Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 1
July 25, 2026 23:05
✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin
J. Mena
(ast. H. Palacios)
4'
H. Palacios
36'
J. Montano
65'
30'
(ast. H. Goyes)
S. Cordoba
44'
(ast. D. Chavez)
J. Micolta Piedahita
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Deportivo Pasto 17%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 3–2 Deportivo Pasto. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Pasto.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
0
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
4
10
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽J. Mena
· ast. H. Palacios
4'
7'
M. Garavito
30'
ast. H. Goyes ·
S. Cordoba⚽
J. Varela
33'
35'
D. Chavez
⚽H. Palacios
36'
44'
ast. D. Chavez ·
J. Micolta Piedahita⚽
46'
M. S. Jimenez
/
M. Garavito
46'
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
/
G. Banguera
48'
E. C. Serje Orozco
H. Palacios
/ J. Cordoba
59'
H. Loboa
/ A. Martegani
59'
64'
J. Mendez
/
M. Gil
64'
M. Pisano
/
J. Micolta Piedahita
⚽J. Montano
65'
72'
M. S. Jimenez
D. Catano
/ B. Perlaza
77'
B. Perlaza
79'
80'
J. Obregon
/
H. Mancilla
A. Martegani
90'+3
J. Montano
/ K. Klinger
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.51%
Independiente ←
24.3%
X
17.2%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
58.51%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
—
—
0.63
—
—
Lineups
1
Salvador Ichazo
G
Salvador Ichazo
G
13
Jhan Mena
1 ⚽
D
Jhan Mena
1 ⚽
D
5
Joaquin Varela
D
Joaquin Varela
D
39
Luis Escorcia
D
Luis Escorcia
D
26
Esneyder Mena
D
Esneyder Mena
D
6
Didier Moreno
M
Didier Moreno
M
16
Halam Loboa
59'
M
Halam Loboa
59'
M
20
John Edwin Montaño
1 ⚽
89'
M
John Edwin Montaño
1 ⚽
89'
M
10
Daniel Cataño
77'
M
Daniel Cataño
77'
M
30
Hayen Palacios
1 ⚽
1 👟
59'
M
Hayen Palacios
1 ⚽
1 👟
59'
M
9
Jeison Medina
F
Jeison Medina
F
Bench
21
Agustín Martegani
31'
M
Agustín Martegani
31'
M
19
Alfonso Simarra
D
Alfonso Simarra
D
28
Andrés Dávila
F
Andrés Dávila
F
14
Baldomero Perlaza
13'
M
Baldomero Perlaza
13'
M
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
70
Juan Córdoba
31'
F
Juan Córdoba
31'
F
34
Keiner Klinger
1'
M
Keiner Klinger
1'
M
4
Kevin Mantilla
D
Kevin Mantilla
D
24
Nivaldo Erazo
M
Nivaldo Erazo
M
12
Geovanni Banguera
45'
G
Geovanni Banguera
45'
G
27
Hervin Goyes
1 👟
D
Hervin Goyes
1 👟
D
3
Joyce Ossa
D
Joyce Ossa
D
36
Julián Quiñones
D
Julián Quiñones
D
33
Mateo Garavito
45'
D
Mateo Garavito
45'
D
16
Mayer Gil
64'
M
Mayer Gil
64'
M
8
Enrique Serje
M
Enrique Serje
M
15
Harrinson Mancilla
80'
M
Harrinson Mancilla
80'
M
10
Diego Chávez
1 👟
F
Diego Chávez
1 👟
F
29
Santiago Córdoba
1 ⚽
F
Santiago Córdoba
1 ⚽
F
18
Joider Micolta
1 ⚽
64'
F
Joider Micolta
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
11
Andrés Ibargüen
F
Andrés Ibargüen
F
1
Ederson Cabezas
45'
G
Ederson Cabezas
45'
G
35
Frank Martínez
M
Frank Martínez
M
17
John Méndez
26'
F
John Méndez
26'
F
9
Jorge Obregón
10'
F
Jorge Obregón
10'
F
32
Matías Pisano
26'
M
Matías Pisano
26'
M
19
Patrick Preciado
F
Patrick Preciado
F
6
Santiago Jiménez
45'
D
Santiago Jiménez
45'
D
22
Yeison Tolosa
F
Yeison Tolosa
F
Best on the pitch
Hayen Palacios
M · Independiente
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 22 pass
Joider Micolta
F · Deportivo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
John Edwin Montaño
M · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Diego Chávez
F · Deportivo
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 60 pass
Santiago Córdoba
F · Deportivo
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Jeison Medina
F · Independiente
7.00
· 19 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvador Ichazo | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Jhan Mena | D | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Joaquin Varela | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Escorcia | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Esneyder Mena | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Didier Moreno | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Halam Loboa | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Hayen Palacios | M | 59 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeison Medina | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Agustín Martegani | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Baldomero Perlaza | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Córdoba | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Keiner Klinger | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geovanni Banguera | G | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Hervin Goyes | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Joyce Ossa | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Garavito | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Mayer Gil | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Enrique Serje | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Harrinson Mancilla | M | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Diego Chávez | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 60 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Córdoba | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Joider Micolta | F | 64 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Ederson Cabezas | G | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| John Méndez | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Obregón | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matías Pisano | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Jiménez | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 3–2 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 24% to a draw, and 17% to an Deportivo Pasto win.