✗Model wrong — prediction Independiente del Valle, result Libertad wins
M. Carabajal
(ast. J. Mendez)
52'
Y. Ochoa
66'
47'
(ast. E. Patta)
I. Zambrano
77'
(ast. J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza)
V. Branda
90'+1
(ast. H. Batalla)
V. Branda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 79% win probability (draw 11%, Libertad 9%). The final result was Independiente del Valle 2–3 Libertad. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente del Valle have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Libertad.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
1
Saves
6
68%
Possession
32%
12
Corners
1
12
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
14'
M. Lucas
J. Viacava
/ M. Carabajal
46'
47'
ast. E. Patta ·
I. Zambrano⚽
50'
H. Batalla
⚽M. Carabajal
· ast. J. Mendez
52'
M. Carabajal
53'
J. Mendez
63'
⚽Y. Ochoa
66'
Y. Ochoa
/ J. Sornoza
68'
D. Guagua
/ A. Rodriguez
68'
75'
V. Branda
/
G. J. Cortez Casierra
75'
D. Coronel
/
E. Caicedo
77'
ast. J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza ·
V. Branda⚽
D. Reasco
/ C. Gonzalez
81'
J. Mendez
/ J. Alcivar
81'
88'
B. Corozo
/
I. Zambrano
90'+1
ast. H. Batalla ·
V. Branda⚽
90'+1
V. Branda
90'+3
D. Coronel
J. Sornoza
90'+5
90'+6
S. Castro
/
H. Batalla
Pre-match prediction
79.27%
Independiente
11.25%
X
9.48%
Libertad ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Libertad)
9.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.79
—
—
0.93
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Quintana
G
A. Quintana
G
15
G. Cortéz
D
G. Cortéz
D
33
Andy René Velasco García
D
Andy René Velasco García
D
23
J. Viacava
45'
D
J. Viacava
45'
D
4
J. Espinoza
D
J. Espinoza
D
55
Darwin Guagua
68'
D
Darwin Guagua
68'
D
11
M. Perelló
M
M. Perelló
M
32
J. Méndez
1 👟
81'
M
J. Méndez
1 👟
81'
M
16
R. Briones
M
R. Briones
M
8
Y. Ochoa
1 ⚽
68'
F
Y. Ochoa
1 ⚽
68'
F
99
D. Reasco
81'
F
D. Reasco
81'
F
Bench
20
A. Gómez
M
A. Gómez
M
17
A. Rodríguez
26'
F
A. Rodríguez
26'
F
9
C. González
13'
F
C. González
13'
F
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
12
Eduardo David Bores Díaz
G
Eduardo David Bores Díaz
G
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
F
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
F
6
J. Alcívar
13'
M
J. Alcívar
13'
M
50
J. Angulo
F
J. Angulo
F
10
J. Sornoza
26'
M
J. Sornoza
26'
M
53
Justin Lerma
M
Justin Lerma
M
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
14
M. Carabajal
1 ⚽
49'
D
M. Carabajal
1 ⚽
49'
D
12
D. Cabezas
G
D. Cabezas
G
20
J. Rodríguez
1 👟
D
J. Rodríguez
1 👟
D
36
A. Garcia
D
A. Garcia
D
25
M. Lucas
D
M. Lucas
D
5
C. Gruezo
D
C. Gruezo
D
17
E. Patta
1 👟
D
E. Patta
1 👟
D
7
I. Zambrano
1 ⚽
88'
M
I. Zambrano
1 ⚽
88'
M
63
C. Valencia
M
C. Valencia
M
11
H. Batalla
1 👟
M
H. Batalla
1 👟
M
9
E. Caicedo
75'
F
E. Caicedo
75'
F
10
G. Cortéz
75'
F
G. Cortéz
75'
F
Bench
33
A. Chére
F
A. Chére
F
52
Ariel Bao
G
Ariel Bao
G
19
B. Corozo
6'
M
B. Corozo
6'
M
49
D. Coronel
19'
F
D. Coronel
19'
F
30
J. Bravo
M
J. Bravo
M
23
J. Guisamano
M
J. Guisamano
M
29
R. Zambrano
D
R. Zambrano
D
8
Stick Carlos Castro Palma
M
Stick Carlos Castro Palma
M
70
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
2 ⚽
19'
F
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
2 ⚽
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
F · Libertad
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 3 pass
Y. Ochoa
F · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 29 pass
J. Méndez
M · Independiente
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 57 pass
H. Batalla
M · Libertad
7.50
1 👟
· 30 pass
I. Zambrano
M · Libertad
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
A. Garcia
D · Libertad
7.30
· 44 pass
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Quintana | G | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| G. Cortéz | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Andy René Velasco García | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 72% | — | — | — |
| J. Viacava | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Espinoza | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 78 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Darwin Guagua | D | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Perelló | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Méndez | M | 81 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 52% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Briones | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ochoa | F | 68 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Reasco | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. González | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Alcívar | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Carabajal | D | 49 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
Libertad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cabezas | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Garcia | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Lucas | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Gruezo | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Patta | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Zambrano | M | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Valencia | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Batalla | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Caicedo | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Cortéz | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Corozo | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Coronel | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín | F | 19 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente del Valle vs Libertad?
The final score was Independiente del Valle 2–3 Libertad.
What did the model predict before Independiente del Valle vs Libertad?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Independiente del Valle win, 11% to a draw, and 9% to an Libertad win.