Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 00:00
Junior Sornoza
64'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Rosario Central 23%). The final result was Independiente del Valle 1–0 Rosario Central. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente del Valle have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rosario Central.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
4
1.95
Actual xG
0.55
4
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
2
14
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
13'
Enzo Copetti
Junior Sornoza
45'+5
45'+5
Ángel Di María
46'
Enzo Giménez
/
Julián Fernández
58'
Pol Fernández
/
Ángel Di María
⚽Junior Sornoza
(pen.)
64'
66'
Pol Fernández
79'
Marco Rubén
/
Vicente Pizarro
Emerson Pata
/ Matías Perello
80'
Justin Lerma
/ Ronald Briones
80'
80'
Giovanni Cantizano
/
Jaminton Campaz
Mateo Carabajal
/ Andy Velasco
82'
89'
Lisandro Duarte
/
Emanuel Coronel
90'+3
Ignacio Ovando
Junior Sornoza
/ Youri Ochoa
90'
Arón Rodríguez
/ Steven Gongora
90'
Pre-match prediction
50.52%
Independiente ←
26.35%
X
23.14%
Rosario
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente del Valle)
50.52%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
1.95
+0.51
0.81
0.55
-0.26
Independiente del Valle dominated by xG (1.95 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Quintana
G
A. Quintana
G
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
23
J. Viacava
D
J. Viacava
D
14
M. Carabajal
82'
D
M. Carabajal
82'
D
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
6
J. Alcívar
M
J. Alcívar
M
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
80'
M
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
80'
M
10
J. Sornoza
1 ⚽
89'
M
J. Sornoza
1 ⚽
89'
M
53
Justin Lerma
80'
M
Justin Lerma
80'
M
17
A. Rodríguez
89'
M
A. Rodríguez
89'
M
9
C. González
F
C. González
F
Bench
20
A. Gómez
M
A. Gómez
M
33
Andy René Velasco García
8'
D
Andy René Velasco García
8'
D
99
D. Reasco
F
D. Reasco
F
12
Eduardo David Bores Díaz
G
Eduardo David Bores Díaz
G
15
G. Cortéz
D
G. Cortéz
D
50
J. Angulo
F
J. Angulo
F
4
J. Espinoza
D
J. Espinoza
D
32
J. Méndez
M
J. Méndez
M
11
M. Perelló
10'
F
M. Perelló
10'
F
16
R. Briones
10'
M
R. Briones
10'
M
18
Steven Gongora
1'
F
Steven Gongora
1'
F
8
Y. Ochoa
1'
M
Y. Ochoa
1'
M
23
J. Ledesma
G
J. Ledesma
G
33
A. Soto
D
A. Soto
D
46
Ignacio Ovando
D
Ignacio Ovando
D
15
F. Mallo
D
F. Mallo
D
32
E. Coronel
89'
D
E. Coronel
89'
D
20
V. Pizarro
79'
M
V. Pizarro
79'
M
5
F. Ibarra
M
F. Ibarra
M
8
J. Campaz
80'
M
J. Campaz
80'
M
11
Á. Di María
58'
M
Á. Di María
58'
M
18
Julián Fernández
45'
M
Julián Fernández
45'
M
22
E. Copetti
F
E. Copetti
F
Bench
14
Asael Oviedo
D
Asael Oviedo
D
16
E. Giménez
45'
M
E. Giménez
45'
M
42
E. Veron
D
E. Veron
D
39
Fabricio Oviedo
F
Fabricio Oviedo
F
31
F. Navarro
M
F. Navarro
M
26
G. Cantizano
10'
F
G. Cantizano
10'
F
28
G. Fernández
32'
M
G. Fernández
32'
M
1
J. Broun
G
J. Broun
G
37
Lisandro Duarte
8'
F
Lisandro Duarte
8'
F
47
Luca Raffin
D
Luca Raffin
D
7
Marcelo Cabrera
F
Marcelo Cabrera
F
29
M. Ruben
11'
F
M. Ruben
11'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Quintana
G · Independiente
7.90
· 23 pass
J. Viacava
D · Independiente
7.70
· 57 pass
A. Rodríguez
M · Independiente
7.70
1 shots
· 40 pass
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D · Independiente
7.70
· 31 pass
J. Sornoza
M · Independiente
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
J. Ledesma
G · Rosario
7.20
· 34 pass
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Quintana | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| L. Loor | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Viacava | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | — | — | — |
| M. Carabajal | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Alcívar | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 45 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | M | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Justin Lerma | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| C. González | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 5 | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Andy René Velasco García | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Perelló | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Briones | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Gongora | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Ochoa | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rosario Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ledesma | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Soto | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| Ignacio Ovando | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Mallo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| E. Coronel | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| V. Pizarro | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| F. Ibarra | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Campaz | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Di María | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Julián Fernández | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Copetti | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Giménez | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Cantizano | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| G. Fernández | M | 32 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lisandro Duarte | F | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Ruben | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente del Valle vs Rosario Central?
The final score was Independiente del Valle 1–0 Rosario Central.
What did the model predict before Independiente del Valle vs Rosario Central?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Independiente del Valle win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Rosario Central win.