquez K. Vázquez 9' M 5.77
8 L. Bucca L. Bucca 23' M 6.16
23 L. Díaz L. Díaz 7' F 6.50
19 R. Atencio R. Atencio F 0.00
34 S. Moreyra S. Moreyra M 0.00
5 T. Bottari T. Bottari 22' M 6.17
7 V. Ramis V. Ramis 16' F 6.66
Tigre Tigre 4-4-2
12 F. Zenobio F. Zenobio G 6.10
24 F. Álvarez F. Álvarez 1 👟 D 6.72
20 A. Barrionuevo A. Barrionuevo 1 ⚽ D 7.38
2 J. Laso J. Laso 74' D 6.26
8 M. Garay M. Garay D 6.55
10 J. Saralegui J. Saralegui 1 👟 M 6.90
5 B. Leyes B. Leyes 79' M 6.42
27 S. González S. González 62' M 6.35
50 I. Peluffo I. Peluffo 45' M 6.05
29 I. Russo I. Russo 62' F 6.43
30 J. Dómina J. Dómina F 6.03
Bench
19 A. Oviedo A. Oviedo F 0.00
23 G. Requena G. Requena D 0.00
17 G. Soto G. Soto D 0.00
25 Ian Martin Subiabre Ian Martin Subiabre 11' F 6.83
32 J. Villalba J. Villalba 16' D 6.24
26 L. Morales L. Morales G 0.00
18 M. Fernández M. Fernández 1 ⚽ 28' F 8.01
33 M. Méndez M. Méndez 28' F 6.50
16 N. Dubersarsky N. Dubersarsky M 0.00
28 P. Martínez P. Martínez M 0.00
11 T. Serrago T. Serrago M 0.00
4 V. Moreno V. Moreno 45' D 6.15
Best on the pitch
M. Fernández
M. Fernández
F · Tigre
8.01
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
M. Fernández
M. Fernández
F · Independ.
7.51
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
A. Barrionuevo
A. Barrionuevo
D · Tigre
7.38
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
J. Florentín
J. Florentín
M · Independ.
7.37
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
J. Saralegui
J. Saralegui
M · Tigre
6.90
1 👟
1 shots · 58 pass
Ian Martin Subiabre
Ian Martin Subiabre
F · Tigre
6.83
· 3 pass
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nicolás Bolcato G 90 6.64 — — 0 27 7% 0 — —
I. Villalba D 90 5.88 — — 0 23 15% 3 1 —
S. Studer D 90 5.96 — — 0 23 16% 0 — —
L. Costa D 90 6.12 — — 0 20 11% 3 — —
J. Florentín M 90 7.37 1 — 2 34 24% 6 — —
J. Elordi M 90 6.53 — 1 1 35 28% 2 1 —
L. Sequeira M 68 5.89 — — 0 39 33% 0 — —
M. Reali M 74 6.38 — — 1 15 14% 2 — —
L. Gómez M 90 5.73 — — 1 34 18% 1 — —
M. Fernández F 67 7.51 1 — 3 22 17% 1 — —
F. Sartori F 74 6.28 — — 2 13 11% 0 — —
K. Vázquez M 9 5.77 — — 1 3 3% 0 — —
L. Bucca M 23 6.16 — — 0 3 2% 4 — —
L. Díaz F 7 6.50 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
T. Bottari M 22 6.17 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
V. Ramis F 16 6.66 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
Tigre Tigre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Zenobio G 90 6.10 — — 0 26 17% 0 — —
F. Álvarez D 90 6.72 — 1 2 45 34% 0 — —
A. Barrionuevo D 90 7.38 1 — 1 42 33% 0 — —
J. Laso D 74 6.26 — — 0 31 22% 4 1 —
M. Garay D 90 6.55 — — 2 37 34% 2 — —
J. Saralegui M 90 6.90 — 1 1 58 46% 1 — —
B. Leyes M 79 6.42 — — 0 54 49% 1 — —
S. González M 62 6.35 — — 0 36 33% 1 — —
I. Peluffo M 45 6.05 — — 0 6 6% 3 1 —
I. Russo F 62 6.43 — — 1 12 6% 1 — —
J. Dómina F 90 6.03 — — 1 13 8% 1 — —
Ian Martin Subiabre F 11 6.83 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
J. Villalba D 16 6.24 — — 0 15 13% 1 — —
M. Fernández F 28 8.01 1 — 2 4 4% 0 1 —
M. Méndez F 28 6.50 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
V. Moreno D 45 6.15 — — 1 20 16% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?
The final score was Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre.
What did the model predict before Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Independ. Rivadavia win, 18% to a draw, and 25% to an Tigre win.