Copa Libertadores
· Quarter-finals
September 11, 2026 02:30
61'
(ast. Samuel Lino)
Bruno Henrique
75'
(ast. Emerson Royal)
Léo Pereira
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 38% win probability (draw 24%, Flamengo 37%). The final result was Independiente del Valle 0–2 Flamengo. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente del Valle have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Flamengo.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
2
0
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
10
Corners
3
17
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Carlos González
/ Djorkaeff Reascos
45'
50'
Erick Pulgar
Mateo Carabajal
57'
61'
ast. Samuel Lino ·
Bruno Henrique⚽
72'
Lucas Paquetá
/
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
72'
Gonzalo Plata
/
Jorge Carrascal
Junior Sornoza
/ Ronald Briones
75'
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
/ Matias Mijail Perello
75'
75'
ast. Emerson Royal ·
Léo Pereira⚽
Aron Rodríguez
/ Edwin Quintero
85'
Hugo Quintana
/ Youri Ochoa
85'
85'
Pedro
/
Bruno Henrique
86'
Guillermo Varela
/
Ayrton Lucas
Edwin Quintero
90'+2
90'
Luiz Araújo
/
Samuel Lino
Pre-match prediction
38.74%
Independiente
24.26%
X
37.0%
Flamengo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
37.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
—
—
1.59
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Quintana
G
A. Quintana
G
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
5
R. Schunke
D
R. Schunke
D
14
M. Carabajal
D
M. Carabajal
D
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
10
J. Sornoza
75'
M
J. Sornoza
75'
M
6
J. Alcívar
M
J. Alcívar
M
28
H. Quintana
85'
M
H. Quintana
85'
M
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
75'
F
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
75'
F
9
C. González
45'
F
C. González
45'
F
17
A. Rodríguez
85'
F
A. Rodríguez
85'
F
Bench
33
Andy René Velasco García
D
Andy René Velasco García
D
99
D. Reasco
45'
F
D. Reasco
45'
F
56
E. Quintero
5'
M
E. Quintero
5'
M
15
G. Cortéz
D
G. Cortéz
D
4
J. Espinoza
D
J. Espinoza
D
32
J. Méndez
M
J. Méndez
M
70
M. Peralta
G
M. Peralta
G
11
M. Perelló
15'
F
M. Perelló
15'
F
16
R. Briones
15'
M
R. Briones
15'
M
8
Y. Ochoa
5'
M
Y. Ochoa
5'
M
52
Y. Vásquez
F
Y. Vásquez
F
1
Agustín Rossi
G
Agustín Rossi
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
86'
D
Ayrton Lucas
86'
D
4
Léo Pereira
1 ⚽
D
Léo Pereira
1 ⚽
D
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
22
Emerson Royal
1 👟
D
Emerson Royal
1 👟
D
21
Jorginho
M
Jorginho
M
5
Erick Pulgar
M
Erick Pulgar
M
16
Samuel Lino
1 👟
89'
M
Samuel Lino
1 👟
89'
M
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
72'
M
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
72'
M
15
J. Carrascal
72'
M
J. Carrascal
72'
M
27
Bruno Henrique
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bruno Henrique
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
14
A. Valencia
F
A. Valencia
F
13
Danilo
D
Danilo
D
19
Gonzalo Plata
18'
F
Gonzalo Plata
18'
F
2
Guillermo Varela
4'
D
Guillermo Varela
4'
D
30
Joaquín Freitas
F
Joaquín Freitas
F
20
Lucas Paquetá
18'
M
Lucas Paquetá
18'
M
7
Luiz Araújo
1'
F
Luiz Araújo
1'
F
18
N. de la Cruz
M
N. de la Cruz
M
9
Pedro Guilherme
5'
F
Pedro Guilherme
5'
F
8
Saúl
M
Saúl
M
44
Vitão
D
Vitão
D
Best on the pitch
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.82
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Bruno Henrique
F · Flamengo
7.74
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Agustín Rossi
G · Flamengo
7.31
· 26 pass
Samuel Lino
M · Flamengo
7.27
1 👟
· 30 pass
Léo Ortiz
D · Flamengo
7.06
1 shots
· 36 pass
L. Loor
D · Independiente
7.01
1 shots
· 58 pass
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Quintana | G | 90 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Loor | D | 90 | 7.01 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 51% | 6 | — | — |
| R. Schunke | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 87 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Carabajal | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 2 | 92 | 84% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | M | 75 | 6.74 | — | — | 4 | 45 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Alcívar | M | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 85 | 5.97 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez | F | 75 | 6.10 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| C. González | F | 45 | 6.45 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | F | 85 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Reasco | F | 45 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Quintero | M | 5 | 5.75 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Perelló | F | 15 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Briones | M | 15 | 5.96 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Ochoa | M | 5 | 5.69 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | G | 90 | 7.31 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 86 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 90 | 7.82 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 90 | 6.96 | — | 1 | 0 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 45% | 0 | — | — |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 89 | 7.27 | — | 1 | 0 | 30 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta | M | 72 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 72 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 85 | 7.74 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Plata | F | 18 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 4 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 18 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | F | 1 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Pedro Guilherme | F | 5 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
The final score was Independiente del Valle 0–2 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Independiente del Valle win, 24% to a draw, and 37% to an Flamengo win.