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← Copa Libertadores

Independiente del Valle - Flamengo

Copa Libertadores September 11, 2026 02:30
Independiente del Valle
#1 · 13 pts
vs
Flamengo
#1 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.72%
Win
Independiente del Valle
21.21%
Draw
34.07%
Win
Flamengo
1.86
Expected xG
1.66

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.69%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 21%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 55%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 68%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Independiente del Valle a 44% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Flamengo. Expected goals are 1.9 for Independiente del Valle and 1.7 for Flamengo (total 3.5), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.69% probability.

Season Stats

Independiente del Valle
6W 1D 1L
Flamengo
5W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.0
0.9
Conceded
0.6
6.5
Shots OT
8.1
6.4
Corners
4.6
54%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
63%
O 1.5
86%
50%
O 2.5
43%
50%
BTTS
57%
38%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
71%
BTTS
Independiente del Valle
4W 0D 0L · at home
Flamengo
1W 2D 0L · away
2.8
gls/g
1.3
0.8
Conceded
0.7
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
0%
75%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
67%
25%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Independiente del Valle Flamengo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 4.9% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.5% 9.1% 7.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
W Deportes Tolima 3–1
W Deportes Tolima 0–1
W Rosario Central 1–0
W Libertad Asuncion 4–1
L UCV 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Flamengo Flamengo
W Cruzeiro 2–1
D Cruzeiro 1–1
W Cusco 3–0
W Estudiantes L.P. 1–0
D Estudiantes L.P. 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
Attack
54
Defence
61
Form
69
Flamengo Flamengo
Attack
51
Defence
80
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
The model gives Independiente del Valle a 44% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 34% for an Flamengo win.
How many goals are expected in Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
Expected goals: Independiente del Valle 1.9, Flamengo 1.7 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.69%.