Liga BetPlay
· Clausura - 1
July 25, 2026 23:05
✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin
J. Mena
(ast. H. Palacios)
4'
H. Palacios
36'
J. Montano
65'
30'
(ast. H. Goyes)
S. Cordoba
44'
(ast. D. Chavez)
J. Micolta Piedahita
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Deportivo Pasto 17%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 3–2 Deportivo Pasto. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Pasto.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
0
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
4
10
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽J. Mena
· ast. H. Palacios
4'
7'
M. Garavito
30'
ast. H. Goyes ·
S. Cordoba⚽
J. Varela
33'
35'
D. Chavez
⚽H. Palacios
36'
44'
ast. D. Chavez ·
J. Micolta Piedahita⚽
46'
M. S. Jimenez
/
M. Garavito
46'
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
/
G. Banguera
48'
E. C. Serje Orozco
H. Palacios
/ J. Cordoba
59'
H. Loboa
/ A. Martegani
59'
64'
J. Mendez
/
M. Gil
64'
M. Pisano
/
J. Micolta Piedahita
⚽J. Montano
65'
72'
M. S. Jimenez
D. Catano
/ B. Perlaza
77'
B. Perlaza
79'
80'
J. Obregon
/
H. Mancilla
A. Martegani
90'+3
J. Montano
/ K. Klinger
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.51%
Independiente ←
24.3%
X
17.2%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
58.51%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
—
—
0.63
—
—
Lineups
1
S. Ichazo
G
S. Ichazo
G
13
J. Mena
1 ⚽
D
J. Mena
1 ⚽
D
5
J. Varela
D
J. Varela
D
39
L. Escorcia
D
L. Escorcia
D
26
E. Mena
D
E. Mena
D
6
D. Moreno
M
D. Moreno
M
16
H. Loboa
59'
M
H. Loboa
59'
M
20
J. Montaño
1 ⚽
89'
M
J. Montaño
1 ⚽
89'
M
10
Daniel Cataño
77'
M
Daniel Cataño
77'
M
30
H. Palacios
1 ⚽
1 👟
59'
M
H. Palacios
1 ⚽
1 👟
59'
M
9
J. Medina
F
J. Medina
F
Bench
21
A. Martegani
31'
M
A. Martegani
31'
M
28
Andrés Dávila
F
Andrés Dávila
F
19
A. Simarra
D
A. Simarra
D
14
B. Perlaza
13'
M
B. Perlaza
13'
M
25
E. Chaux
G
E. Chaux
G
70
J. Córdoba
31'
F
J. Córdoba
31'
F
34
K. Klinger
1'
M
K. Klinger
1'
M
4
K. Mantilla
D
K. Mantilla
D
24
Nivaldo Erazo
M
Nivaldo Erazo
M
12
Geovanni Banguera
45'
G
Geovanni Banguera
45'
G
27
Hervin Goyes
1 👟
D
Hervin Goyes
1 👟
D
3
J. Ossa
D
J. Ossa
D
36
Julián Quiñones
D
Julián Quiñones
D
33
M. Garavito
45'
D
M. Garavito
45'
D
16
M. Gil
64'
M
M. Gil
64'
M
8
E. Serje
M
E. Serje
M
15
H. Mancilla
80'
M
H. Mancilla
80'
M
10
D. Chávez
1 👟
F
D. Chávez
1 👟
F
29
Santiago Córdoba
1 ⚽
F
Santiago Córdoba
1 ⚽
F
18
Joider Micolta
1 ⚽
64'
F
Joider Micolta
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
11
A. Ibargüen
F
A. Ibargüen
F
1
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
45'
G
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
45'
G
35
F. Martinez
M
F. Martinez
M
17
John Méndez
26'
F
John Méndez
26'
F
9
Jorge Obregón
10'
F
Jorge Obregón
10'
F
32
M. Pisano
26'
M
M. Pisano
26'
M
19
Patrick Preciado
F
Patrick Preciado
F
6
S. Jiménez
45'
D
S. Jiménez
45'
D
22
Yeison Tolosa
F
Yeison Tolosa
F
Best on the pitch
H. Palacios
M · Independiente
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 22 pass
Joider Micolta
F · Deportivo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
J. Montaño
M · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
D. Chávez
F · Deportivo
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 60 pass
Santiago Córdoba
F · Deportivo
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
J. Medina
F · Independiente
7.00
· 19 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ichazo | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Mena | D | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Varela | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Escorcia | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | — | — | — |
| E. Mena | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Loboa | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Montaño | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | M | 59 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Medina | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Martegani | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Perlaza | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Córdoba | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Klinger | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geovanni Banguera | G | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Hervin Goyes | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ossa | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M. Garavito | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Gil | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Serje | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Mancilla | M | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| D. Chávez | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 60 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Córdoba | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Joider Micolta | F | 64 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| E. A. Cabezas Quinonez | G | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| John Méndez | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Obregón | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Pisano | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Jiménez | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 3–2 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 24% to a draw, and 17% to an Deportivo Pasto win.