Independiente Medellin 2–1 Llaneros — pre-match prediction — Liga BetPlay — August 30, 2026

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Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 8 August 30, 2026 23:10 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Independiente Medellin

#5 · 19 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Llaneros

#9 · 14 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Medellin

J. Medina (ast. F. Fabra) 17'

J. Montano (ast. J. Quintero) 21'

44' (ast. J. Ramirez) F. Meza

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Llaneros 17%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–1 Llaneros. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Llaneros.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.77

Actual xG

0.53

Saves

50%

Possession

50%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Yony Gonzalez

⚽J. Medina · ast. F. Fabra

17'

⚽J. Montano · ast. J. Quintero

21'

28'

J. Contreras

28'

J. Castilla / D. Quintero ↕

44'

ast. J. Ramirez · F. Meza⚽

K. Mantilla

50'

54'

Kelvin Osorio

58'

L. Miranda / Kelvin Osorio ↕

58'

J. Escobar Salcedo / J. Medranda ↕

61'

L. Miranda

↕ J. Medina / C. Lucumi

63'

↕ J. Montano / K. Klinger

63'

↕ L. Escorcia / H. Loboa

63'

64'

J. Pertuz

73'

Y. Mena / J. Ramirez ↕

73'

B. Chury / F. Castaneda ↕

↕ Yony Gonzalez / J. Mena

77'

K. Klinger

78'

↕ F. Fabra / N. Erazo

83'

↕ A. Martegani / D. Moreno

83'

87'

N. Ospina / C. Cortes ↕

C. Lucumi

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

56.02%

Independiente ←

26.05%

17.93%

Llaneros

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 56.02% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Independiente

1.40

0.77

-0.63

Llaneros

0.65

0.53

-0.12

xG dominance was balanced (0.77 – 0.53). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	America de Cali	11	24
2	Bucaramanga	10	20
3	Millonarios	12	20
4	Atletico Nacional	9	19
5	Independiente Medellin	9	19
6	Deportivo Cali	10	18
7	Deportes Tolima	10	17
8	Santa Fe	10	16
9	Llaneros	10	14
10	Once Caldas	11	12
11	Águilas Doradas	9	11
12	Internacional de Bogota	11	11
13	Chico	10	11
14	Cucuta	10	9
15	Fortaleza FC	10	8
16	Deportivo Pasto	11	8
17	Alianza Valledupar	10	8
18	Deportivo Pereira	8	7
19	Jaguares	9	7
20	Junior	8	6

Lineups

Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1

E. Chaux G 6.50

F. Fabra 1 👟 84' D 7.00

J. Varela D 6.30

K. Mantilla D 6.90

L. Escorcia 63' D 6.20

A. Martegani 84' M 6.70

D. Moreno M 7.50

J. Montaño 1 ⚽ 63' M 7.20

J. Quintero 1 👟 M 7.20

Y. González 77' M 6.60

J. Medina 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.70

Bench

A. Simarra D

B. Perlaza M

C. Lucumi 30' F 6.70

D. Moreno 9' M 6.30

H. Loboa 30' M 7.00

J. Mena 16' D 6.30

K. Klinger 30' M 6.30

N. Erazo 9' M 6.70

S. Ichazo G

Llaneros 5-3-2

R. Romaña G 5.90

J. Medranda 58' D 6.30

F. Meza 1 ⚽ D 7.70

H. Mena D 6.90

D. Quintero 28' D 6.30

J. Pertúz D 6.00

K. Osorio 58' M 6.50

J. RamÃrez 1 👟 74' M 7.20

F. Castañeda 74' M 6.30

J. Contreras F 6.50

C. Cortés 87' F 6.30

Bench

B. Churi 19' M 6.30

J. Castilla 65' M 6.60

J. Escobar 35' M 6.70

Juan Loaiza G

L. Miranda 35' F 6.20

N. Ospina 6' F

Víctor Vidal D

Y. Mena 19' F 6.20

Best on the pitch

J. Medina

F · Independiente

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 14 pass

F. Meza

D · Llaneros

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 57 pass

D. Moreno

M · Independiente

7.50

· 52 pass

J. Montaño

M · Independiente

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 18 pass

J. Quintero

M · Independiente

7.20

1 👟

· 56 pass

J. RamÃrez

M · Llaneros

7.20

1 👟

· 43 pass

Independiente Medellin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Chaux	G	93	6.50	—	—	—	22	17%	—	—	—
F. Fabra	D	84	7.00	—	1	—	37	34%	1	—	—
J. Varela	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	50	39%	1	—	—
K. Mantilla	D	93	6.90	—	—	—	32	29%	1	1	—
L. Escorcia	D	63	6.20	—	—	—	21	17%	1	—	—
A. Martegani	M	84	6.70	—	—	1	30	30%	—	—	—
D. Moreno	M	93	7.50	—	—	—	52	46%	6	—	—
J. Montaño	M	63	7.20	1	—	2	18	14%	1	—	—
J. Quintero	M	93	7.20	—	1	—	56	46%	—	—	—
Y. González	M	77	6.60	—	—	2	15	12%	—	1	—
J. Medina	F	63	7.70	1	—	1	14	11%	1	—	—
C. Lucumi	F	30	6.70	—	—	—	5	4%	—	1	—
D. Moreno	M	9	6.30	—	—	1	13	12%	—	—	—
H. Loboa	M	30	7.00	—	—	—	11	10%	2	—	—
J. Mena	D	16	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	1	—	—
K. Klinger	M	30	6.30	—	—	—	11	10%	—	1	—
N. Erazo	M	9	6.70	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—

Llaneros — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Romaña	G	93	5.90	—	—	—	29	23%	—	—	—
J. Medranda	D	58	6.30	—	—	1	27	23%	2	—	—
F. Meza	D	93	7.70	1	—	1	57	47%	2	—	—
H. Mena	D	93	6.90	—	—	—	52	45%	2	—	—
D. Quintero	D	28	6.30	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
J. Pertúz	D	93	6.00	—	—	—	32	28%	1	1	—
K. Osorio	M	58	6.50	—	—	—	17	15%	2	1	—
J. RamÃrez	M	74	7.20	—	1	—	43	40%	2	—	—
F. Castañeda	M	74	6.30	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
J. Contreras	F	93	6.50	—	—	—	18	13%	—	1	—
C. Cortés	F	87	6.30	—	—	—	16	13%	—	—	—
B. Churi	M	19	6.30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Castilla	M	65	6.60	—	—	—	49	43%	—	—	—
J. Escobar	M	35	6.70	—	—	1	6	5%	—	—	—
L. Miranda	F	35	6.20	—	—	—	7	6%	—	1	—
N. Ospina	F	6	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Y. Mena	F	19	6.20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?

The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–1 Llaneros.

What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?

The model assigned 56% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 26% to a draw, and 17% to an Llaneros win.