✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin
Agustín Martegani
(ast. John Montano)
32'
John Montano
(ast. Yony González)
70'
(pen.)
25'
Andrés Rentería
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 76% win probability (draw 13%, Jaguares 10%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–1 Jaguares. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Jaguares.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
7
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
3
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
17'
Andrés Rentería
23'
25'
(pen.)
Andrés Rentería⚽
⚽Agustín Martegani
· ast. John Montano
32'
Esneyder Mena
34'
37'
Jonathan Lovera
39'
Rafael Bustamante
Juan Quintero
/ Yony González
40'
Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
63'
66'
Johar Mejia
/
Darwin Lopez
⚽John Montano
· ast. Yony González
70'
Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
/ Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz
74'
75'
Duvan Rodriguez
/
Santiago Cubides
75'
Cristian Alvarez
/
Johan Beltrán
75'
Edwin martinez
/
Juan Pablo Arcila
John Montano
/ Nivaldo Yunior Erazo Hernandez
80'
Agustín Martegani
/ Diego Moreno
80'
Jeison Medina
/ Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez
80'
84'
Diego Zuluaga
/
Andrés Rentería
84'
Jonathan Lovera
Pre-match prediction
76.77%
Independiente ←
13.03%
X
10.2%
Jaguares
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
76.77%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.24
—
—
1.05
—
—
Lineups
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
26
Esneyder Mena
D
Esneyder Mena
D
19
Alfonso Simarra
D
Alfonso Simarra
D
4
Kevin Mantilla
D
Kevin Mantilla
D
30
H. Palacios
D
H. Palacios
D
21
Agustín Martegani
1 ⚽
80'
M
Agustín Martegani
1 ⚽
80'
M
6
Didier Moreno
M
Didier Moreno
M
20
John Edwin Montaño
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
John Edwin Montaño
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
8
J. Quintero
40'
M
J. Quintero
40'
M
34
Keiner Klinger
74'
M
Keiner Klinger
74'
M
9
Jeison Medina
80'
F
Jeison Medina
80'
F
Bench
14
Baldomero Perlaza
M
Baldomero Perlaza
M
32
Carlos Lucumi
10'
F
Carlos Lucumi
10'
F
31
Diego Moreno
10'
M
Diego Moreno
10'
M
16
Halam Loboa
16'
M
Halam Loboa
16'
M
5
Joaquin Varela
D
Joaquin Varela
D
39
Luis Escorcia
D
Luis Escorcia
D
24
Nivaldo Erazo
10'
M
Nivaldo Erazo
10'
M
1
Salvador Ichazo
G
Salvador Ichazo
G
11
Yony González
1 👟
50'
F
Yony González
1 👟
50'
F
1
Diego Martínez
G
Diego Martínez
G
23
J. Arcila
75'
D
J. Arcila
75'
D
29
Carlos Henao
D
Carlos Henao
D
6
Jonathan Lovera
84'
D
Jonathan Lovera
84'
D
4
Juan Franco
D
Juan Franco
D
24
Santiago Cubides
75'
M
Santiago Cubides
75'
M
21
Rafael Bustamante
M
Rafael Bustamante
M
5
Royscer Colpa
M
Royscer Colpa
M
17
Darwin Lopez
66'
M
Darwin Lopez
66'
M
11
A. Rentería
1 ⚽
84'
F
A. Rentería
1 ⚽
84'
F
16
Johan Beltrán
75'
F
Johan Beltrán
75'
F
Bench
19
C. Cantillo
M
C. Cantillo
M
10
Cristian Alvarez
15'
M
Cristian Alvarez
15'
M
28
Diego Zuluaga
6'
M
Diego Zuluaga
6'
M
8
Duvan Rodríguez
15'
F
Duvan Rodríguez
15'
F
14
E. Martínez
15'
D
E. Martínez
15'
D
27
Faber Gracia
M
Faber Gracia
M
12
Franklin Mosquera
G
Franklin Mosquera
G
3
Jerson Malagón
D
Jerson Malagón
D
9
Johar Mejía
24'
F
Johar Mejía
24'
F
Best on the pitch
John Edwin Montaño
M · Independiente
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots
· 26 pass
Agustín Martegani
M · Independiente
8.20
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 38 pass
Diego Martínez
G · Jaguares
7.32
· 30 pass
Alfonso Simarra
D · Independiente
7.25
· 59 pass
J. Quintero
M · Independiente
7.12
1 shots
· 25 pass
Kevin Mantilla
D · Independiente
7.05
· 53 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Chaux | G | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Esneyder Mena | D | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alfonso Simarra | D | 90 | 7.25 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Mantilla | D | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| Agustín Martegani | M | 80 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 7 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Didier Moreno | M | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | M | 80 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Quintero | M | 40 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Keiner Klinger | M | 74 | 6.27 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jeison Medina | F | 80 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlos Lucumi | F | 10 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Diego Moreno | M | 10 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Halam Loboa | M | 16 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Nivaldo Erazo | M | 10 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Yony González | F | 50 | 6.79 | — | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Martínez | G | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Arcila | D | 75 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Henao | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Lovera | D | 84 | 5.53 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Juan Franco | D | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Cubides | M | 75 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Rafael Bustamante | M | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Royscer Colpa | M | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Darwin Lopez | M | 66 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 84 | 6.47 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Johan Beltrán | F | 75 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Alvarez | M | 15 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Diego Zuluaga | M | 6 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Duvan Rodríguez | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | D | 15 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Johar Mejía | F | 24 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–1 Jaguares.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares?
The model assigned 76% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 13% to a draw, and 10% to an Jaguares win.