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Copa Sudamericana · Group Stage - 4 May 06, 2026 00:00
Independiente Petrolero
2 – 3
Final score
Caracas FC
#2 · 9 pts
R. Rivas (ast. R. Cardozo) 55'
J. E. Cristaldo (ast. R. Montero) 59'
(og) 4' F. Rodriguez
15' (ast. I. Gudino) A. Fernandez
67' W. Correa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Caracas FC a 36% win probability (draw 27%, Independiente Petrolero 35%). The final result was Independiente Petrolero 2–3 Caracas FC. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente Petrolero have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Caracas FC.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
13
8
Shots on target
9
1.66
Actual xG
2.56
7
Saves
6
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
5
20
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
4'
(og) F. Rodriguez⚽
15'
ast. I. Gudino · A. Fernandez⚽
S. Torres
28'
↕ A. Mercado / L. Montenegro
34'
↕ F. Rodriguez / Wagner Pinote
46'
↕ G. Cristaldo / R. Rivas
46'
46'
L. Reinoso / M. Covea ↕
⚽R. Rivas · ast. R. Cardozo
55'
57'
E. E. Fereira Penaranda
⚽J. E. Cristaldo · ast. R. Montero
59'
67'
W. Correa⚽
82'
R. Lezama / Robert Hernandez ↕
↕ R. Cardozo / R. Lutkowski
82'
83'
M. Marquez / W. Correa ↕
83'
S. Gonzalez / A. Fernandez ↕
↕ D. Rojas / Adelan
83'
90'+1
I. Gudino
90'+4
F. La Mantia / L. Reinoso ↕
Pre-match prediction
35.78%
Independiente
27.94%
X
36.28%
Caracas ←
we assigned to the actual result (Caracas FC) 36.28% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Independiente
1.31
1.66
+0.35
Caracas
1.40
2.56
+1.16
Caracas FC dominated by xG (2.56 vs 1.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Macara Macara 6 10
1 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 6 10
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 6 12
1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 6 8
1 Botafogo Botafogo 6 16
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 6 13
1 Olimpia Olimpia 6 13
1 River Plate River Plate 6 14
2 Gremio Gremio 6 11
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 6 9
2 Cienciano Cienciano 6 8
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 6 10
2 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 6 10
2 Santos Santos 6 7
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 6 10
2 Tigre Tigre 6 9
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 6 7
3 Millonarios Millonarios 6 8
3 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 6 7
3 Racing Club Racing Club 6 8
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 6 5
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 6 9
3 America de Cali America de Cali 6 9
3 Juventud Juventud 6 7
4 Boston River Boston River 6 3
4 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 6 6
4 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 6 7
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 6 2
4 Independiente Independiente 6 0
4 Blooming Blooming 6 1
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 6 3
4 Palestino Palestino 6 3
Lineups
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4-3-3
1
G 7.90
4 F. Rodríguez F. Rodríguez 1 ⚽ 45' D 6.00
16 Ronny Montero Ronny Montero 1 👟 D 7.20
5 Luis Braihan Palma Escobar Luis Braihan Palma Escobar D 6.30
2 S. Torres S. Torres 28' D 4.90
93 Willie Willie M 6.60
6 D. Rojas D. Rojas 83' M 7.20
19 G. Cristaldo G. Cristaldo 45' M 7.20
7 R. Cardozo R. Cardozo 1 👟 82' F 7.50
9 J. Cristaldo J. Cristaldo 1 ⚽ F 7.90
20 A. Mercado A. Mercado 34' F 6.20
Bench
88 Adelan Santos Da Silva Adelan Santos Da Silva 13' M 6.70
50 Diego Vargas Diego Vargas D
27 D. Navarro D. Navarro F
32 Heber Leanos Heber Leanos D
13
L. Montenegro 56' D 6.90
11 Rafael Lutkowski Rafael Lutkowski 8' F 6.50
23 R. Rivas R. Rivas 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.20
Caracas FC Caracas FC 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
13 Jesus Yendis Jesus Yendis D 6.90
19 L. Del Pino L. Del Pino D 6.30
4
J. Quintero D 6.90
2 Eduardo Fereira Eduardo Fereira D 5.90
8
I. Gudiño 1 👟 M 6.70
15
C. Larotonda M 6.90
7
R. Hernández 82' M 5.90
10
M. Covea 45' M 6.70
33
W. Correa 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.60
9 A. Fernández A. Fernández 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.90
Bench
22
Á. Figueroa M
37 Charly Vegas Charly Vegas F
14 F. La Mantia F. La Mantia 1' D
17
L. Reinoso 44' F 6.90
3 Luigi Pagano Luigi Pagano D
20 Luis Maestre Luis Maestre M
11 Mauricio Márquez Mauricio Márquez 13' F 6.50
35
R. Lezama 8' F 6.70
27
S. Gonzalez 13' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
A. Fernández
A. Fernández
F · Caracas
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
J. Cristaldo
J. Cristaldo
F · Independiente
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 20 pass
G · Independiente
7.90
· 23 pass
W. Correa
M · Caracas
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
R. Cardozo
R. Cardozo
F · Independiente
7.50
1 👟
3 shots · 44 pass
Ronny Montero
Ronny Montero
D · Independiente
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 42 pass
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 23 19% — — —
F. Rodríguez D 45 6.00 1 — — 24 16% 2 — —
Ronny Montero D 90 7.20 — 1 1 42 37% 3 — —
Luis Braihan Palma Escobar D 90 6.30 — — 1 50 41% 7 — —
S. Torres D 28 4.90 — — — 10 8% 1 — 1
Willie M 90 6.60 — — 3 49 39% 1 — —
D. Rojas M 83 7.20 — — 2 63 56% 3 — —
G. Cristaldo M 45 7.20 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
R. Cardozo F 82 7.50 — 1 3 44 40% 2 — —
J. Cristaldo F 90 7.90 1 — 5 20 18% — — —
A. Mercado F 34 6.20 — — 1 9 7% — — —
Adelan Santos Da Silva M 13 6.70 — — — 7 5% — — —
L. Montenegro D 56 6.90 — — 1 35 32% — — —
Rafael Lutkowski F 8 6.50 — — — 1 — — — —
R. Rivas F 45 7.20 1 — 1 9 5% — — —
Caracas FC Caracas FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 28 19% — — —
Jesus Yendis D 90 6.90 — — — 33 29% 1 — —
L. Del Pino D 90 6.30 — — 2 25 21% — — —
J. Quintero D 90 6.90 — — 2 30 27% 1 — —
Eduardo Fereira D 90 5.90 — — — 18 14% — 1 —
I. Gudiño M 90 6.70 — 1 1 33 31% 1 1 —
C. Larotonda M 90 6.90 — — — 36 30% 3 — —
R. Hernández M 82 5.90 — — — 26 18% — — —
M. Covea M 45 6.70 — — — 21 19% — — —
W. Correa M 83 7.60 1 — 4 17 13% 2 — —
A. Fernández F 83 7.90 1 — 3 26 18% — — —
F. La Mantia D 1 — — — — — — — — —
L. Reinoso F 44 6.90 — — 1 16 14% 1 — —
Mauricio Márquez F 13 6.50 — — — 4 2% — — —
R. Lezama F 8 6.70 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
S. Gonzalez F 13 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC?
The final score was Independiente Petrolero 2–3 Caracas FC.
What did the model predict before Independiente Petrolero vs Caracas FC?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Independiente Petrolero win, 27% to a draw, and 36% to an Caracas FC win.