Liga Profesional
· Apertura - 15
April 19, 2026 00:30
✓Model correct — prediction Independiente
G. Avalos
15'
(pen.)
M. Gutierrez
(ast. G. Avalos)
29'
L. Millan
(ast. F. Tempone)
90'
(pen.)
8'
A. Molinas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Defensa Y Justicia 20%). The final result was Independiente 3–1 Defensa Y Justicia.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
5
16
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
8'
(pen.)
A. Molinas⚽
⚽G. Avalos
(pen.)
15'
⚽M. Gutierrez
· ast. G. Avalos
29'
Facundo Zabala
35'
46'
C. Perez
/
F. Altamira
Mateo Perez
52'
59'
Santiago Sosa
M. Perez Curci
/ Rodrigo Fernandez
68'
I. Malcorra
/ L. Millan
68'
71'
E. Banega
/
S. Sosa
71'
A. Hausch
/
A. Coria
71'
D. Caceres
/
D. Martinez
M. Gutierrez
/ S. Montiel
75'
80'
Ayrton Portillo
G. Avalos
/ F. Tempone
85'
85'
D. Fernandez
/
A. Portillo
⚽L. Millan
· ast. F. Tempone
90'
Pre-match prediction
55.34%
Independiente ←
24.14%
X
20.52%
Defensa
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente)
55.34%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.17
—
—
1.10
—
—
Lineups
33
G
22
F. Zabala
D
F. Zabala
D
36
Sebastián Valdez
D
Sebastián Valdez
D
26
Kevin Lomónaco
D
Kevin Lomónaco
D
4
D
40
V. Malcorra
68'
M
V. Malcorra
68'
M
23
I. Marcone
M
I. Marcone
M
16
M. Perez
68'
M
M. Perez
68'
M
19
M. Abaldo
F
M. Abaldo
F
9
G. Ávalos
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
F
G. Ávalos
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
F
28
M. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
75'
F
M. Gutiérrez
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
43
Facundo Valdéz
F
Facundo Valdéz
F
8
Lautaro Millán
1 ⚽
22'
M
Lautaro Millán
1 ⚽
22'
M
3
M. Valenzuela
D
M. Valenzuela
D
7
S. Montiel
15'
F
S. Montiel
15'
F
22
G
29
D. Fernández
D
D. Fernández
D
6
E. Amor
D
E. Amor
D
33
D
21
D. Martínez
71'
M
D. Martínez
71'
M
10
A. Molinas
1 ⚽
M
A. Molinas
1 ⚽
M
15
S. Sosa
71'
M
S. Sosa
71'
M
16
A. Portillo
85'
M
A. Portillo
85'
M
31
A. Coria
71'
F
25
Facundo Altamira
45'
F
Facundo Altamira
45'
F
24
J. Gutiérrez
F
J. Gutiérrez
F
Bench
17
A. Hausch
19'
F
A. Hausch
19'
F
8
C. Pérez
45'
M
C. Pérez
45'
M
19
D. Barbona
F
D. Barbona
F
26
D. Cáceres
19'
D
D. Cáceres
19'
D
27
E. Pereyra
D
E. Pereyra
D
Best on the pitch
M. Gutiérrez
F · Independiente
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
Lautaro Millán
M · Independiente
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
I. Marcone
M · Independiente
7.60
· 39 pass
G. Ávalos
F · Independiente
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 20 pass
F. Zabala
D · Independiente
7.30
1 shots
· 50 pass
Kevin Lomónaco
D · Independiente
7.20
· 57 pass
Independiente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| F. Zabala | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Valdez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Lomónaco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | 1 | — | — | |
| V. Malcorra | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Marcone | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Perez | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Abaldo | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 85 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Gutiérrez | F | 75 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Millán | M | 22 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Montiel | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Defensa Y Justicia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| D. Fernández | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Amor | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 2 | — | — | |
| D. Martínez | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Molinas | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 60 | 48% | — | — | — |
| S. Sosa | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Portillo | M | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Coria | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Altamira | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gutiérrez | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Hausch | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Pérez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Cáceres | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente vs Defensa Y Justicia?
The final score was Independiente 3–1 Defensa Y Justicia.
What did the model predict before Independiente vs Defensa Y Justicia?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Independiente win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Defensa Y Justicia win.