Brasileirão Série D
· Regular Season - 7
May 17, 2026 23:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Araguaína a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Independência 28%). The final result was Independência 1–0 Araguaína. In 1 previous meetings, Independência have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Araguaína.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
28.86%
Independência ←
29.1%
X
42.04%
Araguaína
we assigned to the actual result (Independência)
28.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
—
—
1.70
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independência vs Araguaína?
The final score was Independência 1–0 Araguaína.
What did the model predict before Independência vs Araguaína?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Independência win, 29% to a draw, and 42% to an Araguaína win.