D. Moreno
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 23%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Deportivo Cali. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Cali.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.90
Actual xG
0.59
2
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
1
20
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
K. Klinger
/ J. Medina
46'
61'
R. Pajaro
/
J. Moya
61'
N. Benedetti
/
J. Dinenno
J. Cordoba
/ J. Montano
64'
H. Palacios
/ E. Mena Perea
64'
67'
K. Suarez
/
J. Martinez
72'
G. Cuellar
J. Montano
78'
A. Martegani
78'
D. Catano
/ D. Moreno
83'
88'
F. Viafara
/
L. Chaverra
A. Martegani
/ D. Moreno
88'
D. Moreno
88'
⚽D. Moreno
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
47.45%
Independiente ←
28.56%
X
23.99%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
47.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.90
-0.34
0.79
0.59
-0.2
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (0.90 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
E. Chaux
G
E. Chaux
G
13
J. Mena
D
J. Mena
D
19
A. Simarra
D
A. Simarra
D
4
K. Mantilla
D
K. Mantilla
D
30
H. Palacios
64'
D
H. Palacios
64'
D
21
A. Martegani
88'
M
A. Martegani
88'
M
14
B. Perlaza
M
B. Perlaza
M
34
K. Klinger
45'
M
K. Klinger
45'
M
10
Daniel Cataño
83'
M
Daniel Cataño
83'
M
70
J. Córdoba
64'
M
J. Córdoba
64'
M
11
Y. González
F
Y. González
F
Bench
28
Andrés Dávila
F
Andrés Dávila
F
31
D. Moreno
1 ⚽
10'
M
D. Moreno
1 ⚽
10'
M
6
D. Moreno
1 ⚽
15'
M
D. Moreno
1 ⚽
15'
M
26
E. Mena
26'
D
E. Mena
26'
D
9
J. Medina
45'
F
J. Medina
45'
F
20
J. Montaño
26'
F
J. Montaño
26'
F
5
J. Varela
D
J. Varela
D
39
L. Escorcia
D
L. Escorcia
D
1
S. Ichazo
G
S. Ichazo
G
1
P. Gallese
G
P. Gallese
G
28
E. Velasco
D
E. Velasco
D
4
Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador
D
Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador
D
2
José Moya
61'
D
José Moya
61'
D
16
Keimer Sandoval
D
Keimer Sandoval
D
15
L. Chaverra
88'
D
L. Chaverra
88'
D
23
S. Rodríguez
M
S. Rodríguez
M
5
G. Cuéllar
M
G. Cuéllar
M
8
Daniel Giraldo
M
Daniel Giraldo
M
19
J. Martínez
67'
F
J. Martínez
67'
F
9
J. Dinenno
61'
F
J. Dinenno
61'
F
Bench
38
A. Rodríguez
G
A. Rodríguez
G
27
F. Viáfara
10'
D
F. Viáfara
10'
D
30
Juan Jose Gomez
D
Juan Jose Gomez
D
24
Kalazan Suárez
23'
D
Kalazan Suárez
23'
D
21
N. Benedetti
29'
M
N. Benedetti
29'
M
13
Ronaldo Pájaro
29'
D
Ronaldo Pájaro
29'
D
43
Santiago Martinez
M
Santiago Martinez
M
Best on the pitch
A. Martegani
M · Independiente
8.00
1 shots
· 64 pass
J. Mena
D · Independiente
7.30
· 40 pass
A. Simarra
D · Independiente
7.30
· 77 pass
K. Mantilla
D · Independiente
7.30
· 73 pass
H. Palacios
D · Independiente
7.30
· 23 pass
Daniel Cataño
M · Independiente
7.30
· 43 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Chaux | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| J. Mena | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Simarra | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mantilla | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 73 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Martegani | M | 88 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 58% | 4 | 1 | — |
| B. Perlaza | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 5 | — | — |
| K. Klinger | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. González | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 10 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 15 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Mena | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Medina | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Montaño | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Deportivo Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Gallese | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Velasco | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| José Moya | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Keimer Sandoval | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Chaverra | D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Cuéllar | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Giraldo | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Martínez | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dinenno | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Viáfara | D | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kalazan Suárez | D | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Benedetti | M | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronaldo Pájaro | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–0 Deportivo Cali.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Deportivo Cali win.