Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 2
July 31, 2026 02:15
S. Montiel
41'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente a 48% win probability (draw 32%, Newells Old Boys 19%). The final result was Independiente 1–0 Newells Old Boys. In 1 previous meetings, Independiente have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Newells Old Boys.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
1
0.59
Actual xG
0.11
1
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
2
28
Tackles
28
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
T. Rios
/
W. Nunez
⚽S. Montiel
41'
J. Fedorco
43'
46'
A. Sonora
/
W. Mazzantti
M. Abaldo
/ M. Meza
46'
S. Valdez
/ K. Lomonaco
64'
M. Perez Curci
/ D. Martinez
64'
69'
M. Coccaro
/
I. Ramirez
69'
J. Russo
/
F. Guch
73'
L. Regiardo
L. Godoy
/ S. Arias
75'
77'
F. Escobar
82'
F. Scarpeccio
/
M. Luciano
S. Montiel
/ L. Cabral
87'
D. Martinez
88'
90'+1
F. Scarpeccio
Pre-match prediction
48.22%
Independiente ←
32.35%
X
19.43%
Newells
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente)
48.22%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.59
-0.4
0.57
0.11
-0.46
Independiente dominated by xG (0.59 vs 0.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
33
R. Rey
G
R. Rey
G
22
F. Zabala
D
F. Zabala
D
36
Sebastián Valdez
64'
D
Sebastián Valdez
64'
D
13
J. Fedorco
D
J. Fedorco
D
29
L. Godoy
75'
D
L. Godoy
75'
D
23
I. Marcone
M
I. Marcone
M
16
M. Perez
64'
M
M. Perez
64'
M
19
M. Abaldo
45'
M
M. Abaldo
45'
M
7
S. Montiel
1 ⚽
87'
M
S. Montiel
1 ⚽
87'
M
28
M. Gutiérrez
M
M. Gutiérrez
M
9
G. Ávalos
F
G. Ávalos
F
Bench
32
D. Martínez
27'
M
D. Martínez
27'
M
18
Facundo Valdéz
F
Facundo Valdéz
F
34
F. Tempone
F
F. Tempone
F
35
J. Arrayago
D
J. Arrayago
D
1
Joaquín Blázquez
G
Joaquín Blázquez
G
37
Joel Medina
M
Joel Medina
M
3
Jonathan De Irastorza
D
Jonathan De Irastorza
D
26
Kevin Lomónaco
27'
D
Kevin Lomónaco
27'
D
14
Lautaro Millán
M
Lautaro Millán
M
10
L. Cabral
4'
M
L. Cabral
4'
M
8
M. Meza
46'
F
M. Meza
46'
F
4
S. Arias
16'
D
S. Arias
16'
D
30
J. Reinatti
G
J. Reinatti
G
3
M. Luciano
82'
D
M. Luciano
82'
D
17
L. Gianetti
D
L. Gianetti
D
25
B. Cabrera
D
B. Cabrera
D
24
F. Escobar
D
F. Escobar
D
5
L. Regiardo
M
L. Regiardo
M
8
D. Sotelo
M
D. Sotelo
M
33
W. Núñez
31'
M
W. Núñez
31'
M
20
Facundo Gauch
69'
M
Facundo Gauch
69'
M
7
W. Mazzantti
45'
M
W. Mazzantti
45'
M
99
I. Ramírez
69'
F
I. Ramírez
69'
F
Bench
15
A. Soñora
46'
M
A. Soñora
46'
M
35
Blas Benedetto
M
Blas Benedetto
M
36
Francisco Scarpeccio
9'
F
Francisco Scarpeccio
9'
F
21
G. Arias
G
G. Arias
G
2
Ian Glavinovich
D
Ian Glavinovich
D
28
J. Russo
22'
F
J. Russo
22'
F
9
M. Cóccaro
22'
F
M. Cóccaro
22'
F
23
Nicolás Goitea
D
Nicolás Goitea
D
22
O. Salomón
D
O. Salomón
D
34
Tomás Viola
M
Tomás Viola
M
39
T. Rios
60'
M
T. Rios
60'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Montiel
M · Independiente
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
L. Godoy
D · Independiente
7.50
· 35 pass
M. Luciano
D · Newells
7.30
· 42 pass
L. Gianetti
D · Newells
7.30
· 52 pass
I. Marcone
M · Independiente
7.20
· 51 pass
Kevin Lomónaco
D · Independiente
7.20
· 19 pass
Independiente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rey | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| F. Zabala | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Sebastián Valdez | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fedorco | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Godoy | D | 75 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Marcone | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Perez | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Abaldo | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Montiel | M | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Gutiérrez | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Lomónaco | D | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cabral | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Meza | F | 46 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Arias | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Newells Old Boys — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Reinatti | G | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Luciano | D | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 7 | — | — |
| L. Gianetti | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Cabrera | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 41% | — | — | — |
| F. Escobar | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 6 | 1 | — |
| L. Regiardo | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Sotelo | M | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Núñez | M | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Gauch | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| W. Mazzantti | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ramírez | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Soñora | M | 46 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Scarpeccio | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Russo | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cóccaro | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Rios | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Independiente vs Newells Old Boys?
The final score was Independiente 1–0 Newells Old Boys.
What did the model predict before Independiente vs Newells Old Boys?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Independiente win, 32% to a draw, and 19% to an Newells Old Boys win.