D. Moreno
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 23%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Deportivo Cali. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Cali.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.90
Actual xG
0.59
2
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
1
20
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
K. Klinger
/ J. Medina
46'
61'
R. Pajaro
/
J. Moya
61'
N. Benedetti
/
J. Dinenno
J. Cordoba
/ J. Montano
64'
H. Palacios
/ E. Mena Perea
64'
67'
K. Suarez
/
J. Martinez
72'
G. Cuellar
J. Montano
78'
A. Martegani
78'
D. Catano
/ D. Moreno
83'
88'
F. Viafara
/
L. Chaverra
A. Martegani
/ D. Moreno
88'
D. Moreno
88'
⚽D. Moreno
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
47.45%
Independiente ←
28.56%
X
23.99%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
47.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.90
-0.34
0.79
0.59
-0.2
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (0.90 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
13
J. Mena
D
J. Mena
D
19
Alfonso Simarra
D
Alfonso Simarra
D
4
Kevin Mantilla
D
Kevin Mantilla
D
30
H. Palacios
64'
D
H. Palacios
64'
D
21
Agustín Martegani
88'
M
Agustín Martegani
88'
M
14
Baldomero Perlaza
M
Baldomero Perlaza
M
34
Keiner Klinger
45'
M
Keiner Klinger
45'
M
10
Daniel Cataño
83'
M
Daniel Cataño
83'
M
70
J. Córdoba
64'
M
J. Córdoba
64'
M
11
Yony González
F
Yony González
F
Bench
28
Andrés Dávila
F
Andrés Dávila
F
6
Didier Moreno
15'
M
Didier Moreno
15'
M
31
Diego Moreno
1 ⚽
10'
M
Diego Moreno
1 ⚽
10'
M
26
Esneyder Mena
26'
D
Esneyder Mena
26'
D
9
Jeison Medina
45'
F
Jeison Medina
45'
F
5
Joaquin Varela
D
Joaquin Varela
D
20
John Edwin Montaño
26'
F
John Edwin Montaño
26'
F
39
Luis Escorcia
D
Luis Escorcia
D
1
Salvador Ichazo
G
Salvador Ichazo
G
1
Pedro Gallese
G
Pedro Gallese
G
28
Edwin Velasco
D
Edwin Velasco
D
4
Fernando Álvarez
D
Fernando Álvarez
D
2
José Moya
61'
D
José Moya
61'
D
16
Keimer Sandoval
D
Keimer Sandoval
D
15
Léyser Chaverra
88'
D
Léyser Chaverra
88'
D
23
Steven Rodríguez
M
Steven Rodríguez
M
5
Gustavo Cuéllar
M
Gustavo Cuéllar
M
8
Daniel Giraldo
M
Daniel Giraldo
M
19
Johan Martínez
67'
F
Johan Martínez
67'
F
9
Juan Dinenno
61'
F
Juan Dinenno
61'
F
Bench
38
Alejandro Rodríguez
G
Alejandro Rodríguez
G
27
F. Viáfara
10'
D
F. Viáfara
10'
D
30
Juan Jose Gomez
D
Juan Jose Gomez
D
24
Kalazan Suárez
23'
D
Kalazan Suárez
23'
D
21
Nicolás Benedetti
29'
M
Nicolás Benedetti
29'
M
13
Ronaldo Pájaro
29'
D
Ronaldo Pájaro
29'
D
43
Santiago Martinez
M
Santiago Martinez
M
Best on the pitch
Agustín Martegani
M · Independiente
8.00
1 shots
· 64 pass
J. Mena
D · Independiente
7.30
· 40 pass
Alfonso Simarra
D · Independiente
7.30
· 77 pass
Kevin Mantilla
D · Independiente
7.30
· 73 pass
H. Palacios
D · Independiente
7.30
· 23 pass
Daniel Cataño
M · Independiente
7.30
· 43 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Chaux | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| J. Mena | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Alfonso Simarra | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Mantilla | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 73 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Agustín Martegani | M | 88 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 58% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Baldomero Perlaza | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 5 | — | — |
| Keiner Klinger | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Yony González | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Didier Moreno | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Moreno | M | 10 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Esneyder Mena | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeison Medina | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Deportivo Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Gallese | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Velasco | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| José Moya | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Keimer Sandoval | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Léyser Chaverra | D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Steven Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Cuéllar | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Giraldo | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Johan Martínez | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Dinenno | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Viáfara | D | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kalazan Suárez | D | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Benedetti | M | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronaldo Pájaro | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Deportivo Cali.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Deportivo Cali win.