División Profesional
· Apertura - 18
September 06, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Bolívar
24'
(ast. Carlos Melgar)
Billy Arce
43'
(ast. Jhon velasquez)
dorny romero
75'
(ast. Dairon Asprilla)
Billy Arce
86'
(ast. Damian Batallini)
Bruno Miranda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 55% win probability (draw 16%, Independiente Petrolero 28%). The final result was Independiente Petrolero 0–4 Bolívar. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Petrolero have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bolívar.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
20
2
Shots on target
5
1
Saves
2
37%
Possession
63%
0
Corners
4
12
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
G. Mendoza
10'
24'
ast. Carlos Melgar ·
Billy Arce⚽
Rodrigo Zamora
39'
43'
ast. Jhon velasquez ·
dorny romero⚽
C. Urdininea
/ Jefferson Carioca
45'
Gustavo Cristaldo
/ Saul Torres Rojas
58'
Gilbert Alvarez
/ Alan Mercado
58'
Willie
61'
Alan Mercado
63'
Saul Torres Rojas
70'
Willie
/ Diego Navarro
73'
75'
ast. Dairon Asprilla ·
Billy Arce⚽
78'
Carlos Sejas
/
Jhon velasquez
78'
John García
/
Billy Arce
82'
Martín Cauteruccio
/
Dairon Asprilla
82'
Damian Batallini
/
dorny romero
82'
Bruno Miranda
/
Leonel Justiniano
86'
ast. Damian Batallini ·
Bruno Miranda⚽
Pre-match prediction
28.24%
Independiente
16.39%
X
55.38%
Bolívar ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bolívar)
55.38%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.38
—
—
3.33
—
—
Lineups
1
J. Gutiérrez
G
J. Gutiérrez
G
34
G. Mendoza
D
G. Mendoza
D
3
L. Crescencio
D
L. Crescencio
D
28
W. Soleto
D
W. Soleto
D
77
R. Zamora
54'
D
R. Zamora
54'
D
6
D. Rojas
M
D. Rojas
M
14
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
45'
M
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
45'
M
19
G. Cristaldo
58'
M
G. Cristaldo
58'
M
93
Willie
73'
M
Willie
73'
M
7
R. Cardozo
M
R. Cardozo
M
91
G. Álvarez
58'
F
G. Álvarez
58'
F
Bench
20
A. Mercado
32'
M
A. Mercado
32'
M
27
D. Navarro
17'
D
D. Navarro
17'
D
99
Ferreirinha
45'
M
Ferreirinha
45'
M
15
J. Bejarano
M
J. Bejarano
M
12
Jhunior Vera
G
Jhunior Vera
G
4
L. Rodríguez
D
L. Rodríguez
D
5
Luis Braihan Palma Escobar
D
Luis Braihan Palma Escobar
D
39
P. Grass
D
P. Grass
D
50
Roni Santos
D
Roni Santos
D
22
R. Rocabado
M
R. Rocabado
M
2
S. Torres
12'
F
S. Torres
12'
F
1
C. Lampe
G
C. Lampe
G
4
Jose Sagredo
D
Jose Sagredo
D
3
X. Arreaga
D
X. Arreaga
D
5
S. Echeverría
D
S. Echeverría
D
35
E. Rivero
D
E. Rivero
D
7
J. Velásquez
1 👟
78'
M
J. Velásquez
1 👟
78'
M
80
C. Melgar
1 👟
M
C. Melgar
1 👟
M
23
L. Justiniano
82'
M
L. Justiniano
82'
M
77
D. Romero
1 ⚽
82'
M
D. Romero
1 ⚽
82'
M
10
B. Arce
2 ⚽
78'
F
B. Arce
2 ⚽
78'
F
27
D. Asprilla
1 👟
82'
F
D. Asprilla
1 👟
82'
F
Bench
11
B. Miranda
1 ⚽
8'
F
B. Miranda
1 ⚽
8'
F
20
C. Sejas
12'
M
C. Sejas
12'
M
99
D. Batallini
1 👟
8'
F
D. Batallini
1 👟
8'
F
6
E. Vaca
M
E. Vaca
M
33
F. Mena
D
F. Mena
D
19
J. García
12'
M
J. García
12'
M
12
J. Morales
G
J. Morales
G
2
Jose Sagredo
D
Jose Sagredo
D
18
L. Chávez
M
L. Chávez
M
8
L. Paz
D
L. Paz
D
16
L. Zabala
D
L. Zabala
D
9
M. Cauteruccio
8'
F
M. Cauteruccio
8'
F
Best on the pitch
B. Arce
F · Bolívar
9.10
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 37 pass
D. Romero
M · Bolívar
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
C. Melgar
M · Bolívar
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 74 pass
J. Velásquez
M · Bolívar
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
B. Miranda
F · Bolívar
7.45
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
D. Asprilla
F · Bolívar
7.27
1 👟
2 shots
· 12 pass
Independiente Petrolero — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gutiérrez | G | 90 | 5.53 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Mendoza | D | 90 | 5.40 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Crescencio | D | 90 | 5.36 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Soleto | D | 90 | 5.73 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Zamora | D | 54 | 4.89 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | 1 |
| D. Rojas | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana | M | 45 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Cristaldo | M | 58 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Willie | M | 73 | 6.35 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Cardozo | M | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Álvarez | F | 58 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Mercado | M | 32 | 5.94 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Navarro | D | 17 | 5.61 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | M | 45 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Torres | F | 12 | 5.24 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | 1 |
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lampe | G | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Jose Sagredo | D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| X. Arreaga | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Echeverría | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 45% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Rivero | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Velásquez | M | 78 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Melgar | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 74 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Justiniano | M | 82 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Romero | M | 82 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Arce | F | 78 | 9.10 | 2 | — | 4 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Asprilla | F | 82 | 7.27 | — | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Miranda | F | 8 | 7.45 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Sejas | M | 12 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Batallini | F | 8 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. García | M | 12 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Cauteruccio | F | 8 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar?
The final score was Independiente Petrolero 0–4 Bolívar.
What did the model predict before Independiente Petrolero vs Bolívar?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Independiente Petrolero win, 16% to a draw, and 55% to an Bolívar win.