✓Model correct — prediction Independiente del Valle
Matías Perello
(ast. Djorkaeff Reasco)
45'+1
Djorkaeff Reasco
48'
28'
(ast. Segundo Portocarrero)
Santiago Arrieta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 59% win probability (draw 24%, Leones del Norte 16%). The final result was Independiente del Valle 2–1 Leones del Norte. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente del Valle have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Leones del Norte.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
5
3
Saves
6
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
5
10
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
Ariel Aguas
28'
ast. Segundo Portocarrero ·
Santiago Arrieta⚽
31'
Leonel Nazareno
33'
Cristhian Solano
/
Santiago Arrieta
⚽Matías Perello
· ast. Djorkaeff Reasco
45'+1
45'+4
Jhegson Méndez
45'+9
45'+12
Matías Perello
/ Arón Rodríguez
46'
Andy Velasco
/ Mateo Carabajal
46'
⚽Djorkaeff Reasco
48'
53'
Martín Caramuto
/
Jorge Cabeza
53'
Elian Pepinos
/
Ariel Aguas
Jhon Espinoza
/ Daykol Romero
68'
Jhegson Méndez
/ Jordy Alcivar
68'
Emerson Pata
/ Darwin Guagua
85'
85'
Maiky De La Cruz
/
Dario Pazmino
85'
Nestor Caicedo
/
Cristhian Solano
90'+5
Juan Anangono
90'+7
Jonathan Arroyo
Pre-match prediction
59.14%
Independiente ←
24.42%
X
16.44%
Leones
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente del Valle)
59.14%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
—
—
0.42
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Quintana
G
A. Quintana
G
15
D
23
J. Viacava
D
J. Viacava
D
33
Andy René Velasco García
45'
D
Andy René Velasco García
45'
D
4
J. Espinoza
68'
D
J. Espinoza
68'
D
32
J. Méndez
68'
M
J. Méndez
68'
M
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
85'
M
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
85'
M
8
Y. Ochoa
M
Y. Ochoa
M
11
M. Perelló
1 ⚽
45'
M
M. Perelló
1 ⚽
45'
M
10
J. Sornoza
M
J. Sornoza
M
99
D. Reasco
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
D. Reasco
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
17
A. Rodríguez
45'
F
A. Rodríguez
45'
F
9
C. González
F
C. González
F
55
Darwin Guagua
13'
M
Darwin Guagua
13'
M
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
22'
D
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
22'
D
6
J. Alcívar
22'
M
J. Alcívar
22'
M
50
J. Angulo
F
J. Angulo
F
53
Justin Lerma
M
Justin Lerma
M
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
14
M. Carabajal
45'
D
M. Carabajal
45'
D
16
R. Briones
M
R. Briones
M
45
Leonel Nazareno
G
Leonel Nazareno
G
34
S. Portocarrero
1 👟
D
S. Portocarrero
1 👟
D
2
J. Morán
D
J. Morán
D
23
N. Monserrat
D
N. Monserrat
D
4
R. Arroyo
D
R. Arroyo
D
32
A. Aguas
53'
D
A. Aguas
53'
D
70
D. Pazmiño
85'
M
D. Pazmiño
85'
M
8
C. Velez
M
C. Velez
M
13
Jorge Cabeza
53'
M
Jorge Cabeza
53'
M
9
Santiago Arrieta
1 ⚽
33'
M
40
Juan Luis Anangonó León
F
Juan Luis Anangonó León
F
Bench
99
C. Solano
52'
M
C. Solano
52'
M
11
Martín Caramuto
37'
M
Martín Caramuto
37'
M
27
N. Caicedo
13'
F
N. Caicedo
13'
F
19
O. Pepinos
37'
M
O. Pepinos
37'
M
5
T. Coppo
M
T. Coppo
M
Best on the pitch
D. Reasco
F · Independiente
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 16 pass
J. Viacava
D · Independiente
7.60
1 shots
· 87 pass
Leonel Nazareno
G · Leones
7.30
· 21 pass
A. Rodríguez
F · Independiente
7.20
1 shots
· 15 pass
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
M · Independiente
7.20
2 shots
· 36 pass
Santiago Arrieta
M · Leones
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Quintana | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 52% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Viacava | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 87 | 81% | — | — | — |
| Andy René Velasco García | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Espinoza | D | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Méndez | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Y. Ochoa | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Perelló | M | 45 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | — | — | — |
| D. Reasco | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Darwin Guagua | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Alcívar | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Carabajal | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Leones del Norte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonel Nazareno | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Portocarrero | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Morán | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Monserrat | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Arroyo | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Aguas | D | 53 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Pazmiño | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Velez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cabeza | M | 53 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Arrieta | M | 33 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juan Luis Anangonó León | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Solano | M | 52 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Caramuto | M | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Caicedo | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| O. Pepinos | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente del Valle vs Leones del Norte?
The final score was Independiente del Valle 2–1 Leones del Norte.
What did the model predict before Independiente del Valle vs Leones del Norte?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Independiente del Valle win, 24% to a draw, and 16% to an Leones del Norte win.