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LigaPro · Regular Season - 27 August 29, 2026 20:00 Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Independiente del Valle
#1 · 71 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Universidad Catolica
#3 · 48 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Independiente del Valle, result Draw
Ronald Briones (ast. Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced) 51'
Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced (ast. Djorkaeff Reascos) 56'
61' (ast. Mauro Díaz) Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
62' (ast. Mauro Díaz) Azarias Londono
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 70% win probability (draw 13%, Universidad Catolica 16%). The final result was Independiente del Valle 2–2 Universidad Catolica. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente del Valle have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Universidad Catolica.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
18
3
Shots on target
8
5
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
3
9
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ Richard Schunke / Mateo Carabajal
45'
⚽Ronald Briones · ast. Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced
51'
⚽Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced · ast. Djorkaeff Reascos
56'
61'
ast. Mauro Díaz · Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda⚽
62'
ast. Mauro Díaz · Azarias Londono⚽
62'
Luis Johan Moreno / Daniel Clavijo ↕
66'
Facundo Martinez
↕ Youri ochoa / Junior Sornoza
67'
↕ Djorkaeff Reascos / Carlos González
67'
↕ Matias Mijail Perello / Aron Rodríguez
67'
↕ Ronald Briones / Hugo Quintana
76'
78'
Eric David Valencia Reasco / Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda ↕
83'
Jimmy Evans / Eddy·Mejia ↕
Jhegson Mendez Carabali
90'
Pre-match prediction
70.41%
Independiente
13.08%
X ←
16.51%
Universidad
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 13.08% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
4.38
—
—
Universidad
2.20
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 29 71
2 Aucas Aucas 30 50
3 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 29 48
4 Macara Macara 29 48
5 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 30 46
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 29 43
7 Libertad Libertad 29 41
8 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 29 39
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 30 39
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 30 38
11 Emelec Emelec 29 36
12 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 30 36
13 Orense SC Orense SC 29 33
14 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 29 29
15 Delfin SC Delfin SC 29 27
16 Manta FC Manta FC 30 21
Lineups
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4-1-3-2
1 A. Quintana A. Quintana G 7.32
32 J. Méndez J. Méndez M 7.05
23 J. Viacava J. Viacava D 6.77
5 R. Schunke R. Schunke 45' D 6.64
4 J. Espinoza J. Espinoza D 6.60
50 J. Angulo J. Angulo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.68
99 D. Reasco D. Reasco 1 👟 67' F 7.17
11 M. Perelló M. Perelló 67' M 6.51
8 Y. Ochoa Y. Ochoa 67' M 6.22
16 R. Briones R. Briones 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.39
Bench
17 A. Rodríguez A. Rodríguez 23' F 6.44
9 C. González C. González 23' F 6.54
13 Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla D 0.00
31 Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez F 0.00
28 H. Quintana H. Quintana 14' M 6.17
57 H. Quintero H. Quintero M 0.00
10 J. Sornoza J. Sornoza 23' M 6.14
19 L. Loor L. Loor D 0.00
70 M. Peralta M. Peralta G 0.00
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
12 J. Lara J. Lara G 6.08
30 E. Mejía E. Mejía 83' D 7.02
4 J. Chancellor J. Chancellor D 6.68
33 L. Cangá L. Cangá D 7.02
24 Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo D 6.74
10 F. Martínez F. Martínez M 6.57
8 D. Clavijo D. Clavijo 62' M 6.83
32 M. Alonso M. Alonso 1 ⚽ 78' M 8.01
28 M. Díaz M. Díaz 2 👟 M 8.60
9 A. Londoño A. Londoño 1 ⚽ M 7.40
7 J. Fajardo J. Fajardo F 6.44
Bench
18 B. Palacios B. Palacios F 0.00
37 C. Medina C. Medina D 0.00
44 E. Valencia E. Valencia 12' D 6.44
26 Foad Eid Foad Eid F 0.00
29 G. Anangonó G. Anangonó D 0.00
5 J. Cacciabue J. Cacciabue M 0.00
11 J. Evans J. Evans 7' F 6.46
14 J. Mina J. Mina D 0.00
15 L. Moreno L. Moreno 28' D 6.47
1 Lucas Cueva Gordillo Lucas Cueva Gordillo G 0.00
19 M. Sevillano M. Sevillano M 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Angulo
J. Angulo
M · Independiente
8.68
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 20 pass
M. Díaz
M. Díaz
M · Universidad
8.60
2 👟
1 shots · 58 pass
M. Alonso
M. Alonso
M · Universidad
8.01
1 ⚽
4 shots · 12 pass
A. Londoño
A. Londoño
M · Universidad
7.40
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
R. Briones
R. Briones
F · Independiente
7.39
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
A. Quintana
A. Quintana
G · Independiente
7.32
· 30 pass
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Quintana G 90 7.32 — — 0 30 26% 0 — —
J. Méndez M 90 7.05 — — 0 49 46% 2 1 —
J. Viacava D 90 6.77 — — 0 59 49% 2 — —
R. Schunke D 45 6.64 — — 1 25 22% 0 — —
J. Espinoza D 90 6.60 — — 3 27 22% 0 — —
J. Angulo M 90 8.68 1 1 1 20 17% 1 — —
D. Reasco F 67 7.17 — 1 5 12 10% 1 — —
M. Perelló M 67 6.51 — — 2 17 10% 3 — —
Y. Ochoa M 67 6.22 — — 0 21 16% 0 — —
R. Briones F 76 7.39 1 — 1 25 20% 0 — —
A. Rodríguez F 23 6.44 — — 0 12 8% 0 — —
C. González F 23 6.54 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
H. Quintana M 14 6.17 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
J. Sornoza M 23 6.14 — — 0 18 18% 0 — —
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Lara G 90 6.08 — — 0 24 18% 0 — —
E. Mejía D 83 7.02 — — 3 38 37% 1 — —
J. Chancellor D 90 6.68 — — 0 39 39% 0 — —
L. Cangá D 90 7.02 — — 1 46 43% 1 — —
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo D 90 6.74 — — 1 43 38% 0 — —
F. Martínez M 90 6.57 — — 2 62 55% 0 1 —
D. Clavijo M 62 6.83 — — 1 27 24% 0 — —
M. Alonso M 78 8.01 1 — 4 12 12% 2 — —
M. Díaz M 90 8.60 — 2 1 58 51% 1 — —
A. Londoño M 90 7.40 1 — 2 22 18% 2 — —
J. Fajardo F 90 6.44 — — 2 22 16% 0 — —
E. Valencia D 12 6.44 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
J. Evans F 7 6.46 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
L. Moreno D 28 6.47 — — 1 9 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica?
The final score was Independiente del Valle 2–2 Universidad Catolica.
What did the model predict before Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Independiente del Valle win, 13% to a draw, and 16% to an Universidad Catolica win.