Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 09, 2026 02:00
F. Chaverra
(ast. D. Catano)
63'
4'
(ast. M. Amondarain)
T. Palacios
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Estudiantes L.P. 30%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Estudiantes L.P..
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
0.59
Actual xG
0.37
3
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
7
Corners
1
15
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
4'
ast. M. Amondarain ·
T. Palacios⚽
J. Montano
24'
24'
L. Piovi
36'
T. Palacios
D. Londono
37'
E. Mena Perea
/ D. Catano
46'
48'
T. Palacios
62'
J. Burgos
/
E. Cetre
62'
A. Castro
/
F. Farias
62'
A. Gaich
/
G. Carrillo
⚽F. Chaverra
· ast. D. Catano
63'
J. Montano
/ Yony Gonzalez
68'
82'
G. Benedetti
F. Fydriszewski
/ E. Larrosa
87'
90'
Gabriel Neves
/
M. Amondarain
90'
B. Aguirre
/
T. Palacios
90'
F. Muslera
Pre-match prediction
38.01%
Independiente
31.08%
X ←
30.91%
Estudiantes
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
0.59
-0.5
0.93
0.37
-0.56
xG dominance was balanced (0.59 – 0.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
E. Chaux
G
E. Chaux
G
18
F. Fabra
D
F. Fabra
D
33
D. Londoño
D
D. Londoño
D
24
J. Ortiz
D
J. Ortiz
D
2
L. Chaverra
D
L. Chaverra
D
20
J. Montaño
68'
M
J. Montaño
68'
M
8
Alexis Serna
M
Alexis Serna
M
14
B. Perlaza
M
B. Perlaza
M
26
E. Mena
45'
M
E. Mena
45'
M
19
F. Fydriszewski
87'
F
F. Fydriszewski
87'
F
13
F. Chaverra
1 ⚽
F
F. Chaverra
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
D. Cataño
1 👟
45'
M
D. Cataño
1 👟
45'
M
31
D. Moreno
M
D. Moreno
M
9
E. Larrosa
11'
F
16
H. Loboa
M
H. Loboa
M
30
H. Palacios
D
H. Palacios
D
5
L. Escorcia
D
L. Escorcia
D
11
Y. González
22'
F
Y. González
22'
F
16
F. Muslera
G
F. Muslera
G
13
G. Benedetti
D
G. Benedetti
D
24
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
D
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
D
14
L. González
D
L. González
D
20
E. Meza
D
E. Meza
D
18
E. Cetré
62'
M
E. Cetré
62'
M
21
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
M
32
M. Amondarain
1 👟
89'
M
M. Amondarain
1 👟
89'
M
10
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
89'
M
T. Palacios
1 ⚽
89'
M
11
F. Farías
62'
F
F. Farías
62'
F
9
G. Carrillo
62'
F
G. Carrillo
62'
F
Bench
22
A. Castro
28'
M
A. Castro
28'
M
19
A. Gaich
28'
F
A. Gaich
28'
F
28
B. Aguirre
8'
F
B. Aguirre
8'
F
40
E. Mancuso
D
E. Mancuso
D
29
F. Pérez Escudero
F
F. Pérez Escudero
F
8
G. Neves
9'
M
G. Neves
9'
M
7
J. Sosa
M
J. Sosa
M
27
L. Alario
F
L. Alario
F
26
R. Funes Mori
D
R. Funes Mori
D
4
S. Núñez
D
S. Núñez
D
Best on the pitch
F. Chaverra
F · Independiente
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 28 pass
T. Palacios
M · Estudiantes
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
T. Palacios
D · Estudiantes
7.30
1 ⚽
· 23 pass
F. Muslera
G · Estudiantes
7.20
· 22 pass
E. Mena
M · Independiente
7.20
· 13 pass
D. Cataño
M · Independiente
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Chaux | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Fabra | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Londoño | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Ortiz | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | — | — | — |
| L. Chaverra | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Montaño | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alexis Serna | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Perlaza | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Mena | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Fydriszewski | F | 87 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| F. Chaverra | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Cataño | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Larrosa | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Y. González | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Estudiantes L.P. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Muslera | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Benedetti | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. González | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| E. Meza | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Cetré | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ezequiel Piovi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Palacios | M | 89 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Farías | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Carrillo | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Castro | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Gaich | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Neves | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 1–1 Estudiantes L.P..
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Estudiantes L.P. win.