Independiente Medellin 3–2 Deportivo Pasto — pre-match prediction — Liga BetPlay — July 25, 2026

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Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 1 July 25, 2026 23:05

Independiente Medellin

#8 · 23 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Deportivo Pasto

#3 · 34 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin

J. Mena (ast. H. Palacios) 4'

H. Palacios 36'

J. Montano 65'

30' (ast. H. Goyes) S. Cordoba

44' (ast. D. Chavez) J. Micolta Piedahita

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Deportivo Pasto 17%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 3–2 Deportivo Pasto. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Pasto.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽J. Mena · ast. H. Palacios

M. Garavito

30'

ast. H. Goyes · S. Cordoba⚽

J. Varela

33'

35'

D. Chavez

⚽H. Palacios

36'

44'

ast. D. Chavez · J. Micolta Piedahita⚽

46'

M. S. Jimenez / M. Garavito ↕

46'

E. A. Cabezas Quinonez / G. Banguera ↕

48'

E. C. Serje Orozco

↕ H. Palacios / J. Cordoba

59'

↕ H. Loboa / A. Martegani

59'

64'

J. Mendez / M. Gil ↕

64'

M. Pisano / J. Micolta Piedahita ↕

⚽J. Montano

65'

72'

M. S. Jimenez

↕ D. Catano / B. Perlaza

77'

B. Perlaza

79'

80'

J. Obregon / H. Mancilla ↕

A. Martegani

90'+3

↕ J. Montano / K. Klinger

90'

Pre-match prediction

58.51%

Independiente ←

24.3%

17.2%

Deportivo

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 58.51% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Independiente

1.58

—

Deportivo

0.63

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	16	35
2	America de Cali	16	34
3	Deportivo Cali	16	30
4	Santa Fe	16	28
5	Millonarios	16	26
6	Bucaramanga	15	25
7	Once Caldas	17	24
8	Independiente Medellin	16	23
9	Águilas Doradas	16	22
10	Cucuta	16	21
11	Deportes Tolima	16	20
12	Internacional de Bogota	17	20
13	Alianza Valledupar	16	18
14	Llaneros	16	17
15	Junior	16	16
16	Chico	16	16
17	Deportivo Pereira	15	14
18	Jaguares	15	13
19	Fortaleza FC	16	12
20	Deportivo Pasto	15	12

Lineups

Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1

Salvador Ichazo G 6.00

J. Mena 1 ⚽ D 6.90

Joaquin Varela D 6.20

Luis Escorcia D 6.20

Esneyder Mena D 6.20

Didier Moreno M 6.60

Halam Loboa 59' M 6.60

John Edwin Montaño 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.90

Daniel Cataño 77' M 6.50

H. Palacios 1 ⚽ 1 👟 59' M 8.20

Jeison Medina F 7.00

Bench

Agustín Martegani 31' M 6.60

Alfonso Simarra D

Andrés Dávila F

Baldomero Perlaza 13' M 6.30

Eder Chaux G

J. Córdoba 31' F 6.70

Keiner Klinger 1' M

Kevin Mantilla D

Nivaldo Erazo M

Deportivo Pasto 4-3-3

Geovanni Banguera 45' G 6.30

Hervin Goyes 1 👟 D 6.50

Joyce Ossa D 6.00

Julián Quiñones D 6.20

Mateo Garavito 45' D 6.20

Mayer Gil 64' M 6.20

Enrique Serje M 6.90

Harrinson Mancilla 80' M 5.90

Diego Chávez 1 👟 F 7.50

Santiago Córdoba 1 ⚽ F 7.20

Joider Micolta 1 ⚽ 64' F 7.90

Bench

A. Ibargüen F

E. A. Cabezas Quinonez 45' G 6.30

F. Martinez M

J. Obregón 10' F 6.60

John Méndez 26' F 6.30

Matías Pisano 26' M 6.30

Patrick Preciado F

Santiago Jiménez 45' D 6.30

Y. Tolosa F

Best on the pitch

H. Palacios

M · Independiente

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 22 pass

Joider Micolta

F · Deportivo

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 8 pass

John Edwin Montaño

M · Independiente

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 14 pass

Diego Chávez

F · Deportivo

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 60 pass

Santiago Córdoba

F · Deportivo

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 21 pass

Jeison Medina

F · Independiente

7.00

· 19 pass

Independiente Medellin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Salvador Ichazo	G	90	6.00	—	—	—	33	20%	—	—	—
J. Mena	D	90	6.90	1	—	2	21	16%	2	—	—
Joaquin Varela	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	48	35%	—	1	—
Luis Escorcia	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	47	42%	—	—	—
Esneyder Mena	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	26	21%	—	—	—
Didier Moreno	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	45	41%	2	—	—
Halam Loboa	M	59	6.60	—	—	—	25	21%	—	—	—
John Edwin Montaño	M	89	7.90	1	—	2	14	11%	2	—	—
Daniel Cataño	M	77	6.50	—	—	1	22	14%	1	—	—
H. Palacios	M	59	8.20	1	1	1	22	17%	1	—	—
Jeison Medina	F	90	7.00	—	—	—	19	14%	—	—	—
Agustín Martegani	M	31	6.60	—	—	—	7	7%	1	1	—
Baldomero Perlaza	M	13	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	1	—
J. Córdoba	F	31	6.70	—	—	—	10	8%	1	—	—
Keiner Klinger	M	1	—	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—

Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Geovanni Banguera	G	45	6.30	—	—	—	21	15%	—	—	—
Hervin Goyes	D	90	6.50	—	1	—	40	37%	1	—	—
Joyce Ossa	D	90	6.00	—	—	1	48	43%	—	—	—
Julián Quiñones	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	48	38%	—	—	—
Mateo Garavito	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	25	20%	—	1	—
Mayer Gil	M	64	6.20	—	—	1	10	6%	—	—	—
Enrique Serje	M	90	6.90	—	—	3	32	28%	2	1	—
Harrinson Mancilla	M	80	5.90	—	—	—	42	37%	—	—	—
Diego Chávez	F	90	7.50	—	1	1	60	52%	1	1	—
Santiago Córdoba	F	90	7.20	1	—	2	21	16%	—	—	—
Joider Micolta	F	64	7.90	1	—	1	8	5%	3	—	—
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez	G	45	6.30	—	—	—	19	16%	—	—	—
J. Obregón	F	10	6.60	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
John Méndez	F	26	6.30	—	—	—	13	13%	—	—	—
Matías Pisano	M	26	6.30	—	—	—	19	18%	—	—	—
Santiago Jiménez	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	20	19%	2	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?

The final score was Independiente Medellin 3–2 Deportivo Pasto.

What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?

The model assigned 58% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 24% to a draw, and 17% to an Deportivo Pasto win.