Copa Libertadores
· Round of 16
August 26, 2026 02:30
D. A. Romero Padilla
59'
C. Gonzalez
(ast. D. A. Romero Padilla)
70'
M. Perello
(ast. R. Briones)
90'+5
84'
J. Hernandez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 22%). The final result was Independiente del Valle 3–1 Deportes Tolima. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente del Valle have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.88
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
2
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
58'
A. Parra Osorio
⚽D. A. Romero Padilla
59'
62'
E. Lopez
/
S. Aguayo
62'
K. Florez
/
J. Mosquera
65'
H. E. Martinez Yepez
H. Quintana
/ R. Briones
67'
⚽C. Gonzalez
· ast. D. A. Romero Padilla
70'
J. Sornoza
74'
76'
J. Angulo
/
H. E. Martinez Yepez
76'
L. Sanchez
/
A. Parra Osorio
E. Pata
/ J. Angulo
76'
80'
S. Guzman
C. Gonzalez
/ D. Reasco
82'
J. Sornoza
/ J. Mendez
82'
A. Rodriguez
/ M. Perello
82'
84'
J. Hernandez⚽
⚽M. Perello
· ast. R. Briones
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
53.2%
Independiente ←
24.37%
X
22.43%
Deportes
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente del Valle)
53.2%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.33
1.88
-1.45
1.09
0.49
-0.6
Independiente del Valle dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.49).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Quintana
G
A. Quintana
G
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
5
R. Schunke
D
R. Schunke
D
14
M. Carabajal
D
M. Carabajal
D
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
6
J. Alcívar
M
J. Alcívar
M
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
76'
M
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
76'
M
10
J. Sornoza
82'
M
J. Sornoza
82'
M
28
H. Quintana
67'
M
H. Quintana
67'
M
17
A. Rodríguez
82'
M
A. Rodríguez
82'
M
9
C. González
1 ⚽
82'
F
C. González
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
33
Andy René Velasco García
D
Andy René Velasco García
D
99
D. Reasco
13'
F
D. Reasco
13'
F
15
G. Cortéz
D
G. Cortéz
D
50
J. Angulo
19'
F
J. Angulo
19'
F
4
J. Espinoza
D
J. Espinoza
D
32
J. Méndez
13'
M
J. Méndez
13'
M
23
J. Viacava
D
J. Viacava
D
70
M. Peralta
G
M. Peralta
G
11
M. Perelló
1 ⚽
13'
F
M. Perelló
1 ⚽
13'
F
16
R. Briones
1 👟
28'
M
R. Briones
1 👟
28'
M
8
Y. Ochoa
M
Y. Ochoa
M
52
Y. Vásquez
F
Y. Vásquez
F
1
Neto Volpi
G
Neto Volpi
G
20
J. Hernández
1 ⚽
D
J. Hernández
1 ⚽
D
2
A. Angulo
D
A. Angulo
D
71
Yordan Osorio
D
Yordan Osorio
D
17
C. Arrieta
D
C. Arrieta
D
24
A. Parra
76'
M
A. Parra
76'
M
14
H. Martínez
76'
M
H. Martínez
76'
M
32
S. Guzmán
M
S. Guzmán
M
33
J. Mosquera
62'
M
J. Mosquera
62'
M
15
S. Aguayo
62'
F
S. Aguayo
62'
F
7
J. Cabezas
F
J. Cabezas
F
Bench
4
D. Pedrozo
D
D. Pedrozo
D
28
E. López
33'
F
E. López
33'
F
8
E. Valencia
F
E. Valencia
F
23
Gali Balanta
G
Gali Balanta
G
3
J. Angulo
19'
D
J. Angulo
19'
D
11
J. Valencia
F
J. Valencia
F
18
K. Flórez
33'
F
K. Flórez
33'
F
10
L. Sánchez
19'
M
L. Sánchez
19'
M
70
M. Ortega
G
M. Ortega
G
30
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
D
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
D
16
V. Reyes
M
V. Reyes
M
Best on the pitch
C. González
F · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D · Independiente
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 39 pass
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
M · Independiente
7.60
3 shots
· 25 pass
J. Hernández
D · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
R. Schunke
D · Independiente
7.20
· 53 pass
M. Carabajal
D · Independiente
7.20
2 shots
· 53 pass
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Quintana | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Loor | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Schunke | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Carabajal | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla | D | 95 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Alcívar | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez | M | 76 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| C. González | F | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Reasco | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Angulo | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Méndez | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Perelló | F | 13 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Briones | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Volpi | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Hernández | D | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Yordan Osorio | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 59% | — | — | — |
| C. Arrieta | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | — | — | — |
| A. Parra | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 4 | 1 | — |
| H. Martínez | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Mosquera | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Aguayo | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Cabezas | F | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| E. López | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Angulo | D | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Flórez | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Sánchez | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Independiente del Valle 3–1 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Independiente del Valle win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Deportes Tolima win.