Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 23, 2026 00:00
J. Montano
(ast. Yony Gonzalez)
45'+4
J. Montano
(ast. J. Medina)
72'
(og)
46'
J. Varela
86'
(ast. Cuiabano)
C. Spinelli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Medellin a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Vasco DA Gama 28%). The final result was Independiente Medellin 2–2 Vasco DA Gama. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Medellin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
1.32
Actual xG
0.89
3
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
6
18
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
H. Loboa
37'
⚽J. Montano
· ast. Yony Gonzalez
45'+4
46'
(og)
J. Varela⚽
58'
Cauan Barros
59'
M. Hinestroza
/
Adson
59'
J. Rojas
/
N. Moreira
68'
C. Spinelli
/
Brenner
Yony Gonzalez
/ D. Catano
70'
H. Loboa
/ J. Medina
70'
71'
Paulo Henrique
/
J. Rodriguez
⚽J. Montano
· ast. J. Medina
72'
80'
Ramon Rique
/
A. Gomez
J. Mena
/ L. Escorcia
80'
J. Cordoba
/ H. Palacios
83'
A. Martegani
/ D. Moreno
84'
86'
ast. Cuiabano ·
C. Spinelli⚽
Pre-match prediction
43.07%
Independiente
28.59%
X ←
28.35%
Vasco
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.27
1.32
-0.95
1.00
0.89
-0.11
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.89).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
E. Chaux
G
E. Chaux
G
13
J. Mena
80'
D
J. Mena
80'
D
5
J. Varela
1 ⚽
D
J. Varela
1 ⚽
D
4
K. Mantilla
D
K. Mantilla
D
26
E. Mena
D
E. Mena
D
6
D. Moreno
M
D. Moreno
M
16
H. Loboa
70'
M
H. Loboa
70'
M
20
J. Montaño
2 ⚽
M
J. Montaño
2 ⚽
M
21
A. Martegani
84'
M
A. Martegani
84'
M
70
Juan Córdoba
84'
M
Juan Córdoba
84'
M
11
Y. González
1 👟
70'
F
Y. González
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
19
A. Simarra
D
A. Simarra
D
14
B. Perlaza
M
B. Perlaza
M
10
Daniel Cataño
26'
M
Daniel Cataño
26'
M
31
D. Moreno
12'
M
D. Moreno
12'
M
17
Geronimo Mancilla
F
Geronimo Mancilla
F
30
H. Palacios
12'
D
H. Palacios
12'
D
9
J. Medina
1 👟
26'
F
J. Medina
1 👟
26'
F
34
K. Klinger
M
K. Klinger
M
39
L. Escorcia
16'
D
L. Escorcia
16'
D
1
S. Ichazo
G
S. Ichazo
G
12
Simón Romero
G
Simón Romero
G
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
1 👟
D
Cuiabano
1 👟
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
2
J. Rodríguez
71'
D
J. Rodríguez
71'
D
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
88
Cauan Barros
M
Cauan Barros
M
11
A. Gómez
80'
M
A. Gómez
80'
M
17
Nuno Moreira
59'
M
Nuno Moreira
59'
M
28
Adson
59'
M
Adson
59'
M
20
Brenner
70'
F
Brenner
70'
F
Bench
77
C. Spinelli
1 ⚽
26'
F
C. Spinelli
1 ⚽
26'
F
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
F
David
F
8
Jair
M
Jair
M
98
JP
M
JP
M
10
J. Rojas
37'
F
J. Rojas
37'
F
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
18
M. Hinestroza
37'
F
M. Hinestroza
37'
F
96
Paulo Henrique
25'
D
Paulo Henrique
25'
D
83
Ramon Rique
16'
M
Ramon Rique
16'
M
3
Tchê Tchê
M
Tchê Tchê
M
Best on the pitch
J. Montaño
M · Independiente
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
C. Spinelli
F · Vasco
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
Y. González
F · Independiente
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
Cauan Barros
M · Vasco
7.00
· 54 pass
Brenner
F · Vasco
6.90
1 shots
· 19 pass
Adson
M · Vasco
6.90
1 shots
· 23 pass
Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Chaux | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Mena | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Varela | D | 96 | 6.00 | 1 | — | — | 58 | 53% | — | — | — |
| K. Mantilla | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | — | — | — |
| E. Mena | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Loboa | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Montaño | M | 96 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Martegani | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Córdoba | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Y. González | F | 70 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Cataño | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Moreno | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Medina | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Escorcia | D | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gómez | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Adson | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 26 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Rojas | F | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Independiente Medellin 2–2 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Independiente Medellin win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Vasco DA Gama win.