División Profesional
· Apertura - 4
April 25, 2026 02:00
J. Villavicencio
45'+1
Willie
(ast. J. Villavicencio)
56'
73'
(ast. H. Dorrego)
A. Jara
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente Petrolero a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Universitario de Vinto 30%). The final result was Independiente Petrolero 2–1 Universitario de Vinto.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
4
1.49
Actual xG
1.19
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
6
Match Events
⚽J. Villavicencio
45'+1
45'
G. Cuellar
⚽Willie
· ast. J. Villavicencio
56'
57'
J. Lazarte
/
M. Cuadiay Fernandez
61'
J. Valencia
/
Jose Pinto
F. Rodriguez
/ H. Leanos
64'
G. Cristaldo
/ D. Vargas
64'
S. Torres
71'
72'
M. Gomez
/
G. Cuellar
72'
Y. Mamani
/
J. Calicho
72'
H. Dorrego
/
D. A. Camacho Almanza
D. Rojas
/ D. Navarro
72'
73'
ast. H. Dorrego ·
A. Jara⚽
J. E. Cristaldo
/ D. Claros
77'
S. Torres
/ L. Palma
77'
L. Montenegro
82'
Pre-match prediction
39.07%
Independiente ←
30.49%
X
30.44%
Universitario
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Petrolero)
39.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
1.49
-0.71
1.18
1.19
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.49 – 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
2
S. Torres
S. Torres
16
Ronny Montero
Ronny Montero
13
L. Montenegro
4
F. Rodríguez
F. Rodríguez
19
G. Cristaldo
G. Cristaldo
6
D. Rojas
D. Rojas
93
Willie
1 ⚽
Willie
1 ⚽
59
Roberto Villavicencio
1 ⚽
1 👟
Roberto Villavicencio
1 ⚽
1 👟
9
J. Cristaldo
J. Cristaldo
7
R. Cardozo
R. Cardozo
Bench
27
D. Navarro
D. Navarro
50
D. Vargas
D. Vargas
32
Heber Leanos
Heber Leanos
5
L. Palma
1
17
10
J. Torrico
J. Torrico
34
A. Jara
1 ⚽
A. Jara
1 ⚽
28
J. Pinto
J. Pinto
21
G. Cuellar
24
H. Rodríguez
H. Rodríguez
30
M. Cuadiay Fernandez
M. Cuadiay Fernandez
9
A. Llano
A. Llano
8
D. Camacho
D. Camacho
22
J. Calicho
J. Calicho
Bench
4
B. Lopez
23
E. F. Straccia
7
H. Dorrego
1 👟
70
J. Lazarte
J. Lazarte
20
J. Valencia
Independiente Petrolero — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| S. Torres | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ronny Montero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| L. Montenegro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F. Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| G. Cristaldo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D. Rojas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Willie | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Roberto Villavicencio | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Cristaldo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| R. Cardozo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Universitario de Vinto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| J. Torrico | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Jara | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Pinto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| G. Cuellar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| H. Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Cuadiay Fernandez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Llano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D. Camacho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Calicho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
The final score was Independiente Petrolero 2–1 Universitario de Vinto.
What did the model predict before Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Independiente Petrolero win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Universitario de Vinto win.