Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 23, 2026 00:00
J. Montano
(ast. Yony Gonzalez)
45'+4
J. Montano
(ast. J. Medina)
72'
(og)
46'
J. Varela
86'
(ast. Cuiabano)
C. Spinelli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Vasco DA Gama 28%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–2 Vasco DA Gama. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
1.32
Actual xG
0.89
3
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
6
18
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
H. Loboa
37'
⚽J. Montano
· ast. Yony Gonzalez
45'+4
46'
(og)
J. Varela⚽
58'
Cauan Barros
59'
M. Hinestroza
/
Adson
59'
J. Rojas
/
N. Moreira
68'
C. Spinelli
/
Brenner
Yony Gonzalez
/ D. Catano
70'
H. Loboa
/ J. Medina
70'
71'
Paulo Henrique
/
J. Rodriguez
⚽J. Montano
· ast. J. Medina
72'
80'
Ramon Rique
/
A. Gomez
J. Mena
/ L. Escorcia
80'
J. Cordoba
/ H. Palacios
83'
A. Martegani
/ D. Moreno
84'
86'
ast. Cuiabano ·
C. Spinelli⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.07%
Independiente
28.59%
X ←
28.35%
Vasco
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.27
1.32
-0.95
1.00
0.89
-0.11
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.89).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Eder Chaux
G
Eder Chaux
G
13
Jhan Mena
80'
D
Jhan Mena
80'
D
5
Joaquin Varela
1 ⚽
D
Joaquin Varela
1 ⚽
D
4
Kevin Mantilla
D
Kevin Mantilla
D
26
Esneyder Mena
D
Esneyder Mena
D
6
Didier Moreno
M
Didier Moreno
M
16
Halam Loboa
70'
M
Halam Loboa
70'
M
20
John Edwin Montaño
2 ⚽
M
John Edwin Montaño
2 ⚽
M
21
Agustín Martegani
84'
M
Agustín Martegani
84'
M
70
J. Córdoba
84'
M
J. Córdoba
84'
M
11
Yony González
1 👟
70'
F
Yony González
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
19
Alfonso Simarra
D
Alfonso Simarra
D
14
Baldomero Perlaza
M
Baldomero Perlaza
M
10
Daniel Cataño
26'
M
Daniel Cataño
26'
M
31
Diego Moreno
12'
M
Diego Moreno
12'
M
17
Geronimo Mancilla
F
Geronimo Mancilla
F
30
H. Palacios
12'
D
H. Palacios
12'
D
9
Jeison Medina
1 👟
26'
F
Jeison Medina
1 👟
26'
F
34
Keiner Klinger
M
Keiner Klinger
M
39
Luis Escorcia
16'
D
Luis Escorcia
16'
D
1
Salvador Ichazo
G
Salvador Ichazo
G
12
Simón Romero
G
Simón Romero
G
1
Leo Jardim
G
Leo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
1 👟
D
Cuiabano
1 👟
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
2
J. Rodríguez
71'
D
J. Rodríguez
71'
D
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
88
Cauan Barros
M
Cauan Barros
M
11
A. Gómez
80'
M
A. Gómez
80'
M
17
N. Moreira
59'
M
N. Moreira
59'
M
28
Adson
59'
M
Adson
59'
M
20
Brenner
70'
F
Brenner
70'
F
Bench
77
C. Spinelli
1 ⚽
26'
F
C. Spinelli
1 ⚽
26'
F
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
F
David
F
8
Jair
M
Jair
M
98
JP
M
JP
M
10
J. Rojas
37'
F
J. Rojas
37'
F
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
18
M. Hinestroza
37'
F
M. Hinestroza
37'
F
96
Paulo Henrique
25'
D
Paulo Henrique
25'
D
83
Ramon Rique
16'
M
Ramon Rique
16'
M
3
Tche Tche
M
Tche Tche
M
Best on the pitch
John Edwin Montaño
M · Independiente
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
C. Spinelli
F · Vasco
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
Yony González
F · Independiente
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
Cauan Barros
M · Vasco
7.00
· 54 pass
Brenner
F · Vasco
6.90
1 shots
· 19 pass
Adson
M · Vasco
6.90
1 shots
· 23 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Chaux | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jhan Mena | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Joaquin Varela | D | 96 | 6.00 | 1 | — | — | 58 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Mantilla | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Esneyder Mena | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| Didier Moreno | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Halam Loboa | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| John Edwin Montaño | M | 96 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Agustín Martegani | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Yony González | F | 70 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeison Medina | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Luis Escorcia | D | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Jardim | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gómez | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Moreira | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Adson | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 26 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Rojas | F | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–2 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Vasco DA Gama win.