✓Model correct — prediction Independiente Petrolero
R. Zamora
29'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Petrolero a 62% win probability (draw 21%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 16%). The final result was Independiente Petrolero 1–0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
2
0.84
Actual xG
1.59
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
4
Match Events
⚽R. Zamora
29'
R. Cardozo
44'
D. Navarro
44'
46'
J. Goyeneche
/
L. Zeballos
46'
J. Ramallo
/
A. Aramayo
R. Zamora
/ K. Sanchez
46'
Gean
/ A. Mercado
46'
C. Urdininea
/ S. Torres
46'
46'
R. Ferrufino
/
Matheus Moresche
S. Torres
47'
A. Mercado
58'
A. Mercado
58'
64'
S. Pinto
/
E. Quispe
72'
G. Arauz
75'
R. Monteiro
/
L. Vargas
R. Cardozo
/ J. Bejarano
77'
G. Cristaldo
/ L. Palma
78'
Pre-match prediction
62.14%
Independiente ←
21.64%
X
16.22%
Gualberto
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Petrolero)
62.14%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
0.84
-1.03
0.54
1.59
+1.06
Gualberto Villarroel SJ dominated by xG (1.59 vs 0.84).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?
The final score was Independiente Petrolero 1–0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ.
What did the model predict before Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Independiente Petrolero win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Gualberto Villarroel SJ win.