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Copa Libertadores · Round of 16 August 26, 2026 02:30
Independiente del Valle
#1 · 13 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Deportes Tolima
#2 · 8 pts
D. A. Romero Padilla 59'
C. Gonzalez (ast. D. A. Romero Padilla) 70'
M. Perello (ast. R. Briones) 90'+5
84' J. Hernandez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 22%). The final result was Independiente del Valle 3–1 Deportes Tolima. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente del Valle have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Deportes Tolima.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.88
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
2
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
58'
A. Parra Osorio
⚽D. A. Romero Padilla
59'
62'
E. Lopez / S. Aguayo ↕
62'
K. Florez / J. Mosquera ↕
65'
H. E. Martinez Yepez
↕ H. Quintana / R. Briones
67'
⚽C. Gonzalez · ast. D. A. Romero Padilla
70'
J. Sornoza
74'
76'
J. Angulo / H. E. Martinez Yepez ↕
76'
L. Sanchez / A. Parra Osorio ↕
↕ E. Pata / J. Angulo
76'
80'
S. Guzman
↕ C. Gonzalez / D. Reasco
82'
↕ J. Sornoza / J. Mendez
82'
↕ A. Rodriguez / M. Perello
82'
84'
J. Hernandez⚽
⚽M. Perello · ast. R. Briones
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
53.2%
Independiente ←
24.37%
X
22.43%
Deportes
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente del Valle) 53.2% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
3.33
1.88
-1.45
Deportes
1.09
0.49
-0.6
Independiente del Valle dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
1 A. Quintana A. Quintana G 6.20
19 L. Loor L. Loor D 6.70
5 R. Schunke R. Schunke D 7.20
14 M. Carabajal M. Carabajal D 7.20
13 Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 7.70
6 J. Alcívar J. Alcívar M 6.30
31 Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez 76' M 7.60
10 J. Sornoza J. Sornoza 82' M 7.20
28 H. Quintana H. Quintana 67' M 6.90
17 A. Rodríguez A. Rodríguez 82' M 7.20
9 C. González C. González 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.90
Bench
33 Andy René Velasco García Andy René Velasco García D
99 D. Reasco D. Reasco 13' F 6.30
15 G. Cortéz G. Cortéz D
50 J. Angulo J. Angulo 19' F 6.30
4 J. Espinoza J. Espinoza D
32 J. Méndez J. Méndez 13' M 6.60
23 J. Viacava J. Viacava D
70 M. Peralta M. Peralta G
11 M. Perelló M. Perelló 1 ⚽ 13' F 6.90
16 R. Briones R. Briones 1 👟 28' M 6.30
8 Y. Ochoa Y. Ochoa M
52 Y. Vásquez Y. Vásquez F
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4-4-2
1 Neto Volpi Neto Volpi G 7.20
20 Junior Hernández Junior Hernández 1 ⚽ D 7.30
2 A. Angulo A. Angulo D 6.50
71 Yordan Osorio Yordan Osorio D 6.30
17 C. Arrieta C. Arrieta D 5.90
24 Adrián Parra Adrián Parra 76' M 6.20
14 Homer Martinez Homer Martinez 76' M 6.70
32 S. Guzmán S. Guzmán M 6.20
33 Jherson Mosquera Jherson Mosquera 62' M 6.30
15 S. Aguayo S. Aguayo 62' F 6.20
7 Jorge Hurtado Jorge Hurtado F 5.90
Bench
4 D. Pedrozo D. Pedrozo D
28 Edwar López Edwar López 33' F 6.70
8 Ever Valencia Ever Valencia F
23 G. Balanta G. Balanta G
11 Jader Valencia Jader Valencia F
3 Jan Ángulo Jan Ángulo 19' D 6.60
18 K. Flórez K. Flórez 33' F 6.90
10 Luis Sánchez Luis Sánchez 19' M 6.70
70 Miguel Ortega Miguel Ortega G
30 Shean Barbosa Shean Barbosa D
16 V. Reyes V. Reyes M
Best on the pitch
C. González
C. González
F · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 20 pass
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D · Independiente
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 39 pass
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
M · Independiente
7.60
3 shots · 25 pass
Junior Hernández
Junior Hernández
D · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
R. Schunke
R. Schunke
D · Independiente
7.20
· 53 pass
M. Carabajal
M. Carabajal
D · Independiente
7.20
2 shots · 53 pass
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Quintana G 95 6.20 — — — 27 24% — — —
L. Loor D 95 6.70 — — 1 35 27% 1 — —
R. Schunke D 95 7.20 — — — 53 48% 1 — —
M. Carabajal D 95 7.20 — — 2 53 50% 2 — —
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla D 95 7.70 1 1 1 39 35% 1 — —
J. Alcívar M 95 6.30 — — 1 33 28% 1 — —
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez M 76 7.60 — — 3 25 22% — — —
J. Sornoza M 82 7.20 — — — 28 26% — 1 —
H. Quintana M 67 6.90 — — 1 18 15% — — —
A. Rodríguez M 82 7.20 — — 2 30 23% 1 — —
C. González F 82 7.90 1 — 4 20 16% 1 — —
D. Reasco F 13 6.30 — — 1 2 1% — — —
J. Angulo F 19 6.30 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
J. Méndez M 13 6.60 — — — 10 9% — — —
M. Perelló F 13 6.90 1 — — 3 2% — — —
R. Briones M 28 6.30 — 1 1 5 4% — — —
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Neto Volpi G 95 7.20 — — — 27 20% — — —
Junior Hernández D 95 7.30 1 — 2 23 17% 1 — —
A. Angulo D 95 6.50 — — — 44 41% 1 — —
Yordan Osorio D 95 6.30 — — 1 67 59% — — —
C. Arrieta D 95 5.90 — — — 54 44% — — —
Adrián Parra M 76 6.20 — — — 28 22% 4 1 —
Homer Martinez M 76 6.70 — — 1 40 35% 1 1 —
S. Guzmán M 95 6.20 — — — 68 59% 1 1 —
Jherson Mosquera M 62 6.30 — — — 19 14% — — —
S. Aguayo F 62 6.20 — — — 20 12% — — —
Jorge Hurtado F 95 5.90 — — 1 12 10% — — —
Edwar López F 33 6.70 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
Jan Ángulo D 19 6.60 — — — 11 8% 2 — —
K. Flórez F 33 6.90 — — 2 17 13% — — —
Luis Sánchez M 19 6.70 — — — 10 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Independiente del Valle 3–1 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Independiente del Valle win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Deportes Tolima win.