✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin
Agustín Martegani
(ast. John Montano)
32'
John Montano
(ast. Yony González)
70'
(pen.)
25'
Andrés Rentería
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 76% win probability (draw 13%, Jaguares 10%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–1 Jaguares. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Jaguares.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
7
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
3
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
17'
Andrés Rentería
23'
25'
(pen.)
Andrés Rentería⚽
⚽Agustín Martegani
· ast. John Montano
32'
Esneyder Mena
34'
37'
Jonathan Lovera
39'
Rafael Bustamante
Juan Quintero
/ Yony González
40'
Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
63'
66'
Johar Mejia
/
Darwin Lopez
⚽John Montano
· ast. Yony González
70'
Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
/ Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz
74'
75'
Duvan Rodriguez
/
Santiago Cubides
75'
Cristian Alvarez
/
Johan Beltrán
75'
Edwin martinez
/
Juan Pablo Arcila
John Montano
/ Nivaldo Yunior Erazo Hernandez
80'
Agustín Martegani
/ Diego Moreno
80'
Jeison Medina
/ Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez
80'
84'
Diego Zuluaga
/
Andrés Rentería
84'
Jonathan Lovera
Pre-match prediction
76.77%
Independiente ←
13.03%
X
10.2%
Jaguares
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin)
76.77%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.24
—
—
1.05
—
—
Lineups
25
E. Chaux
G
E. Chaux
G
26
E. Mena
D
E. Mena
D
19
A. Simarra
D
A. Simarra
D
4
K. Mantilla
D
K. Mantilla
D
30
H. Palacios
D
H. Palacios
D
21
A. Martegani
1 ⚽
80'
M
A. Martegani
1 ⚽
80'
M
6
D. Moreno
M
D. Moreno
M
20
J. Montaño
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
J. Montaño
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
8
J. Quintero
40'
M
J. Quintero
40'
M
34
K. Klinger
74'
M
K. Klinger
74'
M
9
J. Medina
80'
F
J. Medina
80'
F
Bench
14
B. Perlaza
M
B. Perlaza
M
32
C. Lucumi
10'
F
C. Lucumi
10'
F
31
D. Moreno
10'
M
D. Moreno
10'
M
16
H. Loboa
16'
M
H. Loboa
16'
M
5
J. Varela
D
J. Varela
D
39
L. Escorcia
D
L. Escorcia
D
24
N. Erazo
10'
M
N. Erazo
10'
M
1
S. Ichazo
G
S. Ichazo
G
11
Y. González
1 👟
50'
F
Y. González
1 👟
50'
F
1
D. Martínez
G
D. Martínez
G
23
J. Arcila
75'
D
J. Arcila
75'
D
29
C. Henao
D
C. Henao
D
6
J. Lovera
84'
D
J. Lovera
84'
D
4
J. Franco
D
J. Franco
D
24
S. Cubides
75'
M
S. Cubides
75'
M
21
R. Bustamante
M
R. Bustamante
M
5
R. Colpa
M
R. Colpa
M
17
D. López
66'
M
D. López
66'
M
11
A. Rentería
1 ⚽
84'
F
A. Rentería
1 ⚽
84'
F
16
E. Beltrán
75'
F
E. Beltrán
75'
F
Bench
10
C. Álvarez
15'
M
C. Álvarez
15'
M
19
C. Cantillo
M
C. Cantillo
M
8
D. Rodríguez
15'
F
D. Rodríguez
15'
F
28
D. Zuluaga
6'
M
D. Zuluaga
6'
M
14
E. Martínez
15'
D
E. Martínez
15'
D
27
F. Gracia
M
F. Gracia
M
12
F. Mosquera
G
F. Mosquera
G
3
J. Malagón
D
J. Malagón
D
9
J. Mejia
24'
F
J. Mejia
24'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Montaño
M · Independiente
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots
· 26 pass
A. Martegani
M · Independiente
8.20
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 38 pass
D. Martínez
G · Jaguares
7.32
· 30 pass
A. Simarra
D · Independiente
7.25
· 59 pass
J. Quintero
M · Independiente
7.12
1 shots
· 25 pass
K. Mantilla
D · Independiente
7.05
· 53 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Chaux | G | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mena | D | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Simarra | D | 90 | 7.25 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mantilla | D | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Martegani | M | 80 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 7 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Montaño | M | 80 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Quintero | M | 40 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Klinger | M | 74 | 6.27 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Medina | F | 80 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Lucumi | F | 10 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 10 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Loboa | M | 16 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Erazo | M | 10 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. González | F | 50 | 6.79 | — | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Jaguares — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Martínez | G | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Arcila | D | 75 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Henao | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lovera | D | 84 | 5.53 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | 1 |
| J. Franco | D | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Cubides | M | 75 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Bustamante | M | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Colpa | M | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| D. López | M | 66 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rentería | F | 84 | 6.47 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Beltrán | F | 75 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Álvarez | M | 15 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Rodríguez | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Zuluaga | M | 6 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | D | 15 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mejia | F | 24 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–1 Jaguares.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares?
The model assigned 76% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 13% to a draw, and 10% to an Jaguares win.