← Copa Sudamericana
Copa Sudamericana · Group Stage - 4 May 06, 2026 00:00
Independiente Petrolero
#4 · 0 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Caracas FC
#2 · 8 pts
R. Rivas (ast. R. Cardozo) 55'
J. E. Cristaldo (ast. R. Montero) 59'
(og) 4' F. Rodriguez
15' (ast. I. Gudino) A. Fernandez
67' W. Correa

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Caracas FC a 36% win probability (draw 27%, Independiente Petrolero 35%). The final result was Independiente Petrolero 2–3 Caracas FC. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Petrolero have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Caracas FC.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
13
8
Shots on target
9
1.66
Actual xG
2.56
7
Saves
6
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
5
20
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
4'
(og) F. Rodriguez⚽
15'
ast. I. Gudino · A. Fernandez⚽
S. Torres
28'
↕ A. Mercado / L. Montenegro
34'
↕ F. Rodriguez / Wagner Pinote
46'
↕ G. Cristaldo / R. Rivas
46'
46'
L. Reinoso / M. Covea ↕
⚽R. Rivas · ast. R. Cardozo
55'
57'
E. E. Fereira Penaranda
⚽J. E. Cristaldo · ast. R. Montero
59'
67'
W. Correa⚽
82'
R. Lezama / Robert Hernandez ↕
↕ R. Cardozo / R. Lutkowski
82'
83'
M. Marquez / W. Correa ↕
83'
S. Gonzalez / A. Fernandez ↕
↕ D. Rojas / Adelan
83'
90'+1
I. Gudino
90'+4
F. La Mantia / L. Reinoso ↕
Pre-match prediction
35.78%
Independiente
27.94%
X
36.28%
Caracas ←
we assigned to the actual result (Caracas FC) 36.28% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.31
1.66
+0.35
Caracas
1.40
2.56
+1.16
Caracas FC dominated by xG (2.56 vs 1.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 4 9
1 Cienciano Cienciano 4 7
1 Botafogo Botafogo 4 10
1 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4 7
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4 8
1 River Plate River Plate 4 10
1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4 6
1 Macara Macara 4 8
2 Gremio Gremio 4 7
2 Olimpia Olimpia 4 7
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 4 6
2 America de Cali America de Cali 4 7
2 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 4 6
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4 5
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 4 7
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4 8
3 Racing Club Racing Club 4 4
3 Juventud Juventud 4 5
3 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 4 4
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 4 4
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 4 6
3 Tigre Tigre 4 5
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 4 4
3 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 4 3
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4 1
4 Santos Santos 4 3
4 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4 4
4 Boston River Boston River 4 0
4 Blooming Blooming 4 1
4 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4 0
4 Palestino Palestino 4 2
Lineups
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4-3-3
1
G 7.90
4
F. Rodriguez 1 ⚽ 45' D 6.00
16
R. Montero 1 👟 D 7.20
5
Luis Palma D 6.30
2
S. Torres 28' D 4.90
93
Willie M 6.60
6
Daniel Rojas 83' M 7.20
19
G. Cristaldo 45' M 7.20
7
R. Cardozo 1 👟 82' F 7.50
9
J. E. Cristaldo 1 ⚽ F 7.90
20
A. Mercado 34' F 6.20
Bench
88
Adelan Santos Da Silva 13' M 6.70
50
Diego Vargas D
27
D. Navarro F
32
H. Leanos D
13
L. Montenegro 56' D 6.90
11
R. Lutkowski 8' F 6.50
23
R. Rivas 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.20
Caracas FC Caracas FC 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
13
J. Yendis D 6.90
19
Luis Mago D 6.30
4
J. Quintero D 6.90
2
E. E. Fereira Penaranda D 5.90
8
I. Gudino 1 👟 M 6.70
15
C. Larotonda M 6.90
7
Robert Hernandez 82' M 5.90
10
M. Covea 45' M 6.70
33
W. Correa 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.60
9
Adrián Fernández 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.90
Bench
22
A. Figueroa M
37
Charly Vegas F
14 F. La Mantia F. La Mantia 1' D
20
L. A. Maestre Nino M
3
L. Pagano D
17
L. Reinoso 44' F 6.90
11
M. Marquez 13' F 6.50
35
R. Lezama 8' F 6.70
27
S. Gonzalez 13' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Adrián Fernández
F · Caracas
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
J. E. Cristaldo
F · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 20 pass
G · Independiente
7.90
· 23 pass
W. Correa
M · Caracas
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
R. Cardozo
F · Independiente
7.50
1 👟
3 shots · 44 pass
R. Montero
D · Independiente
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 42 pass
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 23 19% — — —
F. Rodriguez D 45 6.00 1 — — 24 16% 2 — —
R. Montero D 90 7.20 — 1 1 42 37% 3 — —
Luis Palma D 90 6.30 — — 1 50 41% 7 — —
S. Torres D 28 4.90 — — — 10 8% 1 — 1
Willie M 90 6.60 — — 3 49 39% 1 — —
Daniel Rojas M 83 7.20 — — 2 63 56% 3 — —
G. Cristaldo M 45 7.20 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
R. Cardozo F 82 7.50 — 1 3 44 40% 2 — —
J. E. Cristaldo F 90 7.90 1 — 5 20 18% — — —
A. Mercado F 34 6.20 — — 1 9 7% — — —
Adelan Santos Da Silva M 13 6.70 — — — 7 5% — — —
L. Montenegro D 56 6.90 — — 1 35 32% — — —
R. Lutkowski F 8 6.50 — — — 1 — — — —
R. Rivas F 45 7.20 1 — 1 9 5% — — —
Caracas FC Caracas FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 28 19% — — —
J. Yendis D 90 6.90 — — — 33 29% 1 — —
Luis Mago D 90 6.30 — — 2 25 21% — — —
J. Quintero D 90 6.90 — — 2 30 27% 1 — —
E. E. Fereira Penaranda D 90 5.90 — — — 18 14% — 1 —
I. Gudino M 90 6.70 — 1 1 33 31% 1 1 —
C. Larotonda M 90 6.90 — — — 36 30% 3 — —
Robert Hernandez M 82 5.90 — — — 26 18% — — —
M. Covea M 45 6.70 — — — 21 19% — — —
W. Correa M 83 7.60 1 — 4 17 13% 2 — —
Adrián Fernández F 83 7.90 1 — 3 26 18% — — —
F. La Mantia D 1 — — — — — — — — —
L. Reinoso F 44 6.90 — — 1 16 14% 1 — —
M. Marquez F 13 6.50 — — — 4 2% — — —
R. Lezama F 8 6.70 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
S. Gonzalez F 13 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC?
The final score was Independiente Petrolero 2–3 Caracas FC.
What did the model predict before Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Independiente Petrolero win, 27% to a draw, and 36% to an Caracas FC win.