35'
(ast. Juan Patiño)
Jefry Zapata
65'
(ast. Jefry Zapata)
Michael Barrios
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 43% win probability (draw 24%, Once Caldas 32%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 0–2 Once Caldas. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Once Caldas.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
0.42
Actual xG
0.61
3
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
3
7
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
Jorge Cardona
21'
Andres Colorado
35'
ast. Juan Patiño ·
Jefry Zapata⚽
Hayen Palacios
/ Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
45'
Didier Moreno
/ Diego Moreno
45'
Luis Escorcia
53'
57'
Juan Pablo Nieto
Yony González
/ Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez
64'
John Montano
/ Nivaldo Erazo
64'
65'
ast. Jefry Zapata ·
Michael Barrios⚽
79'
Dayro Moreno
/
Jefry Zapata
79'
Edwin Torres
/
Michael Barrios
Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz
81'
Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
82'
90'+3
Helieyker Guzman
/
Felipe Gomez
90'
Jaime Alvarado
/
Jader Quinones
Pre-match prediction
43.58%
Independiente
24.24%
X
32.18%
Once ←
we assigned to the actual result (Once Caldas)
32.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
0.42
-1.18
1.39
0.61
-0.78
xG dominance was balanced (0.42 – 0.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Salvador Ichazo
G
Salvador Ichazo
G
18
Frank Fabra
D
Frank Fabra
D
5
Joaquin Varela
D
Joaquin Varela
D
39
Luis Escorcia
D
Luis Escorcia
D
30
H. Palacios
45'
D
H. Palacios
45'
D
6
Didier Moreno
45'
M
Didier Moreno
45'
M
16
Halam Loboa
M
Halam Loboa
M
20
John Edwin Montaño
64'
M
John Edwin Montaño
64'
M
21
Agustín Martegani
M
Agustín Martegani
M
26
Esneyder Mena
M
Esneyder Mena
M
11
Yony González
64'
F
Yony González
64'
F
Bench
14
Baldomero Perlaza
M
Baldomero Perlaza
M
32
Carlos Lucumi
26'
F
Carlos Lucumi
26'
F
10
Daniel Cataño
M
Daniel Cataño
M
31
Diego Moreno
45'
M
Diego Moreno
45'
M
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
90
E. Larrosa
F
E. Larrosa
F
34
Keiner Klinger
45'
M
Keiner Klinger
45'
M
4
Kevin Mantilla
D
Kevin Mantilla
D
24
Nivaldo Erazo
26'
M
Nivaldo Erazo
26'
M
99
Felipe Parra
G
Felipe Parra
G
33
Juan Patiño
1 👟
D
Juan Patiño
1 👟
D
30
Daniel Londoño
D
Daniel Londoño
D
2
Jorge Cardona
D
Jorge Cardona
D
22
Juan David Cuesta
D
Juan David Cuesta
D
9
Pipe Gómez
89'
M
Pipe Gómez
89'
M
5
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
23
Andres Colorado
M
Andres Colorado
M
42
Jader Quinones
89'
M
Jader Quinones
89'
M
7
Michael Barrios
1 ⚽
79'
M
Michael Barrios
1 ⚽
79'
M
14
Jefry Zapata
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
Jefry Zapata
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
20
A. Roa
M
A. Roa
M
17
Dayro Moreno
11'
F
Dayro Moreno
11'
F
29
E. Torres
11'
F
E. Torres
11'
F
21
Helieyker Guzman
1'
F
Helieyker Guzman
1'
F
15
Jaime Alvarado
1'
M
Jaime Alvarado
1'
M
18
Jeider Riquett
D
Jeider Riquett
D
12
Jesús Camargo
G
Jesús Camargo
G
16
Juan Castaño
D
Juan Castaño
D
19
Tomas García
M
Tomas García
M
Best on the pitch
Jefry Zapata
F · Once
8.56
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 18 pass
Michael Barrios
M · Once
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Juan Patiño
D · Once
7.55
1 👟
· 33 pass
Juan David Cuesta
D · Once
7.50
1 shots
· 29 pass
Daniel Londoño
D · Once
7.23
· 48 pass
Andres Colorado
M · Once
6.91
1 shots
· 28 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvador Ichazo | G | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Frank Fabra | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Joaquin Varela | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Escorcia | D | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 47% | 0 | 1 | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 45 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Didier Moreno | M | 45 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Halam Loboa | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 36% | 0 | 1 | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | M | 64 | 6.02 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Agustín Martegani | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Esneyder Mena | M | 90 | 5.76 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Yony González | F | 64 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlos Lucumi | F | 26 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Diego Moreno | M | 45 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Keiner Klinger | M | 45 | 5.83 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Nivaldo Erazo | M | 26 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Parra | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Patiño | D | 90 | 7.55 | — | 1 | 0 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Londoño | D | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| Jorge Cardona | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 32% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Juan David Cuesta | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 89 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 45 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | M | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 38% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Andres Colorado | M | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jader Quinones | M | 89 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael Barrios | M | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Jefry Zapata | F | 79 | 8.56 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Dayro Moreno | F | 11 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Torres | F | 11 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Helieyker Guzman | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Jaime Alvarado | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 0–2 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 24% to a draw, and 32% to an Once Caldas win.