✗Model wrong — prediction Independiente del Valle, result Libertad wins
M. Carabajal
(ast. J. Mendez)
52'
Y. Ochoa
66'
47'
(ast. E. Patta)
I. Zambrano
77'
(ast. J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza)
V. Branda
90'+1
(ast. H. Batalla)
V. Branda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 79% win probability (draw 11%, Libertad 9%). The final result was Independiente del Valle 2–3 Libertad.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
1
Saves
6
68%
Possession
32%
12
Corners
1
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
14'
M. Lucas
J. Viacava
/ M. Carabajal
46'
47'
ast. E. Patta ·
I. Zambrano⚽
50'
H. Batalla
⚽M. Carabajal
· ast. J. Mendez
52'
M. Carabajal
53'
J. Mendez
63'
⚽Y. Ochoa
66'
Y. Ochoa
/ J. Sornoza
68'
D. Guagua
/ A. Rodriguez
68'
75'
V. Branda
/
G. J. Cortez Casierra
75'
D. Coronel
/
E. Caicedo
77'
ast. J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza ·
V. Branda⚽
D. Reasco
/ C. Gonzalez
81'
J. Mendez
/ J. Alcivar
81'
88'
B. Corozo
/
I. Zambrano
90'+1
ast. H. Batalla ·
V. Branda⚽
90'+1
V. Branda
90'+3
D. Coronel
J. Sornoza
90'+5
90'+6
S. Castro
/
H. Batalla
Pre-match prediction
79.27%
Independiente
11.25%
X
9.48%
Libertad ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Libertad)
9.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.79
—
—
0.93
—
—
Lineups
1
Aldair Quintana
G
Aldair Quintana
G
15
Gustavo Cortez
D
Gustavo Cortez
D
33
Andy Velasco
D
Andy Velasco
D
23
J. Viacava
45'
D
J. Viacava
45'
D
4
Jhon Espinoza
D
Jhon Espinoza
D
55
Darwin Guagua
68'
D
Darwin Guagua
68'
D
11
M. Perelló
M
M. Perelló
M
32
Jhegson Méndez
1 👟
81'
M
Jhegson Méndez
1 👟
81'
M
16
Ronald Briones
M
Ronald Briones
M
8
Youri Ochoa
1 ⚽
68'
F
Youri Ochoa
1 ⚽
68'
F
99
D. Reasco
81'
F
D. Reasco
81'
F
Bench
20
Aníbal Gómez
M
Aníbal Gómez
M
17
A. Rodríguez
26'
F
A. Rodríguez
26'
F
9
C. González
13'
F
C. González
13'
F
13
Daykol Romero
D
Daykol Romero
D
12
Eduardo Bores
G
Eduardo Bores
G
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
F
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
F
6
J. Alcívar
13'
M
J. Alcívar
13'
M
10
J. Sornoza
26'
M
J. Sornoza
26'
M
50
Juan Angulo
F
Juan Angulo
F
53
Justin Lerma
M
Justin Lerma
M
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
14
Mateo Carabajal
1 ⚽
49'
D
Mateo Carabajal
1 ⚽
49'
D
12
David Cabezas
G
David Cabezas
G
20
Jackson Rodríguez
1 👟
D
Jackson Rodríguez
1 👟
D
36
Ariel García
D
Ariel García
D
25
Manuel Lucas
D
Manuel Lucas
D
5
Carlos Gruezo
D
Carlos Gruezo
D
17
Elvis Patta
1 👟
D
Elvis Patta
1 👟
D
7
Ivan Zambrano
1 ⚽
88'
M
Ivan Zambrano
1 ⚽
88'
M
63
Cristhian Valencia
M
Cristhian Valencia
M
11
Hancel Batalla
1 👟
M
Hancel Batalla
1 👟
M
9
Enrique Caicedo
75'
F
Enrique Caicedo
75'
F
10
G. Cortéz
75'
F
G. Cortéz
75'
F
Bench
33
Antony Chére
F
Antony Chére
F
52
Ariel Bao
G
Ariel Bao
G
19
Bryan Corozo
6'
M
Bryan Corozo
6'
M
49
Dany Coronel
19'
F
Dany Coronel
19'
F
23
Jawer Guisamano
M
Jawer Guisamano
M
30
Jostin Bravo
M
Jostin Bravo
M
29
Rody Zambrano
D
Rody Zambrano
D
8
Stick Castro
M
Stick Castro
M
70
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
2 ⚽
19'
F
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
2 ⚽
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
F · Libertad
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 3 pass
Youri Ochoa
F · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 29 pass
Jhegson Méndez
M · Independiente
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 57 pass
Hancel Batalla
M · Libertad
7.50
1 👟
· 30 pass
Ivan Zambrano
M · Libertad
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Ariel García
D · Libertad
7.30
· 44 pass
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldair Quintana | G | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Cortez | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Andy Velasco | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 72% | — | — | — |
| J. Viacava | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhon Espinoza | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 78 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Darwin Guagua | D | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Perelló | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhegson Méndez | M | 81 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 52% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ronald Briones | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Youri Ochoa | F | 68 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Reasco | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. González | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Alcívar | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Carabajal | D | 49 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
Libertad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Cabezas | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jackson Rodríguez | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Ariel García | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| Manuel Lucas | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Gruezo | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Elvis Patta | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Ivan Zambrano | M | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristhian Valencia | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Hancel Batalla | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Enrique Caicedo | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Cortéz | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Corozo | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Dany Coronel | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín | F | 19 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente del Valle vs Libertad?
The final score was Independiente del Valle 2–3 Libertad.
What did the model predict before Independiente del Valle vs Libertad?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Independiente del Valle win, 11% to a draw, and 9% to an Libertad win.